LEDGER
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Serie A · Brazil
Palmeiras
4–1Finished
Corinthians
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 21:30 BSTMatchday 30

Palmeiras v Corinthians match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 11 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Palmeiras are favoured at 57.5% to win this São Paulo derby, where Corinthians arrive without key players including striker Kayke. The model expects a low-scoring affair with 2.3 goals total.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 57%Palmeiras win
  • 27%Draw
  • 16%Corinthians win

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

PalmeirasPalmeiras

Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat

CorinthiansCorinthians

Last 5: no wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Palmeiras won 5 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Palmeiras unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
  • Corinthians without a win in their last 5 away games.
  • Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Palmeiras's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: Palmeiras 5, draws 3, Corinthians 2

Goals: Palmeiras 12, Corinthians 6

DateMatchScore
12 Apr 2026Corinthians v Palmeiras0–0
31 Aug 2025Corinthians v Palmeiras1–1
12 Apr 2025Palmeiras v Corinthians2–0
4 Nov 2024Corinthians v Palmeiras2–0
2 Jul 2024Palmeiras v Corinthians2–0
3 Sep 2023Corinthians v Palmeiras0–0
29 Apr 2023Palmeiras v Corinthians2–1
13 Aug 2022Corinthians v Palmeiras0–1
23 Apr 2022Palmeiras v Corinthians3–0
25 Sep 2021Corinthians v Palmeiras2–1

Home and away

Palmeiras

Palmeiras at home

Last 5: 4 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost

  • WonBahia9 Oct 20261–0
  • WonSao Paulo12 Sep 20262–0
  • WonLDU de QuitoCONMEBOL Libertadores9 Sep 20261–0
  • WonVasco DA Gama23 Aug 20264–1
  • DrawnCerro PortenoCONMEBOL Libertadores12 Aug 20261–1

Palmeiras: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
14 scored, 6 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
3 of 10
Clean sheets
5 of 10
Corinthians

Corinthians away

Last 5: 0 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost

  • LostInternacional7 Oct 20261–2
  • LostFlamengo13 Sep 20261–2
  • DrawnEstudiantes L.P.CONMEBOL Libertadores10 Sep 20261–1
  • LostCoritiba23 Aug 20261–2
  • DrawnRosario CentralCONMEBOL Libertadores14 Aug 20260–0

Corinthians: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
12 scored, 16 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
8 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Palmeiras
Last match
2 days before9 Oct 2026 · v Bahia · Serie A · Brazil
Next match
4 days after15 Oct 2026 · v Fluminense · CONMEBOL Libertadores
Corinthians
Last match
4 days before7 Oct 2026 · v Internacional · Serie A · Brazil
Next match
8 days after20 Oct 2026 · v Vitoria · Serie A · Brazil

Injuries and suspensions

  • PalmeirasPalmeirasJefte (Knee Injury) · Paulinho (Muscle Injury)
  • CorinthiansCorinthiansA. Carrillo (Lacking Match Fitness) · Dieguinho (Inactive) · R. Garro (Yellow Cards) · Joao Pedro (Inactive) · Kaio Cesar (Yellow Cards) · Kayke (Knee Injury)

Published 11 Oct 2026, 21:12 BST · not changed since

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