PAOK v Kalamata match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Mon 12 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

PAOK are clear favourites to win this match at 62.5%, buoyed by excellent recent form. The model expects them to create significantly more chances, with 2.1 expected goals compared to Kalamata's 0.93. Data quality is limited, however, affecting forecast confidence.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

63%PAOK win
22%Draw
15%Kalamata win

PRO analysis

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PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

PAOK

Last 5: 4 wins, no draws, 1 defeat

Kalamata

Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats

Head-to-head

Head-to-head data was not available for this match.

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

Not both teams scored in 7 of PAOK's last 10 home league games.

Home and away

PAOK

PAOK at home

Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost

WonAris Thessalonikis13 Sep 20262–0
WonLevadiakos23 Aug 20264–0
DrawnBrannUEFA Europa Conference League20 Aug 20261–1
LostAnderlechtUEFA Europa League6 Aug 20260–1
WonDynamo KyivUEFA Europa League30 Jul 20262–0

PAOK: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals: 22 scored, 3 conceded in 10
Both teams scored: 3 of 10
Over 2.5 goals: 5 of 10
Clean sheets: 7 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

PAOK

Last match: 22 days before20 Sep 2026 · v Panetolikos · Super League 1
Next match: 6 days after18 Oct 2026 · v Iraklis 1908 · Super League 1

Kalamata

Last match: 22 days before20 Sep 2026 · v Panathinaikos · Super League 1
Next match: 6 days after18 Oct 2026 · v OFI · Super League 1

PRO depth

PRO depth: PAOK and Kalamata

Corners won and concededPRO
Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
First-half goals, scored and concededPRO

PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 12 Oct 2026, 15:37 BST · not changed since

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