UEFA Nations League
Poland
19:45
Sweden
Tue 17 Nov 2026 · GMTLeague B · Matchday 6

Poland v Sweden · analysis and preview

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No signal on this match

Most likely: Sweden win

The model gives Sweden a 37% chance of winning, Poland 35% and a draw 28%, in a closely matched contest. Expected goals are 2.6, with an even distribution between sides (Poland 1.27, Sweden 1.33). Sweden have won one of their last five matches with two draws, while Poland show one win, one draw and three losses in the same period. Sweden won 3-1 in their last meeting in September.

How the match could end · our estimate

  • 35%Poland win
  • 28%Draw
  • 37%Sweden win

PRO analysis

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Form · newest first

PolandPoland

Last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats

  1. lost0–1at Bosnia & Herzegovina
  2. won6–0v Romania
  3. lost1–3at Sweden
  4. drew0–0v Bosnia & Herzegovina
  5. drew2–2v Nigeria
SwedenSweden

Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat

  1. won1–0at Romania
  2. drew1–1at Bosnia & Herzegovina
  3. won3–1v Poland
  4. won2–1v Romania
  5. lost0–3at France

Head-to-head

DateMatchScore
28 Sep 2026Sweden — Poland3–1

Injuries and suspensions

Team news not available yet.

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 19:18 GMT

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