Poland v Sweden · analysis and preview
Add to JournalNo signal on this match
Most likely: Sweden win
The model gives Sweden a 37% chance of winning, Poland 35% and a draw 28%, in a closely matched contest. Expected goals are 2.6, with an even distribution between sides (Poland 1.27, Sweden 1.33). Sweden have won one of their last five matches with two draws, while Poland show one win, one draw and three losses in the same period. Sweden won 3-1 in their last meeting in September.
How the match could end · our estimate
- 35%Poland win
- 28%Draw
- 37%Sweden win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
Last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats
- lost0–1at Bosnia & Herzegovina
- won6–0v Romania
- lost1–3at Sweden
- drew0–0v Bosnia & Herzegovina
- drew2–2v Nigeria
Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat
- won1–0at Romania
- drew1–1at Bosnia & Herzegovina
- won3–1v Poland
- won2–1v Romania
- lost0–3at France
Head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2026 | Sweden — Poland | 3–1 |
Injuries and suspensions
Team news not available yet.
Updated 6 Nov 2026, 19:18 GMT
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