UEFA Nations League
Portugal
19:45
Denmark
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · GMTLeague A · Matchday 5

Portugal v Denmark · analysis and preview

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No signal on this match

Most likely: Portugal win

The model gives Portugal a 55% chance of winning at home, with Denmark at 19% and a draw at 26%. Expected goals of 1.65 for Portugal and 0.91 for Denmark create a gap of 0.74 in the hosts' favour. Portugal have won four of their last five matches, while Denmark have alternated recent results; head-to-head records show close contests with Portugal winning the last two meetings by large margins.

How the match could end · our estimate

  • 55%Portugal win
  • 26%Draw
  • 19%Denmark win

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Form · newest first

PortugalPortugal

Last 5: 4 wins, no draws, 1 defeat

  1. won2–1v Norway
  2. won4–2at Denmark
  3. won2–1at Norway
  4. won1–0v Wales
  5. lost0–1v Spain
DenmarkDenmark

Last 5: 3 wins, no draws, 2 defeats

  1. won1–0at Wales
  2. lost2–4v Portugal
  3. won2–0v Wales
  4. lost2–3at Norway
  5. won2–1v Ukraine

Head-to-head

DateMatchScore
1 Oct 2026Denmark — Portugal2–4
23 Mar 2025Portugal — Denmark5–2
20 Mar 2025Denmark — Portugal1–0

Injuries and suspensions

Team news not available yet.

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 16:48 GMT

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