Portugal v Denmark · analysis and preview
Add to JournalNo signal on this match
Most likely: Portugal win
The model gives Portugal a 55% chance of winning at home, with Denmark at 19% and a draw at 26%. Expected goals of 1.65 for Portugal and 0.91 for Denmark create a gap of 0.74 in the hosts' favour. Portugal have won four of their last five matches, while Denmark have alternated recent results; head-to-head records show close contests with Portugal winning the last two meetings by large margins.
How the match could end · our estimate
- 55%Portugal win
- 26%Draw
- 19%Denmark win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
Last 5: 4 wins, no draws, 1 defeat
- won2–1v Norway
- won4–2at Denmark
- won2–1at Norway
- won1–0v Wales
- lost0–1v Spain
Last 5: 3 wins, no draws, 2 defeats
- won1–0at Wales
- lost2–4v Portugal
- won2–0v Wales
- lost2–3at Norway
- won2–1v Ukraine
Head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2026 | Denmark — Portugal | 2–4 |
| 23 Mar 2025 | Portugal — Denmark | 5–2 |
| 20 Mar 2025 | Denmark — Portugal | 1–0 |
Injuries and suspensions
Team news not available yet.
Updated 7 Nov 2026, 16:48 GMT
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