Real Madrid v RB Leipzig match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Wed 21 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Real Madrid are clear favourites. Real Madrid have won four of their last five matches, while RB Leipzig have won three of their last five. Key information on injuries and lineups is not yet available.
How the match could end · bookmaker odds before kick-off
- 77%Real Madrid win
- 14%Draw
- 9%RB Leipzig win
Bookmaker odds, margin removed · prices at Wed 21 Oct 2026 · 13:27 BST
Goals · bookmaker odds, margin removed
- Over 2.5 goals79%
- Under 2.5 goals21%
- Both teams score: yes63%
- Both teams score: no37%
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the written analysis of this match, where one was published before kick-off.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, form, past meetings and injuries.
Form · newest first
Real MadridLast 5: 4 wins, no draws, 1 defeat
RB LeipzigLast 5: 3 wins, no draws, 2 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
In Europe this season
Real Madrid
2 games: 2 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost (90 minutes)
xG 4.40 for, 3.32 against, in 2 games with xG
- Wonat AS RomaUEFA Champions League14 Oct 20264–3xG 1.49–1.49
- Wonv InterUEFA Champions League8 Sep 20262–1xG 2.91–1.83
RB Leipzig
2 games: 1 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost (90 minutes)
xG 3.46 for, 4.38 against, in 2 games with xG
- Wonv PSV EindhovenUEFA Champions League13 Oct 20261–0xG 2.10–1.40
- Lostat ComoUEFA Champions League10 Sep 20261–4xG 1.36–2.98
The two leagues in UEFA matches
La Liga clubs against other leagues since 2021-22: 407 games, 195 won, 77 drawn, 135 lost (1.63 points per game)
Bundesliga clubs against other leagues since 2021-22: 391 games, 192 won, 75 drawn, 124 lost (1.66 points per game)
UCL and UEL, 90 minutes. Each club counts with the league it played that season.
Last meetings
Meetings from the last three years in the competitions Ledger covers. Meetings in the 60 days before kick-off (the same tie) are left out.
2 meetings: Real Madrid 1, draws 1, RB Leipzig 0
Goals: Real Madrid 2, RB Leipzig 1
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 6 Mar 2024 | Real Madrid v RB Leipzig | 1–1 |
| 13 Feb 2024 | RB Leipzig v Real Madrid | 0–1 |
Home and away
League figures are against each club's own league opponents, so they do not compare across leagues.
Real MadridReal Madrid at home
Last 5: 5 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost
- WonSevillaLa Liga18 Oct 20264–1
- WonVillarrealLa Liga10 Oct 20261–0
- WonRayo VallecanoLa Liga12 Sep 20264–1
- WonInter8 Sep 20262–1
- WonMalagaLa Liga30 Aug 20264–0
Real Madrid: home games in La Liga
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 29 scored, 9 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig away
Last 5: 1 won, 0 drawn, 4 lost
- LostBayern MünchenBundesliga17 Oct 20261–6
- LostBayer LeverkusenBundesliga20 Sep 20260–2
- LostComo10 Sep 20261–4
- LostWerder BremenBundesliga5 Sep 20261–3
- WonEintracht TrierDFB Pokal22 Aug 20266–0
RB Leipzig: away games in Bundesliga
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 13 scored, 24 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 8 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 8 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Real Madrid- Last match
- 3 days before18 Oct 2026 · v Sevilla · La Liga
- Next match
- 4 days after25 Oct 2026 · v Barcelona · La Liga
RB Leipzig- Last match
- 4 days before17 Oct 2026 · v Bayern München · Bundesliga
- Next match
- 3 days after24 Oct 2026 · v SV Elversberg · Bundesliga
Injuries and suspensions
- Ruled out
- R. Asencio (Broken Leg) · F. Mendy (Hip Injury) · Rodrygo (Knee Injury)
- Ruled out
- M. Guiu (Hamstring Injury) · A. Ouedraogo (Shoulder Injury) · L. Zingerle (Off the roster)
Published 21 Oct 2026, 18:58 BST · not changed since
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