Rio Ave
SC BragaRio Ave v SC Braga · analysis and preview
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Most likely: SC Braga win
SC Braga hold a 59% chance of victory over Rio Ave, with an expected goals gap of 0.93 in Braga's favour. Rio Ave have won just one of their last five matches, while Braga's most recent visit resulted in a 3-0 win. Expected total goals are 2.81.
How the match could end · our estimate
- 18%Rio Ave win
- 23%Draw
- 59%SC Braga win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
Rio AveLast 5: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats
- lost1–2at Academico Viseu
- lost0–4v Famalicao
- won1–0at Louletano
- won3–2v Nacional
- lost0–1at Alverca
SC BragaLast 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats
- drew0–0at Aarhus
- won3–0v Famalicao
- lost0–1at Nacional
- won2–0v Gent
- lost1–2v GIL Vicente
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Rio Ave won 15 of 29 matches in which they scored first, since 9 Nov 2024.
- SC Braga won 46 of 65 matches in which they scored first, since 10 Nov 2024.
- SC Braga won 5 of the last 8 meetings.
- SC Braga without a win in their last 5 away games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
8 meetings: Rio Ave 1, draws 2, SC Braga 5
Goals: Rio Ave 7, SC Braga 17
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2026 | SC Braga v Rio Ave | 3–0 |
| 31 Aug 2025 | Rio Ave v SC Braga | 2–2 |
| 2 Mar 2025 | Rio Ave v SC Braga | 2–1 |
| 29 Sep 2024 | SC Braga v Rio Ave | 4–0 |
| 9 Mar 2024 | Rio Ave v SC Braga | 0–0 |
| 7 Oct 2023 | SC Braga v Rio Ave | 2–1 |
| 5 Mar 2023 | SC Braga v Rio Ave | 2–0 |
| 11 Sep 2022 | Rio Ave v SC Braga | 2–3 |
Home and away
Rio AveRio Ave at home
Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost
- LostFamalicao25 Oct 20260–4
- WonNacional11 Oct 20263–2
- DrawnEstrela14 Sep 20263–3
- LostSporting CP28 Aug 20260–4
- LostFC Porto15 Aug 20260–2
Rio Ave: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 12 scored, 24 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 8 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
SC BragaSC Braga away
Last 5: 0 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost
- DrawnAarhusUEFA Europa Conference League5 Nov 20260–0
- LostNacional25 Oct 20260–1
- LostFC CopenhagenUEFA Europa Conference League15 Oct 20260–3
- DrawnSanta Clara20 Sep 20260–0
- LostEstrela10 Sep 20261–2
SC Braga: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 12 scored, 11 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Rio Ave- Last match
- 7 days before1 Nov 2026 · v Academico Viseu · Primeira Liga
- Next match
- Not known
SC Braga- Last match
- 3 days before5 Nov 2026 · v Aarhus · UEFA Europa Conference League
- Next match
- 13 days after21 Nov 2026 · v Vitória SC · Taça de Portugal
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Rio Ave
Since 9 Nov 2024
| Score | Rio Ave | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 15 won, 10 drawn, 4 lost in 29 matches | 639 won, 194 drawn, 116 lost in 949 matches |
| Conceded first | 3 won, 8 drawn, 27 lost in 38 matches | 116 won, 194 drawn, 639 lost in 949 matches |
| Level at half-time | 9 won, 10 drawn, 8 lost in 27 matches | 279 won, 296 drawn, 279 lost in 854 matches |
| 1 goal down at half-time | 2 won, 4 drawn, 15 lost in 21 matches | 38 won, 97 drawn, 275 lost in 410 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 10 won, 15 drawn, 3 lost in 28 matches | 203 won, 308 drawn, 203 lost in 714 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 9 won, 12 drawn, 3 lost in 24 matches | 144 won, 296 drawn, 144 lost in 584 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 16 won, 17 drawn, 21 lost in 54 matches | 518 won, 388 drawn, 518 lost in 1424 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 8 won, 12 drawn, 14 lost in 34 matches | 384 won, 336 drawn, 384 lost in 1104 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Rio Ave | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 16 scored, 26 conceded (70) | 633 scored, 633 conceded (2026) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 3 scored, 10 conceded (21) | 240 scored, 197 conceded (723) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 6 scored, 11 conceded (31) | 197 scored, 240 conceded (723) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 43 times, equalised within 15 minutes 4, by full time 16(league sides: 1,082 times, within 15 minutes 174, by full time 477)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
SC Braga
Since 10 Nov 2024
| Score | SC Braga | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 46 won, 9 drawn, 10 lost in 65 matches | 639 won, 194 drawn, 116 lost in 949 matches |
| Conceded first | 3 won, 11 drawn, 11 lost in 25 matches | 116 won, 194 drawn, 639 lost in 949 matches |
| 1 goal up at half-time | 14 won, 5 drawn, 5 lost in 24 matches | 275 won, 97 drawn, 38 lost in 410 matches |
| Level at half-time | 15 won, 11 drawn, 6 lost in 32 matches | 279 won, 296 drawn, 279 lost in 854 matches |
| 1 goal down at half-time | 3 won, 9 drawn, 8 lost in 20 matches | 38 won, 97 drawn, 275 lost in 410 matches |
| 1 goal up after 60 minutes | 20 won, 4 drawn, 5 lost in 29 matches | 292 won, 84 drawn, 29 lost in 405 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 11 won, 12 drawn, 6 lost in 29 matches | 203 won, 308 drawn, 203 lost in 714 matches |
| 1 goal up after 70 minutes | 23 won, 4 drawn, 2 lost in 29 matches | 325 won, 97 drawn, 21 lost in 443 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 9 won, 13 drawn, 7 lost in 29 matches | 144 won, 296 drawn, 144 lost in 584 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 80 minutes | 21 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 21 matches | 301 won, 9 drawn, 0 lost in 310 matches |
| 1 goal up after 80 minutes | 21 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost in 24 matches | 342 won, 70 drawn, 12 lost in 424 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 7 won, 16 drawn, 1 lost in 24 matches | 100 won, 358 drawn, 100 lost in 558 matches |
| 1 goal down after 80 minutes | 0 won, 7 drawn, 14 lost in 21 matches | 12 won, 70 drawn, 342 lost in 424 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 31 won, 18 drawn, 18 lost in 67 matches | 518 won, 388 drawn, 518 lost in 1424 matches |
| 1 goal up after 30 minutes | 17 won, 6 drawn, 7 lost in 30 matches | 239 won, 83 drawn, 50 lost in 372 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 20 won, 12 drawn, 10 lost in 42 matches | 384 won, 336 drawn, 384 lost in 1104 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | SC Braga | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 37 scored, 18 conceded (95) | 633 scored, 633 conceded (2026) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 16 scored, 9 conceded (45) | 240 scored, 197 conceded (723) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 10 scored, 7 conceded (28) | 196 scored, 196 conceded (580) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 11 scored, 2 conceded (22) | 197 scored, 240 conceded (723) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 36 times, equalised within 15 minutes 8, by full time 21(league sides: 1,082 times, within 15 minutes 174, by full time 477)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Earlier league matches
| Rio Ave | SC Braga | |
|---|---|---|
| 68Since 9 Nov 2024 | Matches with xG | 68Since 10 Nov 2024 |
| 69.06 | xG for | 104.50 |
| 75 | Goals scored | 114 |
| 107.73 | xG against | 67.46 |
| 115 | Goals conceded | 70 |
Rio Ave
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2026 | at Academico Viseu | 1.14 | 0.94 | 1–2 |
| 25 Oct 2026 | v Famalicao | 0.58 | 1.65 | 0–4 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | v Nacional | 1.71 | 1.36 | 3–2 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | at Alverca | 0.29 | 3.30 | 0–1 |
| 14 Sep 2026 | v Estrela | 1.23 | 1.87 | 3–3 |
| 6 Sep 2026 | at Santa Clara | 0.32 | 1.80 | 0–4 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | v Sporting CP | 0.47 | 1.66 | 0–4 |
| 22 Aug 2026 | at Estoril | 0.70 | 1.16 | 2–0 |
| 15 Aug 2026 | v FC Porto | 0.67 | 2.00 | 0–2 |
| 9 Aug 2026 | at GIL Vicente | 0.19 | 1.66 | 0–1 |
SC Braga
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2026 | v Famalicao | 1.19 | 0.19 | 3–0 |
| 25 Oct 2026 | at Nacional | 1.67 | 0.48 | 0–1 |
| 19 Oct 2026 | v GIL Vicente | 1.39 | 1.54 | 1–2 |
| 9 Oct 2026 | v Sporting CP | 1.50 | 0.95 | 1–3 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | at Santa Clara | 0.50 | 1.04 | 0–0 |
| 14 Sep 2026 | v Estoril | 1.79 | 0.75 | 1–0 |
| 10 Sep 2026 | at Estrela | 0.61 | 0.57 | 1–2 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | at Alverca | 2.27 | 1.08 | 2–1 |
| 31 Aug 2026 | v Vitória SC | 0.93 | 0.47 | 1–0 |
| 9 Aug 2026 | at Moreirense | 1.32 | 0.22 | 2–2 |
This league season
Primeira Liga matches since 7 Aug 2026.
| Rio Ave | SC Braga | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 of 10 | Matches with xG | 10 of 10 |
| 7 | Points in those matches | 14 |
| 7.57 | xPts | 17.85 |
| 7.30 | xG for | 13.17 |
| 17.40 | xG against | 7.29 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Rio Ave and SC Braga
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news not available yet.
Updated 7 Nov 2026, 23:53 GMT
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