Rot-Weiß Essen v RB Leipzig match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Tue 27 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
RB Leipzig visit Rot-Weiß Essen as heavy favourites in this Bundesliga 2 encounter. The model gives Leipzig a 67% chance of winning, with expected goals of 2.41 to Essen's 1.06. Leipzig's recent form appears more solid, though Essen have shown patches of strength in their last five matches.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 15%Rot-Weiß Essen win
- 18%Draw
- 67%RB Leipzig win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
Rot-Weiß EssenLast 5: 3 wins, no draws, 2 defeats
RB LeipzigLast 5: 3 wins, no draws, 2 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- RB Leipzig won 30 of 45 matches in which they scored first, since 2 Nov 2024.
- RB Leipzig without a win in their last 5 away games.
- Over 2.5 goals in 8 of RB Leipzig's last 10 away league games.
- Both teams scored in 8 of RB Leipzig's last 10 away league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
1 meeting: Rot-Weiß Essen 0, draws 0, RB Leipzig 1
Goals: Rot-Weiß Essen 1, RB Leipzig 4
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug 2024 | Rot-Weiß Essen v RB Leipzig | 1–4 |
Home and away
Rot-Weiß EssenRot-Weiß Essen at home
Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost
- WonFC St. Pauli23 Aug 20262–0
- WonSpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga22 May 20261–0
- LostBorussia Dortmund18 Aug 20250–1
- LostRB Leipzig17 Aug 20241–4
- DrawnHamburger SV13 Aug 20233–3 AET 3–4
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig away
Last 5: 0 won, 0 drawn, 5 lost
- LostReal MadridUEFA Champions League21 Oct 20261–4
- LostBayern MünchenBundesliga17 Oct 20261–6
- LostBayer LeverkusenBundesliga20 Sep 20260–2
- LostComoUEFA Champions League10 Sep 20261–4
- LostWerder BremenBundesliga5 Sep 20261–3
RB Leipzig: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 13 scored, 24 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 8 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 8 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Rot-Weiß Essen- Last match
- 4 days before23 Oct 2026 · v SSV Jahn Regensburg · 3. Liga
- Next match
- 5 days after1 Nov 2026 · v SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach · 3. Liga
RB Leipzig- Last match
- 3 days before24 Oct 2026 · v SV Elversberg · Bundesliga
- Next match
- 4 days after31 Oct 2026 · v FC Schalke 04 · Bundesliga
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 2 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
RB Leipzig
| Score | RB Leipzig |
|---|---|
| Scored first | 30 won, 5 drawn, 10 lost in 45 matches |
| Conceded first | 3 won, 4 drawn, 17 lost in 24 matches |
| Level at half-time | 10 won, 9 drawn, 6 lost in 25 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 25 won, 11 drawn, 17 lost in 53 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 15 won, 10 drawn, 12 lost in 37 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | RB Leipzig |
|---|---|
| All matches | 23 scored, 27 conceded (75) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 11 scored, 8 conceded (33) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 8 scored, 15 conceded (26) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 35 times, equalised within 15 minutes 5, by full time 11Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Rot-Weiß Essen and RB Leipzig
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 27 Oct 2026, 15:57 GMT · not changed since
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