Sacramento Republic
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic v El Paso Locomotive match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 8 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Sacramento Republic are favoured by the model with a 51% chance of winning, while a draw comes in at 27% and an away win at 22%. The expected goals total is 2.54, with Sacramento holding a gap of 0.58 in their favour. Sacramento have won three of their last five matches with two draws, whereas El Paso have managed just one win in the same period.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 51%Sacramento Republic win
- 27%Draw
- 22%El Paso Locomotive win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
Sacramento RepublicLast 5: 3 wins, 2 draws, no defeats
- won1–0v FC Tulsa
- won3–2v Oakland Roots
- won1–0at El Paso Locomotive
- drew1–1v Colorado Springs
- drew1–1at FC Tulsa
El Paso LocomotiveLast 5: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats
- won2–1v San Antonio
- lost0–1v New Mexico United
- lost0–1v Sacramento Republic
- won2–1v Orange County SC
- lost1–3at Lexington
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Sacramento Republic won 24 of 31 matches in which they scored first, since 9 Mar 2025.
- El Paso Locomotive won 24 of 33 matches in which they scored first, since 9 Mar 2025.
- Sacramento Republic won 6 of the last 10 meetings.
- Sacramento Republic unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
10 meetings: Sacramento Republic 6, draws 0, El Paso Locomotive 4
Goals: Sacramento Republic 13, El Paso Locomotive 7
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026 | El Paso Locomotive v Sacramento Republic | 0–1 |
| 29 Mar 2026 | Sacramento Republic v El Paso Locomotive | 1–2 |
| 24 Aug 2025 | El Paso Locomotive v Sacramento Republic | 1–0 |
| 13 Jul 2025 | Sacramento Republic v El Paso Locomotive | 3–0 |
| 20 Oct 2024 | El Paso Locomotive v Sacramento Republic | 2–1 |
| 15 Aug 2024 | Sacramento Republic v El Paso Locomotive | 2–0 |
| 17 Sep 2023 | Sacramento Republic v El Paso Locomotive | 1–0 |
| 12 Mar 2023 | El Paso Locomotive v Sacramento Republic | 0–1 |
| 19 May 2022 | El Paso Locomotive v Sacramento Republic | 1–0 |
| 13 Mar 2022 | Sacramento Republic v El Paso Locomotive | 3–1 |
Home and away
Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic at home
Last 5: 3 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost
- WonFC Tulsa2 Nov 20261–0
- WonOakland Roots25 Oct 20263–2
- DrawnColorado Springs11 Oct 20261–1
- WonLas Vegas Lights1 Oct 20263–2
- DrawnSan Antonio21 Sep 20260–0
Sacramento Republic: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 19 scored, 8 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 10
El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive away
Last 5: 4 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost
- LostLexington4 Oct 20261–3
- WonPhoenix Rising20 Sep 20263–1
- WonLouisville City13 Sep 20262–1
- WonColorado Springs23 Aug 20261–0
- WonSan Antonio16 Aug 20263–0
El Paso Locomotive: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 13 scored, 11 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Sacramento Republic- Last match
- 6 days before2 Nov 2026 · v FC Tulsa · USL Championship
- Next match
- Not known
El Paso Locomotive- Last match
- 8 days before31 Oct 2026 · v San Antonio · USL Championship
- Next match
- Not known
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 9 Mar 2025. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Sacramento Republic
| Score | Sacramento Republic | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 24 won, 7 drawn, 0 lost in 31 matches | 462 won, 141 drawn, 86 lost in 689 matches |
| Conceded first | 3 won, 9 drawn, 13 lost in 25 matches | 86 won, 141 drawn, 462 lost in 689 matches |
| Level at half-time | 15 won, 12 drawn, 6 lost in 33 matches | 222 won, 242 drawn, 222 lost in 686 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 11 won, 9 drawn, 7 lost in 27 matches | 154 won, 242 drawn, 154 lost in 550 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 8 won, 6 drawn, 6 lost in 20 matches | 120 won, 248 drawn, 120 lost in 488 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 6 won, 10 drawn, 4 lost in 20 matches | 82 won, 274 drawn, 82 lost in 438 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 20 won, 18 drawn, 12 lost in 50 matches | 379 won, 328 drawn, 379 lost in 1086 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 16 won, 14 drawn, 8 lost in 38 matches | 271 won, 266 drawn, 271 lost in 808 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Sacramento Republic | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 26 scored, 13 conceded (61) | 479 scored, 479 conceded (1506) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 7 scored, 9 conceded (26) | 157 scored, 174 conceded (525) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 25 times, equalised within 15 minutes 4, by full time 16(league sides: 808 times, within 15 minutes 133, by full time 379)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
El Paso Locomotive
| Score | El Paso Locomotive | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 24 won, 6 drawn, 3 lost in 33 matches | 462 won, 141 drawn, 86 lost in 689 matches |
| Conceded first | 2 won, 7 drawn, 17 lost in 26 matches | 86 won, 141 drawn, 462 lost in 689 matches |
| Level at half-time | 6 won, 10 drawn, 8 lost in 24 matches | 222 won, 242 drawn, 222 lost in 686 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 4 won, 8 drawn, 9 lost in 21 matches | 154 won, 242 drawn, 154 lost in 550 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 3 won, 9 drawn, 8 lost in 20 matches | 120 won, 248 drawn, 120 lost in 488 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 3 won, 9 drawn, 8 lost in 20 matches | 82 won, 274 drawn, 82 lost in 438 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 12 won, 11 drawn, 15 lost in 38 matches | 379 won, 328 drawn, 379 lost in 1086 matches |
| 1 goal up after 30 minutes | 18 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost in 21 matches | 181 won, 61 drawn, 44 lost in 286 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 5 won, 10 drawn, 12 lost in 27 matches | 271 won, 266 drawn, 271 lost in 808 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | El Paso Locomotive | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 14 scored, 23 conceded (62) | 479 scored, 479 conceded (1506) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 6 scored, 10 conceded (27) | 157 scored, 174 conceded (525) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 3 scored, 8 conceded (20) | 148 scored, 148 conceded (456) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 28 times, equalised within 15 minutes 8, by full time 16(league sides: 808 times, within 15 minutes 133, by full time 379)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 9 Mar 2025, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Sacramento Republic and El Paso Locomotive
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 8 Nov 2026, 01:57 GMT · not changed since
All fixtures