LEDGER
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J2 League
Sagan Tosu
1–2Finished
Kataller Toyama
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 05:00 GMTMatchday 16 · Ekimae Real Estate Stadium, Tosu

Sagan Tosu v Kataller Toyama match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 7 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Sagan Tosu and Kataller Toyama are closely matched, with the model rating each side a 35% chance to win and a 30% probability of a draw. Expected goals total 2.38, with a gap of just 0.02 in Toyama's favour. Tosu come in with recent form of WLWLW, while Toyama show WWLWD.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 35%Sagan Tosu win
  • 30%Draw
  • 35%Kataller Toyama win

PRO analysis

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Sagan TosuSagan Tosu

Last 5: 3 wins, no draws, 2 defeats

  1. won1–0at Shonan Bellmare
  2. lost0–2at Jubilo Iwata
  3. won2–0v Vanraure Hachinohe
  4. lost1–2at Albirex Niigata
  5. won2–1v Omiya Ardija
Kataller ToyamaKataller Toyama

Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat

  1. won1–0v Vegalta Sendai
  2. won3–2at Albirex Niigata
  3. lost0–1v Consadole Sapporo
  4. won3–0at Omiya Ardija
  5. drew1–1v Shonan Bellmare

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Kataller Toyama unbeaten in their last 5 away games.
  • Not both teams scored in 8 of Kataller Toyama's last 10 away league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

2 meetings: Sagan Tosu 1, draws 0, Kataller Toyama 1

Goals: Sagan Tosu 2, Kataller Toyama 3

DateMatchScore
9 Nov 2025Kataller Toyama v Sagan Tosu3–1
23 Mar 2025Sagan Tosu v Kataller Toyama1–0

Home and away

Sagan Tosu

Sagan Tosu at home

Last 5: 4 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost

  • WonVanraure Hachinohe25 Oct 20262–0
  • WonOmiya Ardija17 Oct 20262–1
  • WonFujieda MYFC10 Oct 20261–0
  • LostIwaki19 Sep 20261–3
  • WonTegevajaro Miyazaki5 Sep 20262–0

Sagan Tosu: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
13 scored, 9 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
4 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
6 of 10
Kataller Toyama

Kataller Toyama away

Last 5: 5 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost

  • WonAlbirex Niigata31 Oct 20263–2
  • WonOmiya Ardija21 Oct 20263–0
  • WonVentforet Kofu3 Oct 20262–1
  • WonMontedio Yamagata19 Sep 20262–0
  • WonJubilo Iwata6 Sep 20261–0

Kataller Toyama: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
17 scored, 6 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
2 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
6 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Sagan Tosu
Last match
4 days before3 Nov 2026 · v Shonan Bellmare · J2 League
Next match
8 days after15 Nov 2026 · v Consadole Sapporo · J2 League
Kataller Toyama
Last match
4 days before3 Nov 2026 · v Vegalta Sendai · J2 League
Next match
8 days after15 Nov 2026 · v Tokushima Vortis · J2 League

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 03:57 GMT · not changed since

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