Saint Etienne v Nantes match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 24 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Saint Etienne are slight favourites at home against Nantes. The model gives the hosts a 53% chance of winning, though a draw is plausible at 26%. Expected goals total 2.72.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 53%Saint Etienne win
- 26%Draw
- 21%Nantes win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
Saint EtienneLast 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat
NantesLast 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Saint Etienne won 31 of 38 matches in which they scored first, since 26 Oct 2024.
- Nantes won 14 of 23 matches in which they scored first, since 27 Oct 2024.
- Nantes won 1 of the last 4 meetings.
- Saint Etienne unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
4 meetings: Saint Etienne 0, draws 3, Nantes 1
Goals: Saint Etienne 4, Nantes 5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan 2025 | Saint Etienne v NantesLigue 1 | 1–1 |
| 29 Sep 2024 | Nantes v Saint EtienneLigue 1 | 2–2 |
| 21 May 2022 | Nantes v Saint EtienneLigue 1 | 1–1 |
| 22 Dec 2021 | Saint Etienne v NantesLigue 1 | 0–1 |
Home and away
Saint EtienneSaint Etienne at home
Last 5: 4 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost
- WonRodez10 Oct 20262–0
- WonMontpellier5 Sep 20263–1
- WonGrenoble22 Aug 20264–0
- WonClermont Foot14 Aug 20263–1
- DrawnNiceLigue 126 May 20260–0
Saint Etienne: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 23 scored, 6 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 3 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 10
NantesNantes away
Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost
- WonBoulogne19 Sep 20262–1
- LostSochaux12 Sep 20260–1
- DrawnGuingamp29 Aug 20263–3
- LostLaval14 Aug 20261–2
- LostLensLigue 18 May 20260–1
Nantes: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 7 scored, 14 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 4 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Saint Etienne- Last match
- 7 days before17 Oct 2026 · v RED Star FC 93 · Ligue 2
- Next match
- 7 days after31 Oct 2026 · v Guingamp · Ligue 2
Nantes- Last match
- 7 days before17 Oct 2026 · v Dunkerque · Ligue 2
- Next match
- 6 days after30 Oct 2026 · v Clermont Foot · Ligue 2
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Saint Etienne
Since 26 Oct 2024
| Score | Saint Etienne | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 31 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost in 38 matches | 284 won, 101 drawn, 59 lost in 444 matches |
| Conceded first | 2 won, 7 drawn, 24 lost in 33 matches | 59 won, 101 drawn, 284 lost in 444 matches |
| Level at half-time | 11 won, 7 drawn, 13 lost in 31 matches | 131 won, 176 drawn, 131 lost in 438 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 6 won, 7 drawn, 10 lost in 23 matches | 96 won, 172 drawn, 96 lost in 364 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 18 won, 8 drawn, 14 lost in 40 matches | 238 won, 238 drawn, 238 lost in 714 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 13 won, 7 drawn, 11 lost in 31 matches | 168 won, 190 drawn, 168 lost in 526 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Saint Etienne | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 22 scored, 23 conceded (74) | 300 scored, 300 conceded (976) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 10 scored, 8 conceded (34) | 91 scored, 120 conceded (329) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 9 scored, 14 conceded (31) | 120 scored, 91 conceded (329) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 48 times, equalised within 15 minutes 11, by full time 22(league sides: 521 times, within 15 minutes 90, by full time 248)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
Nantes
Since 27 Oct 2024
| Score | Nantes | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 14 won, 5 drawn, 4 lost in 23 matches | 284 won, 101 drawn, 59 lost in 444 matches |
| Conceded first | 0 won, 8 drawn, 33 lost in 41 matches | 59 won, 101 drawn, 284 lost in 444 matches |
| Level at half-time | 6 won, 6 drawn, 20 lost in 32 matches | 131 won, 176 drawn, 131 lost in 438 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 4 won, 9 drawn, 18 lost in 31 matches | 96 won, 172 drawn, 96 lost in 364 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 3 won, 11 drawn, 14 lost in 28 matches | 71 won, 194 drawn, 71 lost in 336 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 3 won, 11 drawn, 10 lost in 24 matches | 48 won, 214 drawn, 48 lost in 310 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 11 won, 11 drawn, 27 lost in 49 matches | 238 won, 238 drawn, 238 lost in 714 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 10 won, 10 drawn, 16 lost in 36 matches | 168 won, 190 drawn, 168 lost in 526 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Nantes | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 15 scored, 34 conceded (69) | 300 scored, 300 conceded (976) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 4 scored, 14 conceded (26) | 89 scored, 89 conceded (318) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 8 scored, 13 conceded (27) | 120 scored, 91 conceded (329) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 43 times, equalised within 15 minutes 6, by full time 20(league sides: 521 times, within 15 minutes 90, by full time 248)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 28 Feb 2025, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Saint Etienne and Nantes
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 24 Oct 2026, 18:42 BST · not changed since
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