Sampdoria v Arezzo match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 18 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Sampdoria are given a 46% chance of winning at home against Arezzo, with the model expecting 2.42 goals in the match. Both teams have struggled recently, leaving the outcome in genuine doubt despite the hosts' advantage in expected chances.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 46%Sampdoria win
- 29%Draw
- 25%Arezzo win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
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Form · newest first
Last 5: 1 win, no draws, 4 defeats
Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats
Head-to-head
Head-to-head data was not available for this match.
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Sampdoria avoided defeat in 11 of 33 matches in which their opponent scored first, since 2 Mar 2025.
- Serie B, since 23 Feb 2025: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 116 of 148.
Home and away
Sampdoria at home
Last 5: 3 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost
- WonCatanzaro19 Sep 20262–1
- LostJuve Stabia29 Aug 20261–2
- WonSudtirol1 May 20261–0
- LostMonza17 Apr 20260–3
- WonEmpoli6 Apr 20261–0
Sampdoria: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 11 scored, 12 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 4 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
Arezzo away
Last 4: 2 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost
- WonEmpoli11 Sep 20261–0
- LostHellas Verona6 Sep 20260–5
- WonAvellino22 Aug 20262–1
- LostCagliariCoppa Italia14 Aug 20260–1
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 9 days before9 Oct 2026 · v Avellino · Serie B · Italy
- Next match
- 6 days after24 Oct 2026 · v Sudtirol · Serie B · Italy
- Last match
- 8 days before10 Oct 2026 · v Cremonese · Serie B · Italy
- Next match
- 6 days after24 Oct 2026 · v Benevento · Serie B · Italy
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 2 Mar 2025. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Sampdoria
| Score | Sampdoria | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Conceded first | 5 won, 6 drawn, 22 lost in 33 matches | 72 won, 135 drawn, 331 lost in 538 matches |
| Level at half-time | 8 won, 11 drawn, 9 lost in 28 matches | 150 won, 206 drawn, 150 lost in 506 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 7 won, 12 drawn, 5 lost in 24 matches | 111 won, 210 drawn, 111 lost in 432 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 5 won, 14 drawn, 4 lost in 23 matches | 80 won, 222 drawn, 80 lost in 382 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 5 won, 16 drawn, 2 lost in 23 matches | 54 won, 254 drawn, 54 lost in 362 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 13 won, 17 drawn, 18 lost in 48 matches | 302 won, 290 drawn, 302 lost in 894 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 14 won, 13 drawn, 13 lost in 40 matches | 213 won, 236 drawn, 213 lost in 662 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Sampdoria | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 17 scored, 18 conceded (57) | 347 scored, 347 conceded (1162) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 7 scored, 6 conceded (25) | 96 scored, 96 conceded (372) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 7 scored, 9 conceded (22) | 130 scored, 121 conceded (395) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 32 times, equalised within 15 minutes 7, by full time 12(league sides: 617 times, within 15 minutes 119, by full time 290)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 23 Feb 2025, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Sampdoria and Arezzo
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 18 Oct 2026, 18:18 BST · not changed since
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