Serie B · ItalySun 18 Oct 2026 · 18:30 BSTMatchday 7 · Luigi Ferraris, Genoa

Sampdoria v Arezzo match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 18 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Sampdoria are given a 46% chance of winning at home against Arezzo, with the model expecting 2.42 goals in the match. Both teams have struggled recently, leaving the outcome in genuine doubt despite the hosts' advantage in expected chances.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 46%Sampdoria win
  • 29%Draw
  • 25%Arezzo win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

SampdoriaSampdoria

Last 5: 1 win, no draws, 4 defeats

ArezzoArezzo

Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats

Head-to-head

Head-to-head data was not available for this match.

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Sampdoria avoided defeat in 11 of 33 matches in which their opponent scored first, since 2 Mar 2025.
  • Serie B, since 23 Feb 2025: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 116 of 148.

Home and away

Sampdoria

Sampdoria at home

Last 5: 3 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost

  • WonCatanzaro19 Sep 20262–1
  • LostJuve Stabia29 Aug 20261–2
  • WonSudtirol1 May 20261–0
  • LostMonza17 Apr 20260–3
  • WonEmpoli6 Apr 20261–0

Sampdoria: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
11 scored, 12 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
4 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
4 of 10
Arezzo

Arezzo away

Last 4: 2 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost

  • WonEmpoli11 Sep 20261–0
  • LostHellas Verona6 Sep 20260–5
  • WonAvellino22 Aug 20262–1
  • LostCagliariCoppa Italia14 Aug 20260–1

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Sampdoria
Last match
9 days before9 Oct 2026 · v Avellino · Serie B · Italy
Next match
6 days after24 Oct 2026 · v Sudtirol · Serie B · Italy
Arezzo
Last match
8 days before10 Oct 2026 · v Cremonese · Serie B · Italy
Next match
6 days after24 Oct 2026 · v Benevento · Serie B · Italy

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 2 Mar 2025. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Sampdoria

ScoreSampdoriaLeague sides
Conceded first5 won, 6 drawn, 22 lost in 33 matches72 won, 135 drawn, 331 lost in 538 matches
Level at half-time8 won, 11 drawn, 9 lost in 28 matches150 won, 206 drawn, 150 lost in 506 matches
Level after 60 minutes7 won, 12 drawn, 5 lost in 24 matches111 won, 210 drawn, 111 lost in 432 matches
Level after 70 minutes5 won, 14 drawn, 4 lost in 23 matches80 won, 222 drawn, 80 lost in 382 matches
Level after 80 minutes5 won, 16 drawn, 2 lost in 23 matches54 won, 254 drawn, 54 lost in 362 matches
Level after 15 minutes13 won, 17 drawn, 18 lost in 48 matches302 won, 290 drawn, 302 lost in 894 matches
Level after 30 minutes14 won, 13 drawn, 13 lost in 40 matches213 won, 236 drawn, 213 lost in 662 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreSampdoriaLeague sides
All matches17 scored, 18 conceded (57)347 scored, 347 conceded (1162)
When level after 75 minutes7 scored, 6 conceded (25)96 scored, 96 conceded (372)
When trailing after 75 minutes7 scored, 9 conceded (22)130 scored, 121 conceded (395)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 32 times, equalised within 15 minutes 7, by full time 12(league sides: 617 times, within 15 minutes 119, by full time 290)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 23 Feb 2025, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Sampdoria and Arezzo

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 18 Oct 2026, 18:18 BST · not changed since

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