Santos v Bahia match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 25 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
The model makes Santos favourites at home with a 48% chance of victory, while Bahia have just a 26% chance to win. Santos have been stronger in recent form with three wins in five matches, though they are missing four players to injury.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 48%Santos win
- 26%Draw
- 26%Bahia win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
SantosLast 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat
BahiaLast 5: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Santos unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
7 meetings: Santos 2, draws 3, Bahia 2
Goals: Santos 9, Bahia 10
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2026 | Bahia v Santos | 2–2 |
| 24 Aug 2025 | Bahia v Santos | 2–0 |
| 7 Apr 2025 | Santos v Bahia | 2–2 |
| 19 Sep 2023 | Bahia v Santos | 1–2 |
| 10 May 2023 | Santos v Bahia | 3–0 |
| 12 Sep 2021 | Santos v Bahia | 0–0 |
| 30 May 2021 | Bahia v Santos | 3–0 |
Home and away
SantosSantos at home
Last 5: 3 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost
- DrawnFlamengo8 Oct 20262–2
- WonCruzeiro13 Sep 20262–1
- WonAtletico-MGCONMEBOL Sudamericana9 Sep 20262–0
- DrawnMirassol23 Aug 20261–1
- WonMacaraCONMEBOL Sudamericana13 Aug 20262–1
Santos: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 15 scored, 15 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
BahiaBahia away
Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost
- LostPalmeiras9 Oct 20260–1
- LostAtletico Paranaense20 Sep 20261–2
- WonRB Bragantino5 Sep 20263–2
- WonVitoria23 Aug 20262–0
- DrawnChapecoense-sc16 Aug 20263–3
Bahia: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 14 scored, 16 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Santos- Last match
- 7 days before18 Oct 2026 · v Fluminense · Serie A · Brazil
- Next match
- 3 days after28 Oct 2026 · v Palmeiras · Serie A · Brazil
Bahia- Last match
- 7 days before18 Oct 2026 · v Flamengo · Serie A · Brazil
- Next match
- 4 days after29 Oct 2026 · v Sao Paulo · Serie A · Brazil
Injuries and suspensions
- Ruled out
- Arthur Melo (Muscle Injury) · G. Escobar (Inactive) · Gabriel Brazao (Shoulder Injury) · Vinicius Lira (Knee Injury)
- Doubtful
- Lucas Verissimo (Injury)
- Ruled out
- R. Gomez (Yellow Cards) · Jean Lucas (Yellow Cards) · Leo Vieira (Knee Injury)
Published 25 Oct 2026, 00:13 BST · not changed since
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