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Serie A · Brazil
Santos
0–0Finished
Palmeiras
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 22:30 GMTMatchday 33 · Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos

Santos v Palmeiras match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Wed 28 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Palmeiras are favoured by the model with a 45% win probability against Santos's 28%, while a draw rates 27%. Palmeiras have won four of their last five games and hold a 0.38 expected goals advantage (1.53 to 1.15), though both teams face substantial squad absences. Expected goals total 2.68 for the match.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 28%Santos win
  • 27%Draw
  • 45%Palmeiras win

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

SantosSantos

Last 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat

PalmeirasPalmeiras

Last 5: 4 wins, no draws, 1 defeat

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Palmeiras won 5 of the last 9 meetings.
  • Santos unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
  • Both teams scored in 7 of Santos's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

9 meetings: Santos 2, draws 2, Palmeiras 5

Goals: Santos 6, Palmeiras 11

DateMatchScore
2 May 2026Palmeiras v Santos1–1
16 Nov 2025Santos v Palmeiras1–0
7 Nov 2025Palmeiras v Santos2–0
8 Oct 2023Palmeiras v Santos1–2
21 May 2023Santos v Palmeiras0–0
18 Sep 2022Palmeiras v Santos1–0
29 May 2022Santos v Palmeiras0–1
7 Nov 2021Santos v Palmeiras0–2
10 Jul 2021Palmeiras v Santos3–2

Home and away

Santos

Santos at home

Last 5: 2 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost

  • DrawnBahia25 Oct 20261–1
  • DrawnFlamengo8 Oct 20262–2
  • WonCruzeiro13 Sep 20262–1
  • WonAtletico-MGCONMEBOL Sudamericana9 Sep 20262–0
  • DrawnMirassol23 Aug 20261–1

Santos: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
15 scored, 16 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
1 of 10
Palmeiras

Palmeiras away

Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost

  • WonAtletico Paranaense17 Oct 20262–0
  • WonFluminenseCONMEBOL Libertadores15 Oct 20262–1
  • DrawnGremio20 Sep 20260–0
  • LostLDU de QuitoCONMEBOL Libertadores16 Sep 20262–3 PEN
  • DrawnBotafogo6 Sep 20260–0

Palmeiras: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
17 scored, 6 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
4 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
6 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Santos
Last match
3 days before25 Oct 2026 · v Bahia · Serie A · Brazil
Next match
5 days after2 Nov 2026 · v RB Bragantino · Serie A · Brazil
Palmeiras
Last match
4 days before24 Oct 2026 · v RB Bragantino · Serie A · Brazil
Next match
4 days after1 Nov 2026 · v Vasco DA Gama · Copa Do Brasil

Injuries and suspensions

  • SantosSantos
    Ruled out
    Arthur Melo (Muscle Injury) · G. Escobar (Thigh Injury) · Gabriel Brazao (Shoulder Injury) · Lucas Verissimo (Injury) · Neymar (Red Card) · Vinicius Lira (Knee Injury) · Willian Arao (Inactive)
  • PalmeirasPalmeiras
    Ruled out
    Jefte (Knee Injury) · Paulinho (Inactive) · Vitor Roque (Inactive)
    Doubtful
    R. Sosa (Injury)

Published 28 Oct 2026, 21:28 GMT · not changed since

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