Sao Paulo v Vasco DA Gama match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 18 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Sao Paulo are model favourites at 46% for a home win, but Vasco da Gama arrive in excellent form with four wins in their last five matches. Sao Paulo's defence is severely depleted by injuries, creating a difficult situation for the hosts.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 46%Sao Paulo win
- 28%Draw
- 26%Vasco DA Gama win
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Form · newest first
Sao PauloLast 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats
Vasco DA GamaLast 5: 4 wins, 1 draw, no defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Both teams scored in 7 of Sao Paulo's last 10 home league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
7 meetings: Sao Paulo 3, draws 1, Vasco DA Gama 3
Goals: Sao Paulo 12, Vasco DA Gama 11
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2026 | Vasco DA Gama v Sao Paulo | 2–1 |
| 2 Nov 2025 | Vasco DA Gama v Sao Paulo | 0–2 |
| 13 Jun 2025 | Sao Paulo v Vasco DA Gama | 1–3 |
| 17 Oct 2024 | Sao Paulo v Vasco DA Gama | 3–0 |
| 23 Jun 2024 | Vasco DA Gama v Sao Paulo | 4–1 |
| 7 Oct 2023 | Vasco DA Gama v Sao Paulo | 0–0 |
| 20 May 2023 | Sao Paulo v Vasco DA Gama | 4–2 |
Home and away
Sao PauloSao Paulo at home
Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost
- WonVitoria11 Oct 20262–1
- LostSantos3 Oct 20261–2
- WonInternacional20 Sep 20261–0
- DrawnBoca JuniorsCONMEBOL Sudamericana16 Sep 20261–1
- WonAtletico-MG5 Sep 20262–0
Sao Paulo: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 14 scored, 10 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama away
Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost
- WonBoca JuniorsCONMEBOL Sudamericana14 Oct 20261–0
- WonBotafogo8 Oct 20262–1
- WonGremio12 Sep 20262–1
- DrawnSanta FeCONMEBOL Sudamericana8 Sep 20260–0
- LostFluminense6 Sep 20260–1
Vasco DA Gama: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 9 scored, 16 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Sao Paulo- Last match
- 7 days before11 Oct 2026 · v Vitoria · Serie A · Brazil
- Next match
- 6 days after24 Oct 2026 · v Mirassol · Serie A · Brazil
Vasco DA Gama- Last match
- 4 days before14 Oct 2026 · v Boca Juniors · CONMEBOL Sudamericana
- Next match
- 3 days after21 Oct 2026 · v Boca Juniors · CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Injuries and suspensions
- Ruled out
- N. Bosshardt (Inactive) · Buta (Knee Injury) · Djhordney (Yellow Cards) · D. Duarte (Knee Injury) · Ferreira (Injury) · Luciano (Inactive)
- Ruled out
- Mateus Carvalho (Knee Injury)
- Doubtful
- F. Colidio (Injury) · C. Cuesta (Inactive)
Published 17 Oct 2026, 23:57 BST · not changed since
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