SC Freiburg v VfL Wolfsburg match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Wed 28 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
The model gives Freiburg a 56% chance of winning, with Wolfsburg at 22% to draw and 22% to win. Freiburg's expected goals (2.12) exceed Wolfsburg's (1.31), a gap of 0.81 in Freiburg's favour. Head-to-head results over the past two years favour Freiburg, who have won two of their last four meetings. Both teams show uneven recent form, with neither on a winning run.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 56%SC Freiburg win
- 22%Draw
- 22%VfL Wolfsburg win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
SC FreiburgLast 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats
VfL WolfsburgLast 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- SC Freiburg won 30 of 42 matches in which they scored first, since 3 Nov 2024.
- SC Freiburg won 7 of the last 10 meetings.
- Over 2.5 goals in 8 of SC Freiburg's last 10 home league games.
- Both teams scored in 8 of SC Freiburg's last 10 home league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
10 meetings: SC Freiburg 7, draws 1, VfL Wolfsburg 2
Goals: SC Freiburg 18, VfL Wolfsburg 16
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 3 May 2026 | SC Freiburg v VfL WolfsburgBundesliga | 1–1 |
| 20 Dec 2025 | VfL Wolfsburg v SC FreiburgBundesliga | 3–4 |
| 26 Apr 2025 | VfL Wolfsburg v SC FreiburgBundesliga | 0–1 |
| 13 Dec 2024 | SC Freiburg v VfL WolfsburgBundesliga | 3–2 |
| 27 Apr 2024 | SC Freiburg v VfL WolfsburgBundesliga | 1–2 |
| 9 Dec 2023 | VfL Wolfsburg v SC FreiburgBundesliga | 0–1 |
| 19 May 2023 | SC Freiburg v VfL WolfsburgBundesliga | 2–0 |
| 21 Jan 2023 | VfL Wolfsburg v SC FreiburgBundesliga | 6–0 |
| 12 Mar 2022 | SC Freiburg v VfL WolfsburgBundesliga | 3–2 |
| 23 Oct 2021 | VfL Wolfsburg v SC FreiburgBundesliga | 0–2 |
Home and away
SC FreiburgSC Freiburg at home
Last 5: 4 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost
- LostBayern MünchenBundesliga25 Oct 20261–3
- WonFK JablonecUEFA Europa Conference League15 Oct 20263–2
- WonFC Schalke 04Bundesliga11 Oct 20262–1
- WonBorussia MönchengladbachBundesliga12 Sep 20265–0
- WonWerder BremenBundesliga30 Aug 20264–1
SC Freiburg: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 24 scored, 15 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 8 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 8 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg away
Last 5: 1 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost
- DrawnVfL Bochum2. Bundesliga23 Oct 20261–1
- Drawn1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga10 Oct 20264–4
- LostFC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga12 Sep 20260–1
- WonKarlsruher SC2. Bundesliga29 Aug 20265–2
- DrawnAltglienicke24 Aug 20262–2 PEN 3–3
VfL Wolfsburg: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 21 scored, 18 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 8 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
SC Freiburg- Last match
- 3 days before25 Oct 2026 · v Bayern München · Bundesliga
- Next match
- 3 days after31 Oct 2026 · v FC Augsburg · Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg- Last match
- 5 days before23 Oct 2026 · v VfL Bochum · 2. Bundesliga
- Next match
- 3 days after31 Oct 2026 · v VfL Osnabrück · 2. Bundesliga
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 3 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
SC Freiburg
| Score | SC Freiburg |
|---|---|
| Scored first | 30 won, 5 drawn, 7 lost in 42 matches |
| Conceded first | 7 won, 6 drawn, 20 lost in 33 matches |
| Level at half-time | 11 won, 12 drawn, 14 lost in 37 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 7 won, 12 drawn, 10 lost in 29 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 7 won, 12 drawn, 6 lost in 25 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 6 won, 15 drawn, 5 lost in 26 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 31 won, 16 drawn, 19 lost in 66 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 19 won, 16 drawn, 18 lost in 53 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | SC Freiburg |
|---|---|
| All matches | 26 scored, 31 conceded (82) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 8 scored, 13 conceded (30) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 8 scored, 6 conceded (28) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 10 scored, 12 conceded (24) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 41 times, equalised within 15 minutes 11, by full time 21Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
PRO depth
PRO depth: SC Freiburg and VfL Wolfsburg
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 28 Oct 2026, 15:57 GMT · not changed since
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