Sparta Rotterdam v Fortuna Sittard match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Wed 28 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Sparta Rotterdam have lost three of their last five matches, while Fortuna Sittard have drawn three and won one of theirs, showing more stability. The model gives Sparta a 42% chance to win, Fortuna 36% and a draw 22%. Expected goals stand at 1.96 for Sparta and 1.83 for Fortuna, a gap of 0.13 in the home side's favour.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 42%Sparta Rotterdam win
- 22%Draw
- 36%Fortuna Sittard win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
Sparta RotterdamLast 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats
Fortuna SittardLast 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Sparta Rotterdam won 20 of 32 matches in which they scored first, since 3 Nov 2024.
- Fortuna Sittard won 20 of 33 matches in which they scored first, since 2 Nov 2024.
- Sparta Rotterdam won 5 of the last 10 meetings.
- Fortuna Sittard unbeaten in their last 5 away games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
10 meetings: Sparta Rotterdam 5, draws 4, Fortuna Sittard 1
Goals: Sparta Rotterdam 19, Fortuna Sittard 9
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | Fortuna Sittard v Sparta RotterdamEredivisie | 2–2 |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Sparta Rotterdam v Fortuna SittardEredivisie | 1–1 |
| 29 Mar 2025 | Fortuna Sittard v Sparta RotterdamEredivisie | 0–3 |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Sparta Rotterdam v Fortuna SittardEredivisie | 1–1 |
| 30 Mar 2024 | Sparta Rotterdam v Fortuna SittardEredivisie | 4–0 |
| 13 Jan 2024 | Fortuna Sittard v Sparta RotterdamEredivisie | 0–2 |
| 3 Feb 2023 | Fortuna Sittard v Sparta RotterdamEredivisie | 0–0 |
| 29 Oct 2022 | Sparta Rotterdam v Fortuna SittardEredivisie | 3–1 |
| 16 Apr 2022 | Fortuna Sittard v Sparta RotterdamEredivisie | 3–0 |
| 12 Sep 2021 | Sparta Rotterdam v Fortuna SittardEredivisie | 3–1 |
Home and away
Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam at home
Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost
- LostAjaxEredivisie25 Oct 20261–2
- WonWillem IIEredivisie17 Oct 20263–2
- LostHeerenveenEredivisie19 Sep 20260–4
- DrawnPEC ZwolleEredivisie4 Sep 20262–2
- DrawnUtrechtEredivisie22 Aug 20263–3
Sparta Rotterdam: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 15 scored, 21 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard away
Last 5: 3 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost
- DrawnNEC NijmegenEredivisie18 Oct 20262–2
- WonWillem IIEredivisie19 Sep 20261–0
- WonADO Den HaagEredivisie6 Sep 20263–2
- WonGroningenEredivisie28 Aug 20263–2
- DrawnPSV EindhovenEredivisie8 Aug 20262–2
Fortuna Sittard: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 17 scored, 17 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Sparta Rotterdam- Last match
- 3 days before25 Oct 2026 · v Ajax · Eredivisie
- Next match
- 4 days after1 Nov 2026 · v Groningen · Eredivisie
Fortuna Sittard- Last match
- 3 days before25 Oct 2026 · v Excelsior · Eredivisie
- Next match
- 3 days after31 Oct 2026 · v Feyenoord · Eredivisie
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Sparta Rotterdam
Since 3 Nov 2024
| Score | Sparta Rotterdam |
|---|---|
| Scored first | 20 won, 10 drawn, 2 lost in 32 matches |
| Conceded first | 1 won, 6 drawn, 28 lost in 35 matches |
| Level at half-time | 7 won, 12 drawn, 8 lost in 27 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 4 won, 12 drawn, 4 lost in 20 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 15 won, 14 drawn, 23 lost in 52 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 9 won, 13 drawn, 19 lost in 41 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Sparta Rotterdam |
|---|---|
| All matches | 24 scored, 35 conceded (68) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 11 scored, 9 conceded (22) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 5 scored, 18 conceded (29) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 43 times, equalised within 15 minutes 8, by full time 15Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
Fortuna Sittard
Since 2 Nov 2024
| Score | Fortuna Sittard |
|---|---|
| Scored first | 20 won, 8 drawn, 5 lost in 33 matches |
| Conceded first | 3 won, 6 drawn, 25 lost in 34 matches |
| Level at half-time | 8 won, 7 drawn, 10 lost in 25 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 5 won, 9 drawn, 6 lost in 20 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 13 won, 12 drawn, 18 lost in 43 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 9 won, 9 drawn, 15 lost in 33 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Fortuna Sittard |
|---|---|
| All matches | 21 scored, 29 conceded (68) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 2 scored, 12 conceded (21) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 6 scored, 11 conceded (30) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 44 times, equalised within 15 minutes 7, by full time 17Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Sparta Rotterdam and Fortuna Sittard
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 28 Oct 2026, 16:42 GMT · not changed since
All fixtures