Sporting CP v Academico Viseu match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 25 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Sporting CP are heavily favoured at 72% to beat Academico Viseu at home. The model expects 3.06 goals total, with Sporting to create most of the chances.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 72%Sporting CP win
- 18%Draw
- 10%Academico Viseu win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
Sporting CPLast 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat
Academico ViseuLast 5: 4 wins, no draws, 1 defeat
Head-to-head
Head-to-head data was not available for this match.
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Primeira Liga, since 11 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 184 of 242.
- Over 2.5 goals in 9 of Sporting CP's last 10 home league games.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Sporting CP's last 10 home league games.
Home and away
Sporting CPSporting CP at home
Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost
- LostLask LinzUEFA Champions League21 Oct 20262–3
- DrawnArouca19 Sep 20262–2
- WonGalatasarayUEFA Champions League9 Sep 20263–1
- WonNacional5 Sep 20262–0
- WonAlverca22 Aug 20263–1
Sporting CP: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 28 scored, 12 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 9 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu away
Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost
- LostFátimaTaça de Portugal18 Oct 20260–1
- WonEstrela20 Sep 20262–0
- WonGIL Vicente6 Sep 20261–0
- DrawnMaritimo22 Aug 20262–2
- DrawnBenfica9 Aug 20262–2
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Sporting CP- Last match
- 4 days before21 Oct 2026 · v Lask Linz · UEFA Champions League
- Next match
- 2 days after27 Oct 2026 · v Maritimo · Taça da Liga
Academico Viseu- Last match
- 7 days before18 Oct 2026 · v Fátima · Taça de Portugal
- Next match
- 3 days after28 Oct 2026 · v FC Porto · Taça da Liga
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Since 26 Oct 2024
| Sporting CP | Academico Viseu | |
|---|---|---|
| 68 | Matches with xG | — |
| 137.57 | xG for | — |
| 170 | Goals scored | — |
| 53.12 | xG against | — |
| 58 | Goals conceded | — |
Sporting CP
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | at SC Braga | 0.95 | 1.50 | 3–1 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | v Arouca | 1.28 | 2.08 | 2–2 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | at Famalicao | 2.28 | 0.35 | 1–1 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | v Nacional | 3.00 | 0.08 | 2–0 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | at Rio Ave | 1.66 | 0.47 | 4–0 |
| 22 Aug 2026 | v Alverca | 2.12 | 0.41 | 3–1 |
| 14 Aug 2026 | v Vitória SC | 1.14 | 1.24 | 3–2 |
| 8 Aug 2026 | at Estrela | 2.63 | 1.10 | 2–2 |
| 16 May 2026 | v GIL Vicente | 1.65 | 0.68 | 3–0 |
| 11 May 2026 | at Rio Ave | 1.58 | 0.70 | 4–1 |
This league season
Primeira Liga matches since 7 Aug 2026.
| Sporting CP | Academico Viseu | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 of 8 | Matches with xG | 8 of 8 |
| 18 | Points in those matches | 14 |
| 15.62 | xPts | 8.56 |
| 15.06 | xG for | 9.81 |
| 7.23 | xG against | 13.91 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Sporting CP and Academico Viseu
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 25 Oct 2026, 19:28 GMT · not changed since
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