SpVgg Greuther Fürth v Holstein Kiel match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 1 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
The model judges this as an evenly balanced contest, giving Fürth a 38% chance of winning and Kiel 35%, with a 27% draw probability. Expected goals stand at 1.41 for the home side and 1.37 for Kiel, a gap of just 0.04. Fürth have stabilised with consecutive draws after earlier losses, while Kiel show inconsistent recent form with just one win in their last five matches.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 38%SpVgg Greuther Fürth win
- 27%Draw
- 35%Holstein Kiel win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
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Form · newest first
SpVgg Greuther FürthLast 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats
- lost0–3at VfL Osnabrück
- won2–0v Eintracht Braunschweig
- lost1–2at Hertha BSC
- drew1–1v 1. FC Magdeburg
- drew1–1at VfL Bochum
Holstein KielLast 5: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 defeat
- drew1–1v 1899 Hoffenheim
- won3–0v Dynamo Dresden
- drew0–0v Hertha BSC
- lost0–1at Eintracht Braunschweig
- drew1–1v VfL Osnabrück
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Holstein Kiel won 3 of the last 6 meetings.
- Under 2.5 goals in 7 of SpVgg Greuther Fürth's last 10 home league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
6 meetings: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2, draws 1, Holstein Kiel 3
Goals: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 8, Holstein Kiel 10
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Holstein Kiel v SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 1–2 |
| 24 Aug 2025 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth v Holstein Kiel | 0–2 |
| 28 Jan 2024 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth v Holstein Kiel | 2–1 |
| 5 Aug 2023 | Holstein Kiel v SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2–1 |
| 28 Jan 2023 | Holstein Kiel v SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2–1 |
| 16 Jul 2022 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth v Holstein Kiel | 2–2 |
Home and away
SpVgg Greuther FürthSpVgg Greuther Fürth at home
Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost
- WonEintracht Braunschweig17 Oct 20262–0
- Drawn1. FC Magdeburg18 Sep 20261–1
- Lost1. FC Heidenheim6 Sep 20260–1
- LostVfL BochumDFB Pokal23 Aug 20261–2
- Lost1. FC Nürnberg15 Aug 20262–4
SpVgg Greuther Fürth: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 16 scored, 11 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 4 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 3 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
Holstein KielHolstein Kiel away
Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost
- LostEintracht Braunschweig9 Oct 20260–1
- Lost1. FC Heidenheim13 Sep 20260–1
- Lost1. FC Magdeburg30 Aug 20260–2
- WonTSV 1860 MünchenDFB Pokal22 Aug 20262–0
- DrawnSV Darmstadt 988 Aug 20262–2
Holstein Kiel: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 10 scored, 16 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth- Last match
- 7 days before25 Oct 2026 · v VfL Osnabrück · 2. Bundesliga
- Next match
- 5 days after6 Nov 2026 · v Dynamo Dresden · 2. Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel- Last match
- 4 days before28 Oct 2026 · v 1899 Hoffenheim · DFB Pokal
- Next match
- 6 days after7 Nov 2026 · v Arminia Bielefeld · 2. Bundesliga
PRO depth
PRO depth: SpVgg Greuther Fürth and Holstein Kiel
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 1 Nov 2026, 11:27 GMT · not changed since
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