Sturm Graz v Grazer AK match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 18 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Sturm Graz are heavy favourites against local rivals Grazer AK, with the model giving them a 64% chance of winning. Expected goals strongly favour the home side at 1.94 to 0.82.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 64%Sturm Graz win
- 22%Draw
- 14%Grazer AK win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
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Form · newest first
Sturm GrazLast 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats
Grazer AKLast 5: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 defeat
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Sturm Graz won 4 of the last 4 meetings.
- Under 2.5 goals in 9 of Sturm Graz's last 10 home league games.
- Not both teams scored in 7 of Grazer AK's last 10 away league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
4 meetings: Sturm Graz 4, draws 0, Grazer AK 0
Goals: Sturm Graz 12, Grazer AK 4
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 7 Dec 2025 | Sturm Graz v Grazer AK | 2–1 |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Grazer AK v Sturm Graz | 0–3 |
| 9 Mar 2025 | Grazer AK v Sturm Graz | 1–2 |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Sturm Graz v Grazer AK | 5–2 |
Home and away
Sturm GrazSturm Graz at home
Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost
- DrawnRennesUEFA Europa League16 Sep 20260–0
- WonLask Linz13 Sep 20262–1
- DrawnAustria Lustenau22 Aug 20261–1
- WonSCR Altach15 Aug 20261–0
- LostFenerbahçeUEFA Champions League11 Aug 20260–1
Sturm Graz: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 12 scored, 5 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 1 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 10
Grazer AKGrazer AK away
Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost
- WonSCR Altach12 Sep 20262–1
- LostRied21 Aug 20260–1
- LostRapid Vienna16 Aug 20260–8
- LostLask Linz31 Jul 20260–3
- WonFC BW Linz16 May 20263–0
Grazer AK: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 11 scored, 20 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 3 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Sturm Graz- Last match
- 3 days before15 Oct 2026 · v Bournemouth · UEFA Europa League
- Next match
- 4 days after22 Oct 2026 · v Marseille · UEFA Europa League
Grazer AK- Last match
- 8 days before10 Oct 2026 · v Red Bull Salzburg · Bundesliga · Austria
- Next match
- 6 days after24 Oct 2026 · v WSG Wattens · Bundesliga · Austria
PRO depth
PRO depth: Sturm Graz and Grazer AK
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 18 Oct 2026, 14:53 BST · not changed since
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