Sturm Graz v Ried match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 25 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Sturm Graz are strong favourites with a 62% chance of victory over Ried. The model expects the hosts to create substantially more chances, with expected goals of 1.93 against 0.88, but inconsistent recent form presents uncertainty.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 62%Sturm Graz win
- 23%Draw
- 15%Ried win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
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Form · newest first
Last 5: 3 wins, no draws, 2 defeats
Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Sturm Graz won 4 of the last 6 meetings.
- Sturm Graz unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
- Under 2.5 goals in 8 of Sturm Graz's last 10 home league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
6 meetings: Sturm Graz 4, draws 2, Ried 0
Goals: Sturm Graz 10, Ried 5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2026 | Sturm Graz v Ried | 1–0 |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Ried v Sturm Graz | 1–3 |
| 30 Oct 2022 | Sturm Graz v Ried | 2–1 |
| 6 Aug 2022 | Ried v Sturm Graz | 1–1 |
| 6 Mar 2022 | Ried v Sturm Graz | 2–2 |
| 17 Oct 2021 | Sturm Graz v Ried | 1–0 |
Home and away
Sturm Graz at home
Last 5: 3 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost
- WonMarseilleUEFA Europa League22 Oct 20261–0
- WonGrazer AK18 Oct 20266–1
- DrawnRennesUEFA Europa League16 Sep 20260–0
- WonLask Linz13 Sep 20262–1
- DrawnAustria Lustenau22 Aug 20261–1
Sturm Graz: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 17 scored, 6 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 2 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
Ried away
Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost
- WonWSG Wattens10 Oct 20262–1
- LostTSV Hartberg30 Aug 20262–3
- LostLask Linz14 Aug 20261–4
- DrawnAustria Lustenau2 Aug 20261–1
- LostRapid Vienna25 May 20260–3
Ried: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 9 scored, 19 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 3 days before22 Oct 2026 · v Marseille · UEFA Europa League
- Next match
- 4 days after29 Oct 2026 · v Austria Lustenau · Cup
- Last match
- 8 days before17 Oct 2026 · v Austria Vienna · Bundesliga · Austria
- Next match
- 3 days after28 Oct 2026 · v Lask Linz · Cup
PRO depth
PRO depth: Sturm Graz and Ried
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 25 Oct 2026, 12:27 GMT · not changed since
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