Bundesliga · Austria
2–2Finished
Ried
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 13:30 GMTMatchday 10 · Stadion Graz-Liebenau, Graz

Sturm Graz v Ried match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 25 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Sturm Graz are strong favourites with a 62% chance of victory over Ried. The model expects the hosts to create substantially more chances, with expected goals of 1.93 against 0.88, but inconsistent recent form presents uncertainty.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 62%Sturm Graz win
  • 23%Draw
  • 15%Ried win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Sturm GrazSturm Graz

Last 5: 3 wins, no draws, 2 defeats

RiedRied

Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Sturm Graz won 4 of the last 6 meetings.
  • Sturm Graz unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
  • Under 2.5 goals in 8 of Sturm Graz's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

6 meetings: Sturm Graz 4, draws 2, Ried 0

Goals: Sturm Graz 10, Ried 5

DateMatchScore
8 Feb 2026Sturm Graz v Ried1–0
16 Aug 2025Ried v Sturm Graz1–3
30 Oct 2022Sturm Graz v Ried2–1
6 Aug 2022Ried v Sturm Graz1–1
6 Mar 2022Ried v Sturm Graz2–2
17 Oct 2021Sturm Graz v Ried1–0

Home and away

Sturm Graz

Sturm Graz at home

Last 5: 3 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost

  • WonMarseilleUEFA Europa League22 Oct 20261–0
  • WonGrazer AK18 Oct 20266–1
  • DrawnRennesUEFA Europa League16 Sep 20260–0
  • WonLask Linz13 Sep 20262–1
  • DrawnAustria Lustenau22 Aug 20261–1

Sturm Graz: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
17 scored, 6 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
2 of 10
Clean sheets
4 of 10
Ried

Ried away

Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost

  • WonWSG Wattens10 Oct 20262–1
  • LostTSV Hartberg30 Aug 20262–3
  • LostLask Linz14 Aug 20261–4
  • DrawnAustria Lustenau2 Aug 20261–1
  • LostRapid Vienna25 May 20260–3

Ried: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
9 scored, 19 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
1 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Sturm Graz
Last match
3 days before22 Oct 2026 · v Marseille · UEFA Europa League
Next match
4 days after29 Oct 2026 · v Austria Lustenau · Cup
Ried
Last match
8 days before17 Oct 2026 · v Austria Vienna · Bundesliga · Austria
Next match
3 days after28 Oct 2026 · v Lask Linz · Cup

PRO depth

PRO depth: Sturm Graz and Ried

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 25 Oct 2026, 12:27 GMT · not changed since

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