Serie B · ItalySat 10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 BST

Sudtirol v Ascoli match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 10 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 44%Sudtirol win
  • 31%Draw
  • 25%Ascoli win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

SudtirolSudtirol

Last 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat

AscoliAscoli

Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Sudtirol won 12 of 25 matches in which they scored first, since 23 Feb 2025.
  • Serie B, since 23 Feb 2025: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 114 of 144.
  • Sudtirol won 2 of the last 4 meetings.
  • Sudtirol unbeaten in their last 5 home games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

4 meetings: Sudtirol 2, draws 1, Ascoli 1

Goals: Sudtirol 7, Ascoli 5

DateMatchScore
4 Feb 2024Ascoli v Sudtirol1–2
2 Sep 2023Sudtirol v Ascoli3–1
15 Apr 2023Ascoli v Sudtirol1–0
27 Nov 2022Sudtirol v Ascoli2–2

Home and away

Sudtirol

Sudtirol at home

Last 5: 2 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost

  • DrawnModena12 Sep 20261–1
  • WonCatanzaro5 Sep 20262–0
  • WonVirtus Entella22 Aug 20261–0
  • DrawnBari22 May 20260–0
  • DrawnJuve Stabia8 May 20261–1

Sudtirol: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
7 scored, 10 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
4 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
2 of 10
Clean sheets
4 of 10
Ascoli

Ascoli away

Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost

  • LostPadova12 Sep 20260–1
  • WonHellas Verona23 Aug 20262–1
  • LostGenoaCoppa Italia16 Aug 20261–4
  • DrawnPalermo5 May 20242–2
  • WonTernana27 Apr 20241–0

Ascoli: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
12 scored, 11 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
4 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Sudtirol
Last match
20 days before20 Sep 2026 · v Arezzo · Serie B · Italy
Next match
8 days after18 Oct 2026 · v Juve Stabia · Serie B · Italy
Ascoli
Last match
21 days before19 Sep 2026 · v Avellino · Serie B · Italy
Next match
7 days after17 Oct 2026 · v Empoli · Serie B · Italy

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 23 Feb 2025. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Sudtirol

ScoreSudtirolLeague sides
Scored first12 won, 11 drawn, 2 lost in 25 matches322 won, 131 drawn, 70 lost in 523 matches
Conceded first3 won, 7 drawn, 15 lost in 25 matches70 won, 131 drawn, 322 lost in 523 matches
Level at half-time6 won, 15 drawn, 3 lost in 24 matches147 won, 196 drawn, 147 lost in 490 matches
Level after 60 minutes4 won, 20 drawn, 5 lost in 29 matches107 won, 202 drawn, 107 lost in 416 matches
Level after 70 minutes3 won, 19 drawn, 4 lost in 26 matches78 won, 216 drawn, 78 lost in 372 matches
Level after 80 minutes2 won, 20 drawn, 2 lost in 24 matches53 won, 246 drawn, 53 lost in 352 matches
Level after 15 minutes14 won, 24 drawn, 11 lost in 49 matches295 won, 282 drawn, 295 lost in 872 matches
Level after 30 minutes7 won, 21 drawn, 8 lost in 36 matches210 won, 228 drawn, 210 lost in 648 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreSudtirolLeague sides
All matches13 scored, 18 conceded (59)332 scored, 332 conceded (1128)
When level after 75 minutes3 scored, 3 conceded (23)93 scored, 93 conceded (360)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 28 times, equalised within 15 minutes 4, by full time 14(league sides: 599 times, within 15 minutes 115, by full time 280)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 23 Feb 2025, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Sudtirol and Ascoli

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 10 Oct 2026, 12:57 BST · not changed since

All fixtures