Sunderland v Brentford match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Wed 28 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Brentford visit Sunderland with the model giving the away side a 49% chance of winning, against 25% for the hosts and 26% for a draw. Sunderland have won one of their last five matches, while Brentford have won two of theirs. The model expects Sunderland to score 1.11 goals and Brentford 1.66, a gap of 0.55 in Brentford's favour.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 25%Sunderland win
- 26%Draw
- 49%Brentford win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
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Form · newest first
SunderlandLast 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats
BrentfordLast 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Sunderland won 19 of 30 matches in which they scored first, since 2 Nov 2024.
- Brentford unbeaten in their last 5 away games.
- Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Sunderland's last 10 home league games.
- Not both teams scored in 8 of Sunderland's last 10 home league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
3 meetings: Sunderland 1, draws 1, Brentford 1
Goals: Sunderland 3, Brentford 5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | Brentford v SunderlandPremier League | 1–1 |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Brentford v SunderlandPremier League | 3–0 |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Sunderland v BrentfordPremier League | 2–1 |
Home and away
SunderlandSunderland at home
Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost
- DrawnLeedsPremier League25 Oct 20260–0
- LostBrightonPremier League10 Oct 20260–2
- WonAZ AlkmaarUEFA Europa League16 Sep 20261–0
- LostArsenalPremier League12 Sep 20260–2
- WonHull City8 Sep 20261–0
Sunderland: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 5 scored, 14 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 2 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 3 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
BrentfordBrentford away
Last 5: 1 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost
- DrawnHull CityPremier League25 Oct 20261–1
- DrawnAston VillaPremier League10 Oct 20262–2
- WonReading15 Sep 20262–1
- DrawnBournemouthPremier League12 Sep 20262–2
- DrawnLeedsPremier League30 Aug 20261–1
Brentford: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 12 scored, 15 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Sunderland- Last match
- 3 days before25 Oct 2026 · v Leeds · Premier League
- Next match
- 3 days after31 Oct 2026 · v Coventry · Premier League
Brentford- Last match
- 3 days before25 Oct 2026 · v Hull City · Premier League
- Next match
- 3 days after31 Oct 2026 · v Nottingham Forest · Premier League
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 2 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Sunderland
| Score | Sunderland |
|---|---|
| Scored first | 19 won, 9 drawn, 2 lost in 30 matches |
| Conceded first | 12 won, 8 drawn, 26 lost in 46 matches |
| Level at half-time | 13 won, 17 drawn, 12 lost in 42 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 17 won, 19 drawn, 7 lost in 43 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 13 won, 17 drawn, 6 lost in 36 matches |
| 1 goal up after 80 minutes | 19 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 24 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 8 won, 17 drawn, 5 lost in 30 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 22 won, 23 drawn, 24 lost in 69 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 15 won, 17 drawn, 17 lost in 49 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Sunderland |
|---|---|
| All matches | 24 scored, 22 conceded (86) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 2 scored, 7 conceded (27) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 11 scored, 7 conceded (31) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 11 scored, 8 conceded (28) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 46 times, equalised within 15 minutes 8, by full time 26Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Sunderland and Brentford
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 28 Oct 2026, 18:43 GMT · not changed since
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