Sydney v Central Coast Mariners match analysis
Our selection
PRO members see our selection for this match.
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Fri 6 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
The model gives Sydney a 53% chance of winning, with a 0.68 expected goals gap in their favour. Sydney's recent form has been mixed (LWDLD) while Mariners improved with a win most recently (DLDLW), though Sydney hold the advantage in head-to-head record. Both teams are affected by injuries, with Sydney missing Farrell, Hoefsloot, Hollman and Walatee, and Mariners without Hisamatsu and Sainsbury.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 53%Sydney win
- 25%Draw
- 22%Central Coast Mariners win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
Last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats
- lost1–2at Melbourne City
- won2–1v Adelaide United
- drew0–0v Western Sydney Wanderers
- lost0–1at Auckland
- drew1–1at Newcastle Jets
Last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats
- drew1–1at Melbourne Victory
- lost0–2at Wellington Phoenix
- drew2–2v Newcastle Jets
- lost0–4at Newcastle Jets
- won1–0at Auckland
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Sydney won 6 of the last 10 meetings.
- Sydney unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
- Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Central Coast Mariners's last 10 away league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
10 meetings: Sydney 6, draws 1, Central Coast Mariners 3
Goals: Sydney 19, Central Coast Mariners 11
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 6 Dec 2025 | Central Coast Mariners v Sydney | 1–2 |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Sydney v Central Coast Mariners | 2–0 |
| 11 Jan 2025 | Sydney v Central Coast Mariners | 4–1 |
| 8 Dec 2024 | Central Coast Mariners v Sydney | 2–1 |
| 18 May 2024 | Central Coast Mariners v Sydney | 0–0 |
| 10 May 2024 | Sydney v Central Coast Mariners | 1–2 |
| 30 Mar 2024 | Sydney v Central Coast Mariners | 2–0 |
| 10 Feb 2024 | Central Coast Mariners v Sydney | 1–3 |
| 4 Feb 2023 | Sydney v Central Coast Mariners | 3–2 |
| 17 Dec 2022 | Central Coast Mariners v Sydney | 2–1 |
Home and away
Sydney at home
Last 5: 1 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost
- WonAdelaide United25 Oct 20262–1
- DrawnWestern Sydney Wanderers16 Oct 20260–0
- DrawnNewcastle Jets9 May 20261–1
- DrawnAuckland26 Apr 20262–2
- DrawnPerth Glory18 Apr 20260–0
Sydney: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 10 scored, 10 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 4 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Central Coast Mariners away
Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost
- DrawnMelbourne Victory1 Nov 20261–1
- LostWellington Phoenix25 Oct 20260–2
- LostNewcastle Jets25 Apr 20260–4
- WonAuckland19 Apr 20261–0
- LostMelbourne City7 Apr 20261–2
Central Coast Mariners: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 11 scored, 20 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 6 days before31 Oct 2026 · v Melbourne City · A-League
- Next match
- Not known
- Last match
- 5 days before1 Nov 2026 · v Melbourne Victory · A-League
- Next match
- Not known
Injuries and suspensions
Sydney
- Ruled out
- J. Farrell (Groin Injury) · G. Hoefsloot (Wrist Injury) · J. Hollman (Knock) · A. Walatee (Ankle Injury)
Central Coast Mariners
- Ruled out
- T. Hisamatsu (Inactive) · T. Sainsbury (Achilles Tendon Injury)
Published 6 Nov 2026, 07:37 GMT · not changed since
All fixtures