A-League
Sydney
4–1Finished
Central Coast Mariners
Fri 6 Nov 2026 · 08:40 GMTMatchday 4 · Allianz Stadium, Sydney

Sydney v Central Coast Mariners match analysis

Our selection

PRO members see our selection for this match.

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Fri 6 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

The model gives Sydney a 53% chance of winning, with a 0.68 expected goals gap in their favour. Sydney's recent form has been mixed (LWDLD) while Mariners improved with a win most recently (DLDLW), though Sydney hold the advantage in head-to-head record. Both teams are affected by injuries, with Sydney missing Farrell, Hoefsloot, Hollman and Walatee, and Mariners without Hisamatsu and Sainsbury.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 53%Sydney win
  • 25%Draw
  • 22%Central Coast Mariners win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

SydneySydney

Last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats

  1. lost1–2at Melbourne City
  2. won2–1v Adelaide United
  3. drew0–0v Western Sydney Wanderers
  4. lost0–1at Auckland
  5. drew1–1at Newcastle Jets
Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast Mariners

Last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats

  1. drew1–1at Melbourne Victory
  2. lost0–2at Wellington Phoenix
  3. drew2–2v Newcastle Jets
  4. lost0–4at Newcastle Jets
  5. won1–0at Auckland

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Sydney won 6 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Sydney unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Central Coast Mariners's last 10 away league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: Sydney 6, draws 1, Central Coast Mariners 3

Goals: Sydney 19, Central Coast Mariners 11

DateMatchScore
6 Dec 2025Central Coast Mariners v Sydney1–2
25 Oct 2025Sydney v Central Coast Mariners2–0
11 Jan 2025Sydney v Central Coast Mariners4–1
8 Dec 2024Central Coast Mariners v Sydney2–1
18 May 2024Central Coast Mariners v Sydney0–0
10 May 2024Sydney v Central Coast Mariners1–2
30 Mar 2024Sydney v Central Coast Mariners2–0
10 Feb 2024Central Coast Mariners v Sydney1–3
4 Feb 2023Sydney v Central Coast Mariners3–2
17 Dec 2022Central Coast Mariners v Sydney2–1

Home and away

Sydney

Sydney at home

Last 5: 1 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost

  • WonAdelaide United25 Oct 20262–1
  • DrawnWestern Sydney Wanderers16 Oct 20260–0
  • DrawnNewcastle Jets9 May 20261–1
  • DrawnAuckland26 Apr 20262–2
  • DrawnPerth Glory18 Apr 20260–0

Sydney: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
10 scored, 10 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10
Central Coast Mariners

Central Coast Mariners away

Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost

  • DrawnMelbourne Victory1 Nov 20261–1
  • LostWellington Phoenix25 Oct 20260–2
  • LostNewcastle Jets25 Apr 20260–4
  • WonAuckland19 Apr 20261–0
  • LostMelbourne City7 Apr 20261–2

Central Coast Mariners: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
11 scored, 20 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
1 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Sydney
Last match
6 days before31 Oct 2026 · v Melbourne City · A-League
Next match
Not known
Central Coast Mariners
Last match
5 days before1 Nov 2026 · v Melbourne Victory · A-League
Next match
Not known

Injuries and suspensions

  • SydneySydney
    Ruled out
    J. Farrell (Groin Injury) · G. Hoefsloot (Wrist Injury) · J. Hollman (Knock) · A. Walatee (Ankle Injury)
  • Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast Mariners
    Ruled out
    T. Hisamatsu (Inactive) · T. Sainsbury (Achilles Tendon Injury)

Published 6 Nov 2026, 07:37 GMT · not changed since

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