Telstar v Almere City FC match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Tue 27 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
The model gives Telstar a 55% chance of winning this second-tier Dutch fixture. Telstar are projected to create a gap of 0.76 in expected goals, with a total of 3.68 across both sides. Both teams have struggled recently, though Telstar beat Almere 3-1 in their January meeting.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 55%Telstar win
- 21%Draw
- 24%Almere City FC win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
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Form · newest first
TelstarLast 5: no wins, 2 draws, 3 defeats
Almere City FCLast 5: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Telstar won 11 of 21 matches in which they scored first, since 13 May 2025.
- Telstar won 2 of the last 5 meetings.
- Telstar without a win in their last 5 home games.
- Over 2.5 goals in 9 of Telstar's last 10 home league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
5 meetings: Telstar 2, draws 2, Almere City FC 1
Goals: Telstar 5, Almere City FC 3
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2026 | Almere City FC v Telstar | 1–3 |
| 27 Jan 2023 | Telstar v Almere City FCEerste Divisie | 0–1 |
| 9 Sep 2022 | Almere City FC v TelstarEerste Divisie | 0–1 |
| 30 Jan 2022 | Almere City FC v TelstarEerste Divisie | 0–0 |
| 10 Sep 2021 | Telstar v Almere City FCEerste Divisie | 1–1 |
Home and away
TelstarTelstar at home
Last 5: 0 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost
- LostFeyenoordEredivisie17 Oct 20263–4
- DrawnADO Den HaagEredivisie11 Oct 20262–2
- DrawnCambuurEredivisie6 Sep 20262–2
- LostAjaxEredivisie30 Aug 20260–4
- LostSparta RotterdamEredivisie14 Aug 20261–3
Telstar: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 21 scored, 19 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 9 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Almere City FCAlmere City FC away
Last 5: 3 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost
- LostEmmenEerste Divisie17 Oct 20261–2
- LostDordrechtEerste Divisie25 Sep 20262–3
- WonMVVEerste Divisie11 Sep 20264–0
- WonDe GraafschapEerste Divisie29 Aug 20264–1
- WonVitesseEerste Divisie21 Aug 20263–0
Almere City FC: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 21 scored, 16 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 8 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Telstar- Last match
- 4 days before23 Oct 2026 · v GO Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie
- Next match
- 5 days after1 Nov 2026 · v Utrecht · Eredivisie
Almere City FC- Last match
- 4 days before23 Oct 2026 · v Roda · Eerste Divisie
- Next match
- 3 days after30 Oct 2026 · v Waalwijk · Eerste Divisie
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 13 May 2025. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Telstar
| Score | Telstar |
|---|---|
| Scored first | 11 won, 9 drawn, 1 lost in 21 matches |
| Conceded first | 2 won, 4 drawn, 20 lost in 26 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 6 won, 9 drawn, 5 lost in 20 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 7 won, 13 drawn, 12 lost in 32 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 6 won, 11 drawn, 6 lost in 23 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Telstar |
|---|---|
| All matches | 16 scored, 21 conceded (50) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 6 scored, 10 conceded (20) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 7 scored, 7 conceded (20) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 28 times, equalised within 15 minutes 4, by full time 9Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Telstar and Almere City FC
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 27 Oct 2026, 17:58 GMT · not changed since
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