J2 League

Tokushima Vortis

J2 League1–2Finished

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 05:00 GMTMatchday 16 · Pocarisweat Stadium, Naruto

Tokushima Vortis v Tegevajaro Miyazaki match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 7 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

The model gives Tokushima a 32% chance of victory, with Miyazaki at 37% and a 31% probability of a draw. Expected output totals 2.23 goals with a gap of 0.11 in Miyazaki's favour. Miyazaki arrives on a stronger run with three consecutive wins, while Tokushima has shown mixed recent form.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

32%Tokushima Vortis win
31%Draw
37%Tegevajaro Miyazaki win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Tokushima Vortis

Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats

lost0–1at Montedio Yamagata
lost0–1v Yokohama FC
won1–0at Fujieda MYFC
lost0–1v Vanraure Hachinohe
drew0–0at Vegalta Sendai

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Last 5: 4 wins, 1 draw, no defeats

won3–0v Tochigi City
won2–0v Oita Trinita
won2–0at Montedio Yamagata
won2–1v Blaublitz Akita
drew1–1v Jubilo Iwata

Head-to-head

Head-to-head data was not available for this match.

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Tokushima Vortis's last 10 home league games.

Home and away

Tokushima Vortis

Tokushima Vortis at home

Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost

LostYokohama FC31 Oct 20260–1
LostVanraure Hachinohe21 Oct 20260–1
LostImabari10 Oct 20261–2
WonTochigi City26 Sep 20263–0
WonIwaki5 Sep 20261–0

Tokushima Vortis: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals: 12 scored, 7 conceded in 10
Both teams scored: 4 of 10
Over 2.5 goals: 3 of 10
Clean sheets: 4 of 10

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Tegevajaro Miyazaki away

Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost

WonMontedio Yamagata25 Oct 20262–0
DrawnKataller Toyama11 Oct 20261–1
WonVanraure Hachinohe18 Sep 20263–0
LostSagan Tosu5 Sep 20260–2
LostVegalta Sendai29 Aug 20262–4

Tegevajaro Miyazaki: away league games

Last 6 league games, 90-minute score

Goals: 9 scored, 8 conceded in 6
Both teams scored: 3 of 6
Over 2.5 goals: 2 of 6
Clean sheets: 2 of 6

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Tokushima Vortis

Last match: 4 days before3 Nov 2026 · v Montedio Yamagata · J2 League
Next match: 8 days after15 Nov 2026 · v Kataller Toyama · J2 League

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Last match: 4 days before3 Nov 2026 · v Tochigi City · J2 League
Next match: 7 days after14 Nov 2026 · v Albirex Niigata · J2 League

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 03:57 GMT · not changed since

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