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Liga MX
Toluca
1–1Finished
Atletico San Luis
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 02:00 BSTApertura · Matchday 12 · Estadio Nemesio Diez, Toluca

Toluca v Atletico San Luis match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 18 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Toluca are strong favourites with a 69% win probability and an expected goals advantage of 1.41. The hosts have won their last two matches and hold a dominant head-to-head record, winning twice in three recent meetings.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 69%Toluca win
  • 19%Draw
  • 12%Atletico San Luis win

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

TolucaToluca

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis

Last 5: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Toluca won 7 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Toluca's last 10 home league games.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 8 of Atletico San Luis's last 10 away league games.
  • Both teams scored in 8 of Toluca's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: Toluca 7, draws 1, Atletico San Luis 2

Goals: Toluca 19, Atletico San Luis 8

DateMatchScore
13 Apr 2026Toluca v Atletico San Luis1–1
30 Aug 2025Atletico San Luis v Toluca1–3
17 Apr 2025Atletico San Luis v Toluca0–1
25 Aug 2024Toluca v Atletico San Luis2–1
20 Apr 2024Atletico San Luis v Toluca1–5
29 Oct 2023Toluca v Atletico San Luis3–1
26 Feb 2023Toluca v Atletico San Luis2–0
21 Aug 2022Atletico San Luis v Toluca1–0
12 Feb 2022Atletico San Luis v Toluca0–1
26 Sep 2021Toluca v Atletico San Luis1–2

Home and away

Toluca

Toluca at home

Last 5: 3 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost

  • LostSantos Laguna21 Sep 20262–3
  • WonAtlas13 Sep 20265–2
  • WonFC Juarez31 Aug 20264–0
  • WonNecaxa3 Aug 20263–1
  • LostU.N.A.M. - Pumas22 Jul 20261–2

Toluca: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
24 scored, 13 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
8 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
1 of 10
Atletico San Luis

Atletico San Luis away

Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost

  • WonU.N.A.M. - Pumas27 Sep 20263–2
  • LostLeon15 Sep 20260–2
  • WonMonterrey31 Aug 20263–1
  • LostClub America17 Aug 20260–3
  • DrawnTigres UANL26 Jul 20262–2

Atletico San Luis: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
14 scored, 20 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
8 of 10
Clean sheets
0 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Toluca
Last match
8 days before10 Oct 2026 · v Tigres UANL · Liga MX
Next match
4 days after22 Oct 2026 · v Club Tijuana · Liga MX
Atletico San Luis
Last match
7 days before12 Oct 2026 · v Santos Laguna · Liga MX
Next match
3 days after21 Oct 2026 · v Club Queretaro · Liga MX

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 18 Oct 2026, 00:57 BST · not changed since

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