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Liga MX
Toluca
01:00
Monterrey
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · GMTApertura · Matchday 16 · Estadio Nemesio Diez, Toluca

Toluca v Monterrey · analysis and preview

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Most likely: Toluca win

The model gives Toluca a stronger winning chance than Monterrey. Expected goals are 2.01 for Toluca and 1.19 for Monterrey, a gap of 0.82 in the hosts' favour. Toluca have stalled with four straight draws, while Monterrey have one win in their last five matches; in five recent head-to-head games, the record is split.

How the match could end · our estimate

  • 56%Toluca win
  • 23%Draw
  • 21%Monterrey win

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

TolucaToluca

Last 5: no wins, 4 draws, 1 defeat

  1. drew2–2at Club America
  2. drew1–1at Leon
  3. drew2–2v Club Tijuana
  4. drew1–1v Atletico San Luis
  5. lost2–3at Tigres UANL
MonterreyMonterrey

Last 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat

  1. drew3–3v Club Tijuana
  2. lost0–1v Guadalajara Chivas
  3. won4–1at Puebla
  4. won2–1v CF Pachuca
  5. drew1–1at Club America

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Toluca won 6 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Toluca's last 10 home league games.
  • Both teams scored in 8 of Toluca's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: Toluca 6, draws 2, Monterrey 2

Goals: Toluca 18, Monterrey 11

DateMatchScore
11 Jan 2026Monterrey v Toluca0–1
7 Dec 2025Toluca v Monterrey3–2
4 Dec 2025Monterrey v Toluca1–0
25 Sep 2025Toluca v Monterrey6–2
11 May 2025Toluca v Monterrey2–1
8 May 2025Monterrey v Toluca3–2
19 Jan 2025Toluca v Monterrey1–1
1 Sep 2024Monterrey v Toluca1–2
19 Feb 2024Monterrey v Toluca0–0
31 Aug 2023Toluca v Monterrey1–0

Home and away

Toluca

Toluca at home

Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost

  • DrawnClub Tijuana22 Oct 20262–2
  • DrawnAtletico San Luis18 Oct 20261–1
  • LostSantos Laguna21 Sep 20262–3
  • WonAtlas13 Sep 20265–2
  • WonFC Juarez31 Aug 20264–0

Toluca: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
23 scored, 14 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
8 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
1 of 10
Monterrey

Monterrey away

Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost

  • WonPuebla22 Oct 20264–1
  • DrawnClub America11 Oct 20261–1
  • LostAtlante FC26 Sep 20262–4
  • LostLeon22 Aug 20260–2
  • WonAtlas2 Aug 20262–0

Monterrey: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
12 scored, 16 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Toluca
Last match
7 days before1 Nov 2026 · v Club America · Liga MX
Next match
13 days after21 Nov 2026 · v CF Pachuca · Liga MX
Monterrey
Last match
7 days before1 Nov 2026 · v Club Tijuana · Liga MX
Next match
6 days after14 Nov 2026 · v Club Queretaro · Liga MX

Injuries and suspensions

Team news not available yet.

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 16:03 GMT

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