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Serie A · Brazil
Vasco DA Gama
1–4Finished
Flamengo
Thu 29 Oct 2026 · 23:00 GMTMatchday 33 · São Januário, Rio de Janeiro

Vasco DA Gama v Flamengo match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Thu 29 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Flamengo hold a 52% chance of winning this Rio derby, with Vasco at 23% and a draw at 26%. Flamengo have won four of their last five matches, while Vasco's form reads one win in five. Their last three meetings—all in 2025–26—ended 2-2, 1-1 and 0-0, showing evenly matched contests. Expected total goals stand at 2.69, with Flamengo averaging 1.67 and Vasco 1.02.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 22%Vasco DA Gama win
  • 26%Draw
  • 52%Flamengo win

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Form · newest first

Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

FlamengoFlamengo

Last 5: 3 wins, 2 draws, no defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Flamengo won 3 of the last 7 meetings.
  • Flamengo unbeaten in their last 5 away games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

7 meetings: Vasco DA Gama 0, draws 4, Flamengo 3

Goals: Vasco DA Gama 6, Flamengo 15

DateMatchScore
3 May 2026Flamengo v Vasco DA Gama2–2
21 Sep 2025Flamengo v Vasco DA Gama1–1
19 Apr 2025Vasco DA Gama v Flamengo0–0
15 Sep 2024Flamengo v Vasco DA Gama1–1
2 Jun 2024Vasco DA Gama v Flamengo1–6
22 Oct 2023Flamengo v Vasco DA Gama1–0
6 Jun 2023Vasco DA Gama v Flamengo1–4

Home and away

Vasco DA Gama

Vasco DA Gama at home

Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost

  • WonCorinthians24 Oct 20263–2
  • LostBoca JuniorsCONMEBOL Sudamericana21 Oct 20261–3
  • DrawnRemo10 Oct 20260–0
  • WonCoritiba20 Sep 20265–0
  • WonSanta FeCONMEBOL Sudamericana15 Sep 20262–0

Vasco DA Gama: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
15 scored, 12 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
4 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10
Flamengo

Flamengo away

Last 5: 3 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost

  • WonBahia18 Oct 20263–0
  • DrawnEstudiantes L.P.CONMEBOL Libertadores16 Oct 20260–0
  • DrawnSantos8 Oct 20262–2
  • WonIndependiente del ValleCONMEBOL Libertadores11 Sep 20262–0
  • WonRemo6 Sep 20261–0

Flamengo: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
23 scored, 7 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
5 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Vasco DA Gama
Last match
5 days before24 Oct 2026 · v Corinthians · Serie A · Brazil
Next match
3 days after1 Nov 2026 · v Palmeiras · Copa Do Brasil
Flamengo
Last match
3 days before26 Oct 2026 · v Atletico-MG · Serie A · Brazil
Next match
6 days after4 Nov 2026 · v Gremio · Serie A · Brazil

Injuries and suspensions

  • Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
    Ruled out
    Cauan Barros (Leg Injury) · C. Cuesta (Hip Injury) · Mateus Carvalho (Knee Injury)
    Doubtful
    A. Gomez (Injury)
  • FlamengoFlamengo
    Ruled out
    J. Carrascal (Yellow Cards) · Danilo (Jaw injury) · S. Niguez (Muscle Injury) · A. Valencia (Eye injury)
    Doubtful
    Evertton Araujo (Thigh Injury)

Published 29 Oct 2026, 21:57 GMT · not changed since

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