VfL Bochum v FSV Mainz 05 match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Tue 27 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Mainz are favoured by the model with a 58% chance of victory, compared to Bochum's 20%, while a draw has a 23% probability. Mainz's expected production is 1.98 goals to Bochum's 1.08, a gap of 0.9. The visitors have beaten Bochum twice by significant margins this year (2-0 and 4-1), though both sides show inconsistent recent form.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 20%VfL Bochum win
- 23%Draw
- 57%FSV Mainz 05 win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
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Form · newest first
VfL BochumLast 5: no wins, 2 draws, 3 defeats
FSV Mainz 05Last 5: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- FSV Mainz 05 won 21 of 32 matches in which they scored first, since 3 Nov 2024.
- FSV Mainz 05 won 6 of the last 9 meetings.
- FSV Mainz 05 unbeaten in their last 5 away games.
- VfL Bochum without a win in their last 5 home games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
9 meetings: VfL Bochum 2, draws 1, FSV Mainz 05 6
Goals: VfL Bochum 11, FSV Mainz 05 19
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10 May 2025 | VfL Bochum v FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga | 1–4 |
| 11 Jan 2025 | FSV Mainz 05 v VfL BochumBundesliga | 2–0 |
| 16 Mar 2024 | FSV Mainz 05 v VfL BochumBundesliga | 2–0 |
| 27 Oct 2023 | VfL Bochum v FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga | 2–2 |
| 28 Jan 2023 | FSV Mainz 05 v VfL BochumBundesliga | 5–2 |
| 6 Aug 2022 | VfL Bochum v FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga | 1–2 |
| 18 Jan 2022 | VfL Bochum v FSV Mainz 05 | 3–1 |
| 15 Jan 2022 | FSV Mainz 05 v VfL BochumBundesliga | 1–0 |
| 21 Aug 2021 | VfL Bochum v FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga | 2–0 |
Home and away
VfL BochumVfL Bochum at home
Last 5: 0 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost
- DrawnVfL Wolfsburg2. Bundesliga23 Oct 20261–1
- LostArminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga11 Oct 20260–1
- DrawnSpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga12 Sep 20261–1
- LostVfL Osnabrück2. Bundesliga28 Aug 20260–1
- LostHertha BSC2. Bundesliga7 Aug 20260–1
VfL Bochum: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 14 scored, 13 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 4 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 10
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05 away
Last 5: 5 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost
- WonFC Schalke 04Bundesliga17 Oct 20261–0
- WonBorussia MönchengladbachBundesliga19 Sep 20264–3
- WonHamburger SVBundesliga6 Sep 20265–0
- WonKrieschow23 Aug 20269–0
- Won1. FC HeidenheimBundesliga16 May 20262–0
FSV Mainz 05: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 20 scored, 11 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
VfL Bochum- Last match
- 4 days before23 Oct 2026 · v VfL Wolfsburg · 2. Bundesliga
- Next match
- 3 days after30 Oct 2026 · v Energie Cottbus · 2. Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05- Last match
- 3 days before24 Oct 2026 · v Werder Bremen · Bundesliga
- Next match
- 3 days after30 Oct 2026 · v SV Elversberg · Bundesliga
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 3 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
FSV Mainz 05
| Score | FSV Mainz 05 |
|---|---|
| Scored first | 21 won, 7 drawn, 4 lost in 32 matches |
| Conceded first | 4 won, 7 drawn, 20 lost in 31 matches |
| 1 goal up at half-time | 12 won, 7 drawn, 2 lost in 21 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 12 won, 14 drawn, 13 lost in 39 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 9 won, 11 drawn, 10 lost in 30 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | FSV Mainz 05 |
|---|---|
| All matches | 20 scored, 28 conceded (67) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 9 scored, 17 conceded (31) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 7 scored, 4 conceded (20) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 32 times, equalised within 15 minutes 5, by full time 15Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
PRO depth
PRO depth: VfL Bochum and FSV Mainz 05
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 27 Oct 2026, 15:57 GMT · not changed since
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