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Serie A · Brazil
Vitoria
1–1Finished
Atletico Paranaense
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 20:30 BSTMatchday 32 · Estadio Manoel Barradas, El Salvador

Vitoria v Atletico Paranaense match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 24 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Vitoria and Atletico Paranaense arrive almost equally favoured by the model, with each given roughly a 36% chance of winning. Nine absences leave Vitoria severely weakened at home, while Atletico Paranaense carry five injuries including Claudinho's uncertain status. Expected goals stand at 2.55.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 36%Vitoria win
  • 28%Draw
  • 36%Atletico Paranaense win

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

VitoriaVitoria

Last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats

Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense

Last 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Atletico Paranaense won 2 of the last 3 meetings.
  • Not both teams scored in 8 of Vitoria's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

3 meetings: Vitoria 1, draws 0, Atletico Paranaense 2

Goals: Vitoria 3, Atletico Paranaense 5

DateMatchScore
26 Apr 2026Atletico Paranaense v Vitoria3–1
2 Nov 2024Atletico Paranaense v Vitoria1–2
30 Jun 2024Vitoria v Atletico Paranaense0–1

Home and away

Vitoria

Vitoria at home

Last 5: 3 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost

  • WonChapecoense-sc8 Oct 20264–0
  • LostCruzeiro20 Sep 20261–3
  • WonGremio8 Sep 20261–0
  • LostBahia23 Aug 20260–2
  • WonBotafogo16 Aug 20261–0

Vitoria: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
14 scored, 10 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
2 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
6 of 10
Atletico Paranaense

Atletico Paranaense away

Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost

  • WonChapecoense-sc12 Oct 20264–1
  • DrawnCoritiba12 Sep 20263–3
  • LostCruzeiro6 Sep 20261–3
  • WonBotafogo25 Aug 20263–2
  • WonSantos9 Aug 20262–0

Atletico Paranaense: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
17 scored, 13 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Vitoria
Last match
5 days before20 Oct 2026 · v Corinthians · Serie A · Brazil
Next match
7 days after31 Oct 2026 · v Coritiba · Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
Last match
7 days before17 Oct 2026 · v Palmeiras · Serie A · Brazil
Next match
6 days after30 Oct 2026 · v Gremio · Serie A · Brazil

Injuries and suspensions

  • VitoriaVitoria
    Ruled out
    Baralhas (Broken Leg) · Camutanga (Broken Leg) · Dudu (Back Injury) · Edu (Achilles Tendon Injury) · Fabiano (Knee Injury) · Nathan Mendes (Knee Injury) · Ramon (Leg Injury) · Rene (Yellow Cards) · Riccieli (Calf Injury)
  • Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
    Ruled out
    G. Benavidez (Muscle Injury) · K. A. Calderon Vargas (Inactive) · Dantas (Inactive) · C. Teran (Inactive)
    Doubtful
    Claudinho (Injury)

Published 24 Oct 2026, 19:28 BST · not changed since

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