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Serie A · Brazil
Vitoria
4–0Finished
Chapecoense-sc
Thu 8 Oct 2026 · 00:00 BST

Vitoria v Chapecoense-sc match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Thu 8 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 49%Vitoria win
  • 27%Draw
  • 24%Chapecoense-sc win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

VitoriaVitoria

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc

Last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Vitoria won 20 of 29 matches in which they scored first, since 29 Mar 2025.
  • Chapecoense-sc won 19 of 28 matches in which they scored first, since 5 Apr 2025.
  • Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Vitoria's last 10 home league games.
  • Not both teams scored in 8 of Vitoria's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

3 meetings: Vitoria 1, draws 1, Chapecoense-sc 1

Goals: Vitoria 3, Chapecoense-sc 4

DateMatchScore
5 Apr 2026Chapecoense-sc v Vitoria1–1
25 Nov 2023Chapecoense-sc v VitoriaSerie B · Brazil3–1
24 Jul 2023Vitoria v Chapecoense-scSerie B · Brazil1–0

Home and away

Vitoria

Vitoria at home

Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost

  • LostCruzeiro20 Sep 20261–3
  • WonGremio8 Sep 20261–0
  • LostBahia23 Aug 20260–2
  • WonBotafogo16 Aug 20261–0
  • LostPalmeiras30 Jul 20260–4

Vitoria: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
12 scored, 10 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
2 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
3 of 10
Clean sheets
6 of 10
Chapecoense-sc

Chapecoense-sc away

Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost

  • DrawnAtletico-MG19 Sep 20261–1
  • WonCorinthians6 Sep 20262–1
  • LostGremio30 Aug 20261–3
  • LostCoritiba9 Aug 20261–2
  • DrawnSantos25 Jul 20262–2

Chapecoense-sc: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
10 scored, 17 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
8 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
0 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Vitoria
Last match
17 days before20 Sep 2026 · v Cruzeiro · Serie A · Brazil
Next match
4 days after11 Oct 2026 · v Sao Paulo · Serie A · Brazil
Chapecoense-sc
Last match
18 days before19 Sep 2026 · v Atletico-MG · Serie A · Brazil
Next match
5 days after12 Oct 2026 · v Atletico Paranaense · Serie A · Brazil

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Vitoria

Since 29 Mar 2025

ScoreVitoriaLeague sides
Scored first20 won, 7 drawn, 2 lost in 29 matches410 won, 132 drawn, 72 lost in 614 matches
Conceded first1 won, 6 drawn, 28 lost in 35 matches72 won, 132 drawn, 410 lost in 614 matches
Level at half-time7 won, 14 drawn, 8 lost in 29 matches166 won, 188 drawn, 166 lost in 520 matches
Level after 60 minutes8 won, 13 drawn, 11 lost in 32 matches130 won, 184 drawn, 130 lost in 444 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes15 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 20 matches217 won, 65 drawn, 11 lost in 293 matches
Level after 70 minutes3 won, 13 drawn, 5 lost in 21 matches87 won, 206 drawn, 87 lost in 380 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes15 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 20 matches223 won, 53 drawn, 1 lost in 277 matches
Level after 80 minutes2 won, 14 drawn, 5 lost in 21 matches72 won, 236 drawn, 72 lost in 380 matches
Level after 15 minutes17 won, 20 drawn, 23 lost in 60 matches347 won, 272 drawn, 347 lost in 966 matches
Level after 30 minutes10 won, 19 drawn, 16 lost in 45 matches241 won, 226 drawn, 241 lost in 708 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreVitoriaLeague sides
All matches12 scored, 25 conceded (72)401 scored, 401 conceded (1314)
When leading after 75 minutes5 scored, 8 conceded (25)135 scored, 148 conceded (465)
When level after 75 minutes3 scored, 7 conceded (20)118 scored, 118 conceded (384)
When trailing after 75 minutes4 scored, 10 conceded (27)148 scored, 135 conceded (465)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 35 times, equalised within 15 minutes 4, by full time 11(league sides: 692 times, within 15 minutes 116, by full time 302)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Chapecoense-sc

Since 5 Apr 2025

ScoreChapecoense-scLeague sides
Scored first19 won, 6 drawn, 3 lost in 28 matches410 won, 132 drawn, 72 lost in 614 matches
Conceded first2 won, 8 drawn, 24 lost in 34 matches72 won, 132 drawn, 410 lost in 614 matches
Level at half-time8 won, 13 drawn, 15 lost in 36 matches166 won, 188 drawn, 166 lost in 520 matches
Level after 60 minutes4 won, 11 drawn, 8 lost in 23 matches130 won, 184 drawn, 130 lost in 444 matches
Level after 70 minutes5 won, 10 drawn, 6 lost in 21 matches87 won, 206 drawn, 87 lost in 380 matches
Level after 15 minutes11 won, 16 drawn, 22 lost in 49 matches347 won, 272 drawn, 347 lost in 966 matches
Level after 30 minutes6 won, 16 drawn, 15 lost in 37 matches241 won, 226 drawn, 241 lost in 708 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreChapecoense-scLeague sides
All matches22 scored, 20 conceded (65)401 scored, 401 conceded (1314)
When level after 75 minutes10 scored, 8 conceded (20)118 scored, 118 conceded (384)
When trailing after 75 minutes9 scored, 6 conceded (26)148 scored, 135 conceded (465)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 38 times, equalised within 15 minutes 9, by full time 18(league sides: 692 times, within 15 minutes 116, by full time 302)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 29 Mar 2025, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Vitoria and Chapecoense-sc

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • VitoriaVitoriaBaralhas (Broken Leg) · Camutanga (Broken Leg) · Dudu (Back Injury) · Edu (Achilles Tendon Injury) · Fabiano (Knee Injury) · Nathan Mendes (Knee Injury) · Ramon (Leg Injury) · Riccieli (Calf Injury)
  • Chapecoense-scChapecoense-scNo injuries or suspensions reported.

Published 7 Oct 2026, 22:57 BST · not changed since

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