Wales v Portugal · analysis and preview
Add to JournalNo signal on this match
Most likely: Portugal win
The model gives Portugal a 57% chance of winning, with Wales at 17% and a draw at 26%. Portugal hold a 1-0 head-to-head advantage from their September meeting. Wales have won only one of their last five matches, while Portugal arrive on four consecutive victories. Expected goals total 2.46, with Portugal projected for 1.66 and Wales 0.8.
How the match could end · our estimate
- 17%Wales win
- 26%Draw
- 57%Portugal win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
Last 5: 1 win, no draws, 4 defeats
- lost0–1v Denmark
- won2–1v Norway
- lost0–2at Denmark
- lost0–1at Portugal
- lost1–2at Romania
Last 5: 4 wins, no draws, 1 defeat
- won2–1v Norway
- won4–2at Denmark
- won2–1at Norway
- won1–0v Wales
- lost0–1v Spain
Head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep 2026 | Portugal — Wales | 1–0 |
Injuries and suspensions
Team news not available yet.
Updated 7 Nov 2026, 12:58 GMT
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