UEFA Nations League
Wales
19:45
Portugal
Tue 17 Nov 2026 · GMTLeague A · Matchday 6

Wales v Portugal · analysis and preview

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No signal on this match

Most likely: Portugal win

The model gives Portugal a 57% chance of winning, with Wales at 17% and a draw at 26%. Portugal hold a 1-0 head-to-head advantage from their September meeting. Wales have won only one of their last five matches, while Portugal arrive on four consecutive victories. Expected goals total 2.46, with Portugal projected for 1.66 and Wales 0.8.

How the match could end · our estimate

  • 17%Wales win
  • 26%Draw
  • 57%Portugal win

PRO analysis

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Form · newest first

WalesWales

Last 5: 1 win, no draws, 4 defeats

  1. lost0–1v Denmark
  2. won2–1v Norway
  3. lost0–2at Denmark
  4. lost0–1at Portugal
  5. lost1–2at Romania
PortugalPortugal

Last 5: 4 wins, no draws, 1 defeat

  1. won2–1v Norway
  2. won4–2at Denmark
  3. won2–1at Norway
  4. won1–0v Wales
  5. lost0–1v Spain

Head-to-head

DateMatchScore
24 Sep 2026Portugal — Wales1–0

Injuries and suspensions

Team news not available yet.

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 12:58 GMT

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