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Bundesliga
1. FC Köln
2–1Finished
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 14:30 BSTMatchday 5

1. FC Köln v Borussia Mönchengladbach match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 11 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Köln hold a 48% chance of victory over Mönchengladbach's 28%, with the model expecting 3.23 goals. Both teams have struggled recently, winning just once in their last five matches. Köln are hampered by multiple key absences including attackers Ache and Dallinga.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 48%1. FC Köln win
  • 24%Draw
  • 28%Borussia Mönchengladbach win

PRO analysis

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

1. FC Köln1. FC Köln

Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats

Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach

Last 5: 1 win, no draws, 4 defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • 1. FC Köln avoided defeat in 9 of 23 matches in which their opponent scored first, since 24 Aug 2025.
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach won 19 of 31 matches in which they scored first, since 19 Oct 2024.
  • 1. FC Köln won 3 of the last 8 meetings.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 8 of 1. FC Köln's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

8 meetings: 1. FC Köln 3, draws 3, Borussia Mönchengladbach 2

Goals: 1. FC Köln 19, Borussia Mönchengladbach 17

DateMatchScore
21 Mar 20261. FC Köln v Borussia Mönchengladbach3–3
8 Nov 2025Borussia Mönchengladbach v 1. FC Köln3–1
9 Mar 2024Borussia Mönchengladbach v 1. FC Köln3–3
22 Oct 20231. FC Köln v Borussia Mönchengladbach3–1
2 Apr 20231. FC Köln v Borussia Mönchengladbach0–0
9 Oct 2022Borussia Mönchengladbach v 1. FC Köln5–2
16 Apr 2022Borussia Mönchengladbach v 1. FC Köln1–3
27 Nov 20211. FC Köln v Borussia Mönchengladbach4–1

Home and away

1. FC Köln

1. FC Köln at home

Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost

  • DrawnWerder Bremen12 Sep 20261–1
  • Won1899 Hoffenheim29 Aug 20263–2
  • Lost1. FC Heidenheim10 May 20261–3
  • LostBayer Leverkusen25 Apr 20261–2
  • WonWerder Bremen12 Apr 20263–1

1. FC Köln: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
17 scored, 18 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
9 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
8 of 10
Clean sheets
1 of 10
Borussia Mönchengladbach

Borussia Mönchengladbach away

Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost

  • LostSC Freiburg12 Sep 20260–5
  • LostRB Leipzig29 Aug 20260–3
  • WonSchott MainzDFB Pokal23 Aug 20265–0
  • LostFC Augsburg9 May 20261–3
  • DrawnVfL Wolfsburg25 Apr 20260–0

Borussia Mönchengladbach: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
7 scored, 25 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
1 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

1. FC Köln
Last match
22 days before19 Sep 2026 · v Hamburger SV · Bundesliga
Next match
5 days after16 Oct 2026 · v Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Last match
22 days before19 Sep 2026 · v FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga
Next match
7 days after18 Oct 2026 · v 1899 Hoffenheim · Bundesliga

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

1. FC Köln

Since 24 Aug 2025

Score1. FC KölnLeague sides
Conceded first2 won, 7 drawn, 14 lost in 23 matches125 won, 195 drawn, 596 lost in 916 matches
Level after 15 minutes7 won, 7 drawn, 13 lost in 27 matches481 won, 354 drawn, 481 lost in 1316 matches
Level after 30 minutes2 won, 7 drawn, 12 lost in 21 matches315 won, 308 drawn, 315 lost in 938 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
Score1. FC KölnLeague sides
All matches22 scored, 13 conceded (38)698 scored, 698 conceded (1934)
When trailing after 75 minutes15 scored, 7 conceded (21)262 scored, 295 conceded (727)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 32 times, equalised within 15 minutes 7, by full time 18(league sides: 1,111 times, within 15 minutes 191, by full time 506)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Since 19 Oct 2024

ScoreBorussia MönchengladbachLeague sides
Scored first19 won, 8 drawn, 4 lost in 31 matches596 won, 195 drawn, 125 lost in 916 matches
Conceded first1 won, 3 drawn, 25 lost in 29 matches125 won, 195 drawn, 596 lost in 916 matches
Level at half-time6 won, 14 drawn, 7 lost in 27 matches197 won, 286 drawn, 197 lost in 680 matches
Level after 60 minutes5 won, 14 drawn, 6 lost in 25 matches148 won, 284 drawn, 148 lost in 580 matches
Level after 15 minutes10 won, 13 drawn, 19 lost in 42 matches481 won, 354 drawn, 481 lost in 1316 matches
Level after 30 minutes9 won, 13 drawn, 15 lost in 37 matches315 won, 308 drawn, 315 lost in 938 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreBorussia MönchengladbachLeague sides
All matches22 scored, 29 conceded (66)698 scored, 698 conceded (1934)
When leading after 75 minutes7 scored, 8 conceded (22)295 scored, 262 conceded (727)
When level after 75 minutes6 scored, 8 conceded (20)141 scored, 141 conceded (480)
When trailing after 75 minutes9 scored, 13 conceded (24)262 scored, 295 conceded (727)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 32 times, equalised within 15 minutes 6, by full time 9(league sides: 1,111 times, within 15 minutes 191, by full time 506)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 18 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

1. FC KölnBorussia Mönchengladbach
38Since 24 Aug 2025Matches with xG66Since 19 Oct 2024
59.88xG for91.44
55Goals scored96
63.40xG against116.69
72Goals conceded116

1. FC Köln

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
1. FC Köln: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
19 Sep 2026at Hamburger SV1.411.451–2
12 Sep 2026v Werder Bremen1.651.121–1
4 Sep 2026at VfB Stuttgart2.863.471–4
29 Aug 2026v 1899 Hoffenheim1.951.883–2
16 May 2026at Bayern München0.983.051–5
10 May 2026v 1. FC Heidenheim1.171.361–3
2 May 2026at Union Berlin1.751.152–2
25 Apr 2026v Bayer Leverkusen3.041.331–2
17 Apr 2026at FC St. Pauli1.332.011–1
12 Apr 2026v Werder Bremen3.330.993–1

Borussia Mönchengladbach

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Borussia Mönchengladbach: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
19 Sep 2026v FSV Mainz 053.242.823–4
12 Sep 2026at SC Freiburg0.192.600–5
5 Sep 2026v SV Elversberg2.362.313–4
29 Aug 2026at RB Leipzig1.093.960–3
16 May 2026v 1899 Hoffenheim1.201.624–0
9 May 2026at FC Augsburg1.142.591–3
3 May 2026v Borussia Dortmund2.200.491–0
25 Apr 2026at VfL Wolfsburg0.511.470–0
19 Apr 2026v FSV Mainz 050.622.321–1
11 Apr 2026at RB Leipzig1.782.430–1

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: 1. FC Köln and Borussia Mönchengladbach

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
    Ruled out
    R. Ache (Thigh Injury) · A. Castro-Montes (Muscle Injury) · T. Dallinga (Knee Injury) · T. Hubers (Knee Injury)
  • Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
    Ruled out
    J. Castrop (Shoulder Injury) · F. Honorat (Muscle Injury) · N. Kuhn (Muscle Injury) · E. Leopold (Knee Injury)
    Doubtful
    K. Itakura (Ankle Injury) · T. Kleindienst (Injury)

Published 11 Oct 2026, 14:07 BST · not changed since

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