Bundesliga0–0Finished

FC Schalke 04

Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 14:30 BSTMatchday 7 · RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne

1. FC Köln v FC Schalke 04 match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 24 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Köln hold a modest home advantage with a 48% chance of victory, though both squads face significant injury problems. The model expects 2.79 goals, with Köln slightly more likely to dominate possession and create chances.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

48%1. FC Köln win
26%Draw
26%FC Schalke 04 win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

1. FC Köln

Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats

FC Schalke 04

Last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

1. FC Köln avoided defeat in 9 of 24 matches in which their opponent scored first, since 24 Aug 2025.
Bundesliga, since 18 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 148 of 197.
1. FC Köln won 3 of the last 4 meetings.
Over 2.5 goals in 9 of 1. FC Köln's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

4 meetings: 1. FC Köln 3, draws 1, FC Schalke 04 0

Goals: 1. FC Köln 7, FC Schalke 04 2

Date	Match	Score
9 Feb 2025	1. FC Köln v FC Schalke 042. Bundesliga	1–0
1 Sep 2024	FC Schalke 04 v 1. FC Köln2. Bundesliga	1–3
29 Jan 2023	FC Schalke 04 v 1. FC Köln	0–0
7 Aug 2022	1. FC Köln v FC Schalke 04	3–1

Home and away

1. FC Köln

1. FC Köln at home

Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost

WonBorussia Mönchengladbach11 Oct 20262–1
DrawnWerder Bremen12 Sep 20261–1
Won1899 Hoffenheim29 Aug 20263–2
Lost1. FC Heidenheim10 May 20261–3
LostBayer Leverkusen25 Apr 20261–2

1. FC Köln: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals: 18 scored, 19 conceded in 10
Both teams scored: 10 of 10
Over 2.5 goals: 9 of 10
Clean sheets: 0 of 10

FC Schalke 04

FC Schalke 04 away

Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost

LostSC Freiburg11 Oct 20261–2
WonUnion Berlin11 Sep 20263–1
LostFC Augsburg30 Aug 20260–3
DrawnHallescher FCDFB Pokal24 Aug 20262–2 AET 5–2
Lost1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga9 May 20260–3

FC Schalke 04: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals: 13 scored, 17 conceded in 10
Both teams scored: 7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals: 7 of 10
Clean sheets: 0 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

1. FC Köln

Last match: 8 days before16 Oct 2026 · v Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga
Next match: 3 days after27 Oct 2026 · v Union Berlin · DFB Pokal

FC Schalke 04

Last match: 7 days before17 Oct 2026 · v FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga
Next match: 4 days after28 Oct 2026 · v Dynamo Dresden · DFB Pokal

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 24 Aug 2025. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

1. FC Köln

Score	1. FC Köln	League sides
Conceded first	2 won, 7 drawn, 15 lost in 24 matches	127 won, 196 drawn, 604 lost in 927 matches
Level after 15 minutes	8 won, 7 drawn, 14 lost in 29 matches	485 won, 358 drawn, 485 lost in 1328 matches
Level after 30 minutes	2 won, 7 drawn, 13 lost in 22 matches	319 won, 310 drawn, 319 lost in 948 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
Score	1. FC Köln	League sides
All matches	22 scored, 14 conceded (40)	707 scored, 707 conceded (1958)
When trailing after 75 minutes	15 scored, 7 conceded (21)	266 scored, 296 conceded (733)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 32 times, equalised within 15 minutes 7, by full time 18(league sides: 1,123 times, within 15 minutes 193, by full time 512)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 18 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 24 Aug 2025

1. FC Köln		FC Schalke 04
40	Matches with xG	—
62.02	xG for	—
57	Goals scored	—
66.41	xG against	—
74	Goals conceded	—

1. FC Köln

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left

Show the numbers

1. FC Köln: Last matches with xG, newest first
Date	Opponent	xG for	xG against	Goals (tick; no tick = 0)
16 Oct 2026	at Eintracht Frankfurt	0.82	1.84	0–1
11 Oct 2026	v Borussia Mönchengladbach	1.32	1.17	2–1
19 Sep 2026	at Hamburger SV	1.41	1.45	1–2
12 Sep 2026	v Werder Bremen	1.65	1.12	1–1
4 Sep 2026	at VfB Stuttgart	2.86	3.47	1–4
29 Aug 2026	v 1899 Hoffenheim	1.95	1.88	3–2
16 May 2026	at Bayern München	0.98	3.05	1–5
10 May 2026	v 1. FC Heidenheim	1.17	1.36	1–3
2 May 2026	at Union Berlin	1.75	1.15	2–2
25 Apr 2026	v Bayer Leverkusen	3.04	1.33	1–2

This league season

Bundesliga matches since 28 Aug 2026.

1. FC Köln		FC Schalke 04
6 of 6	Matches with xG	6 of 6
7	Points in those matches	5
7.84	xPts	5.13
10.01	xG for	6.49
10.93	xG against	11.30

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: 1. FC Köln and FC Schalke 04

Corners won and concededPRO
Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
First-half goals, scored and concededPRO

PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

1. FC Köln
Ruled out
T. Dallinga (Knee Injury) · T. Hubers (Knee Injury) · E. Skhiri (Ankle Injury) · R. van den Berg (Muscle Injury)
Doubtful
R. Ache (Thigh Injury)
FC Schalke 04
Ruled out
K. Karaman (Muscle Injury) · D. Ljubicic (Knee Injury) · R. Schallenberg (Leg Injury) · M. Sylla (Leg Injury) · M. Wober (Muscle Injury)

Published 24 Oct 2026, 13:28 BST · not changed since

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