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Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim
3–0Finished
Bayer Leverkusen
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 14:30 GMTMatchday 7 · Prezero Arena, Sinsheim

1899 Hoffenheim v Bayer Leverkusen match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 25 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 28%1899 Hoffenheim win
  • 23%Draw
  • 49%Bayer Leverkusen win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim

Last 5: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats

Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen

Last 5: 5 wins, no draws, no defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • 1899 Hoffenheim won 20 of 27 matches in which they scored first, since 27 Oct 2024.
  • Bundesliga, since 18 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 148 of 197.
  • Bayer Leverkusen won 6 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 7 of 1899 Hoffenheim's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: 1899 Hoffenheim 3, draws 1, Bayer Leverkusen 6

Goals: 1899 Hoffenheim 16, Bayer Leverkusen 22

DateMatchScore
17 Jan 20261899 Hoffenheim v Bayer Leverkusen1–0
23 Aug 2025Bayer Leverkusen v 1899 Hoffenheim1–2
2 Feb 2025Bayer Leverkusen v 1899 Hoffenheim3–1
14 Sep 20241899 Hoffenheim v Bayer Leverkusen1–4
30 Mar 2024Bayer Leverkusen v 1899 Hoffenheim2–1
4 Nov 20231899 Hoffenheim v Bayer Leverkusen2–3
11 Feb 20231899 Hoffenheim v Bayer Leverkusen1–3
20 Aug 2022Bayer Leverkusen v 1899 Hoffenheim0–3
7 May 20221899 Hoffenheim v Bayer Leverkusen2–4
15 Dec 2021Bayer Leverkusen v 1899 Hoffenheim2–2

Home and away

1899 Hoffenheim

1899 Hoffenheim at home

Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost

  • WonLyonUEFA Europa League22 Oct 20263–0
  • LostBeşiktaşUEFA Europa League15 Oct 20262–3
  • LostHamburger SV10 Oct 20262–3
  • WonVfB Stuttgart12 Sep 20262–1
  • LostBorussia Dortmund5 Sep 20262–3

1899 Hoffenheim: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
17 scored, 15 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10
Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen away

Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost

  • WonOFIUEFA Europa League22 Oct 20262–0
  • WonLech PoznanUEFA Europa League15 Oct 20264–0
  • WonFSV Mainz 0510 Oct 20264–3
  • DrawnFC Augsburg12 Sep 20262–2
  • LostSV Elversberg29 Aug 20262–3

Bayer Leverkusen: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
19 scored, 19 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

1899 Hoffenheim
Last match
3 days before22 Oct 2026 · v Lyon · UEFA Europa League
Next match
3 days after28 Oct 2026 · v Holstein Kiel · DFB Pokal
Bayer Leverkusen
Last match
3 days before22 Oct 2026 · v OFI · UEFA Europa League
Next match
3 days after28 Oct 2026 · v 1. FC Nürnberg · DFB Pokal

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 27 Oct 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

1899 Hoffenheim

Score1899 HoffenheimLeague sides
Scored first20 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost in 27 matches608 won, 197 drawn, 127 lost in 932 matches
Conceded first7 won, 11 drawn, 26 lost in 44 matches127 won, 197 drawn, 608 lost in 932 matches
Level at half-time6 won, 13 drawn, 5 lost in 24 matches206 won, 292 drawn, 206 lost in 704 matches
Level after 15 minutes17 won, 12 drawn, 20 lost in 49 matches488 won, 362 drawn, 488 lost in 1338 matches
Level after 30 minutes11 won, 11 drawn, 9 lost in 31 matches322 won, 314 drawn, 322 lost in 958 matches
1 goal down after 30 minutes4 won, 5 drawn, 11 lost in 20 matches61 won, 82 drawn, 248 lost in 391 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
Score1899 HoffenheimLeague sides
All matches21 scored, 32 conceded (75)711 scored, 711 conceded (1970)
When leading after 75 minutes8 scored, 10 conceded (29)298 scored, 266 conceded (735)
When trailing after 75 minutes10 scored, 16 conceded (29)266 scored, 298 conceded (735)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 54 times, equalised within 15 minutes 9, by full time 30(league sides: 1,126 times, within 15 minutes 194, by full time 513)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 18 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

1899 HoffenheimBayer Leverkusen
67Since 27 Oct 2024Matches with xG67Since 26 Oct 2024
98.98xG for120.35
109Goals scored138
100.54xG against81.33
117Goals conceded86

1899 Hoffenheim

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
1899 Hoffenheim: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
18 Oct 2026at Borussia Mönchengladbach1.800.472–1
10 Oct 2026v Hamburger SV0.931.282–3
20 Sep 2026at SC Paderborn 071.500.681–3
12 Sep 2026v VfB Stuttgart2.762.162–1
5 Sep 2026v Borussia Dortmund1.172.022–3
29 Aug 2026at 1. FC Köln1.881.952–3
16 May 2026at Borussia Mönchengladbach1.621.200–4
9 May 2026v Werder Bremen1.521.071–0
2 May 2026v VfB Stuttgart2.471.573–3
25 Apr 2026at Hamburger SV1.451.372–1

Bayer Leverkusen

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Bayer Leverkusen: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
18 Oct 2026v SC Freiburg1.641.212–1
10 Oct 2026at FSV Mainz 052.093.134–3
20 Sep 2026v RB Leipzig2.270.972–0
12 Sep 2026at FC Augsburg2.641.112–2
5 Sep 2026v Union Berlin3.110.394–0
29 Aug 2026at SV Elversberg1.881.272–3
16 May 2026v Hamburger SV3.271.791–1
9 May 2026at VfB Stuttgart0.543.041–3
2 May 2026v RB Leipzig4.421.174–1
25 Apr 2026at 1. FC Köln1.333.042–1

This league season

Bundesliga matches since 28 Aug 2026.

1899 HoffenheimBayer Leverkusen
6 of 6Matches with xG6 of 6
6Points in those matches13
9.31xPts11.56
10.04xG for13.63
8.56xG against8.08

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: 1899 Hoffenheim and Bayer Leverkusen

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
    Ruled out
    N. De Cat (Knee Injury) · A. Hajdari (Foot Injury) · P. Wimmer (Thigh Injury)
    Doubtful
    B. Conte (Injury)
  • Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
    Ruled out
    E. Ben Seghir (Muscle Injury) · G. Doue (Calf Injury) · K. Eichhorn (Illness) · C. Kofane (Muscle Injury) · M. Terrier (Muscle Injury)
    Doubtful
    M. Culbreath (Foot Injury)

Published 25 Oct 2026, 13:28 GMT · not changed since

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