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Eredivisie
ADO Den Haag
2–3Finished
Heerenveen
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 20:00 BSTMatchday 10 · Bingoal Stadion, The Hague

ADO Den Haag v Heerenveen match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 24 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 34%ADO Den Haag win
  • 25%Draw
  • 41%Heerenveen win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag

Last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats

HeerenveenHeerenveen

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

Head-to-head

Head-to-head data was not available for this match.

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Eredivisie, since 11 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 160 of 219.
  • Heerenveen won 21 of 28 matches in which they scored first, since 26 Oct 2024.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 7 of ADO Den Haag's last 10 home league games.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Heerenveen's last 10 away league games.

Home and away

ADO Den Haag

ADO Den Haag at home

Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost

  • WonPSV Eindhoven17 Oct 20262–1
  • DrawnCambuur19 Sep 20261–1
  • LostFortuna Sittard6 Sep 20262–3
  • LostGroningen16 Aug 20261–4
  • WonWaalwijkEerste Divisie17 Apr 20265–1

ADO Den Haag: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
24 scored, 12 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
4 of 10
Heerenveen

Heerenveen away

Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost

  • LostPSV Eindhoven9 Oct 20260–2
  • WonSparta Rotterdam19 Sep 20264–0
  • DrawnWillem II30 Aug 20262–2
  • DrawnAjax16 Aug 20262–2
  • LostUtrecht21 May 20262–3

Heerenveen: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
16 scored, 17 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

ADO Den Haag
Last match
7 days before17 Oct 2026 · v PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie
Next match
3 days after27 Oct 2026 · v Excelsior '31 · KNVB Beker
Heerenveen
Last match
8 days before16 Oct 2026 · v Excelsior · Eredivisie
Next match
4 days after28 Oct 2026 · v Excelsior Maassluis · KNVB Beker

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 26 Oct 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Heerenveen

ScoreHeerenveenLeague sides
Scored first21 won, 5 drawn, 2 lost in 28 matches646 won, 226 drawn, 120 lost in 992 matches
Conceded first6 won, 10 drawn, 24 lost in 40 matches120 won, 226 drawn, 646 lost in 992 matches
Level at half-time7 won, 7 drawn, 10 lost in 24 matches230 won, 300 drawn, 230 lost in 760 matches
Level after 15 minutes17 won, 12 drawn, 19 lost in 48 matches484 won, 396 drawn, 484 lost in 1364 matches
Level after 30 minutes12 won, 6 drawn, 11 lost in 29 matches339 won, 318 drawn, 339 lost in 996 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreHeerenveenLeague sides
All matches24 scored, 23 conceded (70)756 scored, 756 conceded (2066)
When leading after 75 minutes11 scored, 7 conceded (28)333 scored, 241 conceded (770)
When trailing after 75 minutes8 scored, 9 conceded (27)241 scored, 333 conceded (770)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 46 times, equalised within 15 minutes 11, by full time 23(league sides: 1,182 times, within 15 minutes 200, by full time 546)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 26 Oct 2024

ADO Den HaagHeerenveen
—Matches with xG70
—xG for104.31
—Goals scored107
—xG against99.63
—Goals conceded108

Heerenveen

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Heerenveen: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
16 Oct 2026v Excelsior2.800.724–0
9 Oct 2026at PSV Eindhoven1.572.380–2
19 Sep 2026at Sparta Rotterdam1.800.674–0
13 Sep 2026v Telstar1.540.710–0
6 Sep 2026v AZ Alkmaar1.481.042–3
30 Aug 2026at Willem II1.351.702–2
22 Aug 2026v PEC Zwolle0.851.550–2
16 Aug 2026at Ajax1.362.002–2
9 Aug 2026v Twente0.391.781–0
21 May 2026at Utrecht1.262.082–3

This league season

Eredivisie matches since 7 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.

ADO Den HaagHeerenveen
8 of 9Matches with xG9 of 9
—Points in those matches12
—xPts12.75
—xG for13.14
—xG against12.55

ADO Den Haag: — Too few matches with xG so far (8 of 9).

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: ADO Den Haag and Heerenveen

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag
    Ruled out
    L. Reischl (Groin Injury)
    Doubtful
    D. Barany (Thigh Injury)
  • HeerenveenHeerenveen
    Doubtful
    D. Proper (Hamstring Injury)

Published 24 Oct 2026, 18:58 BST · not changed since

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