Eredivisie match analysis

The Eredivisie is the top division of Dutch football. Eighteen clubs play each other home and away, and the lowest-placed clubs face relegation to the second division.

Ledger publishes an analysis page for each upcoming Eredivisie match it covers: the model's estimated chances of a home win, a draw and an away win, with a short written summary where one is available. Matches the model flags for a closer look carry a Signal found badge, and the full reasoning behind them is part of PRO. Finished matches stay listed with the final score.

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 20:03 GMT · times in UK time

Upcoming matches

Each percentage is our estimate of how likely that result is.

Today · Fri 6 Nov

1 match

Willem IIPEC Zwolle LiveNo qualifying signalMost likely: PEC Zwolle win38%chance of that result Live

Sat 7 Nov

3 matches

Fortuna SittardTelstar15:30No qualifying signalMost likely: Fortuna Sittard win45%chance of that result15:30
ADO Den HaagSparta Rotterdam17:45No qualifying signalMost likely: ADO Den Haag win43%chance of that result17:45
ExcelsiorGO Ahead Eagles20:00No qualifying signalMost likely: GO Ahead Eagles win40%chance of that result20:00

Sun 8 Nov

5 matches

HeerenveenFeyenoord11:15No qualifying signalMost likely: Feyenoord win47%chance of that result11:15
TwenteAjax13:30No qualifying signalMost likely: Twente win46%chance of that result13:30
CambuurPSV Eindhoven15:45No qualifying signalMost likely: PSV Eindhoven win72%chance of that result15:45
AZ AlkmaarGroningen15:45No qualifying signalMost likely: AZ Alkmaar win58%chance of that result15:45
UtrechtNEC Nijmegen19:00No qualifying signalMost likely: Utrecht win42%chance of that result19:00

Table

Table as of 6 Nov 2026, 05:22 GMT · Source: API-Football

Eredivisie table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Feyenoord	11	7	4	0	+21	25	DrawnDrawnWonWonWon
2	Ajax	11	7	3	1	+17	24	WonWonWonDrawnDrawn
3	PSV Eindhoven	11	7	2	2	+22	23	WonDrawnLostWonLost
4	Twente	11	7	2	2	+18	23	WonWonLostDrawnWon
5	AZ Alkmaar	11	6	2	3	+7	20	LostLostDrawnLostWon
6	Fortuna Sittard	11	5	4	2	0	19	DrawnWonDrawnDrawnWon
7	Heerenveen	11	5	3	3	+6	18	WonWonWonLostWon
8	Groningen	11	4	3	4	+2	15	LostDrawnLostWonWon
9	Cambuur	11	4	3	4	+1	15	WonWonDrawnWonDrawn
10	GO Ahead Eagles	11	3	5	3	-4	14	LostWonLostDrawnDrawn
11	Sparta Rotterdam	11	3	3	5	-6	12	WonLostWonDrawnLost
12	Utrecht	11	3	3	5	-12	12	LostDrawnWonWonLost
13	NEC Nijmegen	11	2	5	4	-2	11	LostDrawnDrawnDrawnDrawn
14	PEC Zwolle	11	3	2	6	-11	11	WonDrawnWonLostLost
15	Excelsior	11	3	2	6	-12	11	LostLostLostLostDrawn
16	Telstar	11	2	3	6	-7	9	WonLostLostDrawnLost
17	ADO Den Haag	11	1	3	7	-11	6	LostLostWonDrawnDrawn
18	Willem II	11	0	2	9	-29	2	LostLostLostLostLost

This season

Eredivisie games since 7 Aug 2026, 90-minute score. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Home wins: 34 of 99
Draws: 27 of 99
Away wins: 38 of 99
Both teams scored: 68 of 99
Over 2.5 goals: 71 of 99
Goals: 179 by home teams, 199 by away teams in 99

xG and expected points

Eredivisie matches since 7 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.

Team	Matches with xG	Points in those matches	xPts	xG for	xG against
Feyenoord	11	25	25.27	29.70	10.31
Ajax	11	24	20.49	25.05	15.25
PSV Eindhoven	11	23	21.72	27.99	15.06
Twente	11	23	24.10	26.62	8.54
AZ Alkmaar	11	20	20.47	23.25	13.11
Fortuna Sittard	11	19	9.11	9.91	23.94
Heerenveen	11	18	15.42	17.10	16.78
Groningen	11	15	14.60	19.95	22.56
Cambuur	10 of 11	14	12.73	14.63	16.97
GO Ahead Eagles	11	14	15.87	18.63	17.83
Sparta Rotterdam	11	12	14.92	20.82	21.76
Utrecht	11	12	13.67	15.34	20.28
NEC Nijmegen	11	11	14.93	18.39	18.61
PEC Zwolle	11	11	11.26	11.76	19.19
Excelsior	11	11	11.45	12.87	23.01
Telstar	11	9	11.67	14.79	21.73
ADO Den Haag	10 of 11	5	8.33	10.01	20.04
Willem II	11	2	9.00	13.72	25.56

MP: Matches with xG · xG+: xG for · xG−: xG against

Points and expected points (xPts) in each team's league matches with xG this season. These are not the league table's points: a match without xG counts in neither column.

Teams are in the order of the official league table.

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

Recently analysed

Each analysis is kept exactly as it was published before kick-off.

Questions

How many clubs play in the Eredivisie?

Eighteen. Each club plays thirty-four league matches. The lowest-placed clubs face relegation, partly through play-offs with clubs from the second division.

When is the Eredivisie season played?

The season usually runs from August to May, with a short winter break.

How do Ledger's analysis pages for Eredivisie matches work?

Each upcoming Eredivisie match gets its own page with the model's home, draw and away estimates and, where available, a short written summary. A Signal found badge marks matches the model has flagged; the full analysis behind it is available with PRO. Kick-off times are shown in UK time.

Is Ledger's analysis gambling advice?

No. Ledger publishes analysis, not gambling advice. Each page explains how the model reads a match and how confident it is; any decision you make is your own. Football matches can go any way, and no analysis changes that.