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Eredivisie
Cambuur
4–0Finished
GO Ahead Eagles
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 20:00 GMTMatchday 11 · Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden

Cambuur v GO Ahead Eagles match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 31 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

GO Ahead Eagles are slight favourites at 43% to win this encounter, compared to Cambuur's 33% chance, with a 24% probability of a draw. Expected goals stand at 1.53 for Cambuur and 1.79 for Eagles. Both teams have won two of their last five matches. Cambuur will be without Amofa, Asselman and Visser, while Eagles are missing Saathof.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 33%Cambuur win
  • 24%Draw
  • 43%GO Ahead Eagles win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

CambuurCambuur

Last 5: 3 wins, 2 draws, no defeats

  1. won2–0at Kloetinge
  2. won6–1at Willem II
  3. drew2–2v AZ Alkmaar
  4. won1–0at PEC Zwolle
  5. drew1–1at ADO Den Haag
GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles

Last 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat

  1. won5–0at Koninklijke HFC
  2. won3–2v Telstar
  3. lost1–4at PEC Zwolle
  4. drew3–3v Sparta Rotterdam
  5. drew1–1at NEC Nijmegen

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Cambuur won 29 of 34 matches in which they scored first, since 24 Feb 2025.
  • GO Ahead Eagles won 21 of 38 matches in which they scored first, since 3 Nov 2024.
  • Cambuur won 2 of the last 4 meetings.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Cambuur's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

4 meetings: Cambuur 2, draws 1, GO Ahead Eagles 1

Goals: Cambuur 9, GO Ahead Eagles 6

DateMatchScore
5 Mar 2023Cambuur v GO Ahead Eagles4–1
9 Oct 2022GO Ahead Eagles v Cambuur0–0
19 Mar 2022GO Ahead Eagles v Cambuur3–0
11 Sep 2021Cambuur v GO Ahead Eagles5–2

Home and away

Cambuur

Cambuur at home

Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost

  • DrawnAZ Alkmaar18 Oct 20262–2
  • WonNEC Nijmegen12 Sep 20263–0
  • LostTwente30 Aug 20261–4
  • LostFeyenoord23 Aug 20262–5
  • LostExcelsior7 Aug 20260–4

Cambuur: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
16 scored, 22 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10
GO Ahead Eagles

GO Ahead Eagles away

Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost

  • WonKoninklijke HFCKNVB Beker27 Oct 20265–0
  • LostPEC Zwolle18 Oct 20261–4
  • DrawnNEC Nijmegen20 Sep 20261–1
  • DrawnUtrecht5 Sep 20263–3
  • LostAZ Alkmaar29 Aug 20262–5

GO Ahead Eagles: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
13 scored, 21 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Cambuur
Last match
4 days before27 Oct 2026 · v Kloetinge · KNVB Beker
Next match
8 days after8 Nov 2026 · v PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie
GO Ahead Eagles
Last match
4 days before27 Oct 2026 · v Koninklijke HFC · KNVB Beker
Next match
7 days after7 Nov 2026 · v Excelsior · Eredivisie

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Cambuur

Since 24 Feb 2025

ScoreCambuurLeague sides
Scored first29 won, 4 drawn, 1 lost in 34 matches651 won, 229 drawn, 120 lost in 1000 matches
Conceded first7 won, 9 drawn, 13 lost in 29 matches120 won, 229 drawn, 651 lost in 1000 matches
Level at half-time11 won, 9 drawn, 1 lost in 21 matches232 won, 302 drawn, 232 lost in 766 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes17 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost in 21 matches276 won, 97 drawn, 18 lost in 391 matches
Level after 15 minutes23 won, 12 drawn, 10 lost in 45 matches488 won, 400 drawn, 488 lost in 1376 matches
Level after 30 minutes12 won, 11 drawn, 4 lost in 27 matches341 won, 320 drawn, 341 lost in 1002 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreCambuurLeague sides
All matches30 scored, 22 conceded (64)762 scored, 762 conceded (2082)
When leading after 75 minutes13 scored, 12 conceded (34)334 scored, 243 conceded (774)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 33 times, equalised within 15 minutes 9, by full time 20(league sides: 1,189 times, within 15 minutes 200, by full time 550)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

GO Ahead Eagles

Since 3 Nov 2024

ScoreGO Ahead EaglesLeague sides
Scored first21 won, 12 drawn, 5 lost in 38 matches651 won, 229 drawn, 120 lost in 1000 matches
Conceded first4 won, 12 drawn, 22 lost in 38 matches120 won, 229 drawn, 651 lost in 1000 matches
Level at half-time9 won, 14 drawn, 8 lost in 31 matches232 won, 302 drawn, 232 lost in 766 matches
Level after 60 minutes6 won, 12 drawn, 3 lost in 21 matches169 won, 290 drawn, 169 lost in 628 matches
1 goal down after 60 minutes2 won, 8 drawn, 15 lost in 25 matches27 won, 104 drawn, 290 lost in 421 matches
Level after 70 minutes4 won, 16 drawn, 3 lost in 23 matches123 won, 324 drawn, 123 lost in 570 matches
1 goal down after 70 minutes2 won, 8 drawn, 12 lost in 22 matches18 won, 97 drawn, 276 lost in 391 matches
Level after 80 minutes5 won, 19 drawn, 3 lost in 27 matches77 won, 344 drawn, 77 lost in 498 matches
Level after 15 minutes14 won, 19 drawn, 18 lost in 51 matches488 won, 400 drawn, 488 lost in 1376 matches
Level after 30 minutes12 won, 16 drawn, 13 lost in 41 matches341 won, 320 drawn, 341 lost in 1002 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreGO Ahead EaglesLeague sides
All matches28 scored, 28 conceded (80)762 scored, 762 conceded (2082)
When leading after 75 minutes6 scored, 9 conceded (22)334 scored, 243 conceded (774)
When level after 75 minutes10 scored, 5 conceded (24)185 scored, 185 conceded (534)
When trailing after 75 minutes12 scored, 14 conceded (34)243 scored, 334 conceded (774)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 53 times, equalised within 15 minutes 9, by full time 29(league sides: 1,189 times, within 15 minutes 200, by full time 550)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 3 Nov 2024

CambuurGO Ahead Eagles
—Matches with xG67
—xG for99.12
—Goals scored120
—xG against114.63
—Goals conceded110

GO Ahead Eagles

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
GO Ahead Eagles: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
23 Oct 2026v Telstar1.140.793–2
18 Oct 2026at PEC Zwolle2.761.811–4
10 Oct 2026v Sparta Rotterdam1.292.363–3
20 Sep 2026at NEC Nijmegen2.311.041–1
12 Sep 2026v Groningen2.230.161–1
5 Sep 2026at Utrecht1.792.473–3
29 Aug 2026at AZ Alkmaar1.662.372–5
23 Aug 2026v ADO Den Haag0.850.833–1
16 Aug 2026at Feyenoord1.512.892–2
8 Aug 2026v Willem II2.431.514–1

GO Ahead Eagles: 1 without xG left out

This league season

Eredivisie matches since 7 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.

CambuurGO Ahead Eagles
9 of 10Matches with xG10 of 10
11Points in those matches14
10.68xPts15.17
13.03xG for17.97
16.31xG against16.23

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Cambuur and GO Ahead Eagles

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • CambuurCambuur
    Ruled out
    J. Amofa (Injury) · W. Asselman (Injury) · D. Visser (Knee Injury)
    Doubtful
    B. van Duijl (Inactive)
  • GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles
    Ruled out
    P. Saathof (Knee Injury)

Published 31 Oct 2026, 18:58 GMT · not changed since

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