Süper Lig match analysis

The Süper Lig is the top division of Turkish football. Clubs play each other home and away in a full league, and the lowest-placed clubs are relegated to the second tier.

Ledger publishes an analysis page for each upcoming Süper Lig match it covers: the model's estimated chances of a home win, a draw and an away win, with a short written summary where one is available. Matches the model flags for a closer look carry a Signal found badge, and the full reasoning behind them is part of PRO. Finished matches stay listed with the final score.

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 19:33 GMT · times in UK time

Upcoming matches

Each percentage is our estimate of how likely that result is.

Sat 7 Nov

4 matches

EyüpsporKocaelispor10:30No qualifying signalMost likely: Kocaelispor win41%chance of that result10:30
SamsunsporKonyaspor13:00No qualifying signalMost likely: Samsunspor win43%chance of that result13:00
GalatasarayAmed16:00No qualifying signalMost likely: Galatasaray win55%chance of that result16:00
GöztepeBaşakşehir16:00No qualifying signalMost likely: Göztepe win42%chance of that result16:00

Sun 8 Nov

4 matches

RizesporErzurumspor FK10:30No qualifying signalMost likely: Rizespor win49%chance of that result10:30
Çorum FKFenerbahçe13:00No qualifying signalMost likely: Fenerbahçe win44%chance of that result13:00
AlanyasporTrabzonspor15:30No qualifying signalMost likely: Trabzonspor win47%chance of that result15:30
BeşiktaşGençlerbirliği S.K.18:00No qualifying signalMost likely: Beşiktaş win67%chance of that result18:00

Table

Table as of 6 Nov 2026, 05:37 GMT · Source: API-Football

Süper Lig table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Galatasaray	10	8	1	1	+11	25	WonWonWonWonLost
2	Amed	10	7	2	1	+14	23	WonWonWonDrawnWon
3	Trabzonspor	10	7	1	2	+16	22	WonWonWonWonWon
4	Beşiktaş	10	6	1	3	+8	19	DrawnWonLostWonLost
5	Kasımpaşa	10	4	5	1	+4	17	DrawnWonWonLostDrawn
6	Fenerbahçe	10	5	1	4	+14	16	LostLostWonWonWon
7	Çorum FK	10	5	1	4	+5	16	WonLostWonWonLost
8	Kocaelispor	10	5	1	4	+2	16	DrawnWonLostLostWon
9	Göztepe	10	4	3	3	+4	15	WonWonWonWonDrawn
10	Başakşehir	10	4	2	4	+1	14	WonLostWonDrawnWon
11	Erzurumspor FK	10	4	2	4	-6	14	LostWonWonDrawnWon
12	Alanyaspor	10	3	3	4	-7	12	LostLostLostDrawnWon
13	Rizespor	10	3	2	5	-4	11	DrawnLostLostLostDrawn
14	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	10	3	2	5	-6	11	WonLostLostDrawnLost
15	Konyaspor	10	2	2	6	-7	8	LostWonLostDrawnDrawn
16	Gaziantep FK	10	2	2	6	-8	8	LostLostLostLostLost
17	Samsunspor	10	1	1	8	-16	4	LostLostLostLostLost
18	Eyüpspor	10	1	0	9	-25	3	LostLostLostLostLost

This season

Süper Lig games since 14 Aug 2026, 90-minute score. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Provisional: a recent score not yet confirmed.

Home wins: 43 of 91
Draws: 16 of 91
Away wins: 32 of 91
Both teams scored: 42 of 91
Over 2.5 goals: 54 of 91
Goals: 156 by home teams, 116 by away teams in 91

1 of these 91 games provisional

xG and expected points

Süper Lig matches since 14 Aug 2026.

Team	Matches with xG	Points in those matches	xPts	xG for	xG against
Galatasaray	10	25	21.50	23.45	10.00
Amed	10	23	20.28	21.62	8.55
Trabzonspor	10	22	16.04	18.52	14.66
Beşiktaş	10	19	19.12	17.63	9.51
Kasımpaşa	10 of 11	17	13.62	11.70	11.57
Fenerbahçe	10	16	17.12	20.59	12.74
Çorum FK	10	16	13.89	13.06	13.77
Kocaelispor	10	16	12.79	11.49	13.30
Göztepe	10	15	15.30	19.29	16.84
Başakşehir	10	14	15.28	17.38	15.74
Erzurumspor FK	10	14	10.94	8.33	13.29
Alanyaspor	10	12	10.04	10.36	16.59
Rizespor	10	11	15.22	14.03	12.85
Gençlerbirliği S.K.	10	11	9.37	10.77	19.26
Konyaspor	10	8	12.13	11.19	13.37
Gaziantep FK	10 of 11	8	10.92	10.57	15.39
Samsunspor	10	4	9.29	11.66	19.53
Eyüpspor	10	3	7.04	8.11	22.79

MP: Matches with xG · xG+: xG for · xG−: xG against

Points and expected points (xPts) in each team's league matches with xG this season. These are not the league table's points: a match without xG counts in neither column.

Teams are in the order of the official league table.

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

Recently analysed

Each analysis is kept exactly as it was published before kick-off.

Questions

How does the Süper Lig format work?

It is a full league with no play-offs: every club meets every other club once at home and once away, and the club with the most points is champion. The number of clubs has changed in recent seasons, so the league sets it each year.

When is the Süper Lig season played?

The season usually runs from August to May, with a winter break of a few weeks.

How do Ledger's analysis pages for Süper Lig matches work?

Each upcoming Süper Lig match gets its own page with the model's home, draw and away estimates and, where available, a short written summary. A Signal found badge marks matches the model has flagged; the full analysis behind it is available with PRO. Kick-off times are shown in UK time.

Is Ledger's analysis gambling advice?

No. Ledger publishes analysis, not gambling advice. Each page explains how the model reads a match and how confident it is; any decision you make is your own. Football matches can go any way, and no analysis changes that.