Kicked off — this analysis is locked.

Göztepe

Süper Lig16:00

Başakşehir

Sat 7 Nov 2026 · GMTMatchday 11 · Gursel Aksel Stadium, Izmir

Göztepe v Başakşehir · analysis and preview

Add to Journal

Our selection

PRO members see our selection for this match.

See it with PRO

Most likely: Göztepe win

Göztepe arrive on strong form with four wins in their last five games, while Başakşehir have won three of their last five despite a recent loss. The model gives the hosts a 42% chance of winning, with expected goals of 1.53 for Göztepe and 1.33 for Başakşehir, a gap of 0.2 in the hosts' favour. Head-to-head records show competitive recent meetings between the sides.

How the match could end · our estimate

42%Göztepe win
26%Draw
32%Başakşehir win

PRO analysis

This analysis is part of PRO

PRO shows the full analysis of every match: our estimate next to the bookmaker’s price for each market, the written preview and the risks, and a signal whenever a match qualifies.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Göztepe

Last 5: 4 wins, 1 draw, no defeats

won2–1at Fenerbahçe
won2–0v Çorum FK
won2–1at Kocaelispor
won4–0at Eyüpspor
drew2–2v Rizespor

Başakşehir

Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat

won5–2v Samsunspor
lost0–2at Beşiktaş
won2–1v Gaziantep FK
drew0–0at Konyaspor
won4–0v Gençlerbirliği S.K.

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

Göztepe won 23 of 39 matches in which they scored first, since 10 Nov 2024.
Başakşehir won 30 of 38 matches in which they scored first, since 10 Nov 2024.
Göztepe won 4 of the last 6 meetings.
Başakşehir without a win in their last 5 away games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

6 meetings: Göztepe 4, draws 0, Başakşehir 2

Goals: Göztepe 11, Başakşehir 9

Date	Match	Score
7 Mar 2026	Başakşehir v Göztepe	2–1
5 Oct 2025	Göztepe v Başakşehir	1–0
28 Apr 2025	Göztepe v Başakşehir	4–1
30 Nov 2024	Başakşehir v Göztepe	4–1
22 Jan 2022	Başakşehir v Göztepe	1–2
12 Sep 2021	Göztepe v Başakşehir	2–1

Home and away

Göztepe

Göztepe at home

Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost

WonÇorum FK25 Oct 20262–0
DrawnRizespor20 Sep 20262–2
LostGaziantep FK7 Sep 20262–4
LostGençlerbirliği S.K.23 Aug 20260–1
WonGaziantep FK9 May 20262–1

Göztepe: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals: 16 scored, 16 conceded in 10
Both teams scored: 6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals: 6 of 10
Clean sheets: 3 of 10

Başakşehir

Başakşehir away

Last 5: 0 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost

LostBeşiktaş26 Oct 20260–2
DrawnKonyaspor11 Oct 20260–0
LostAmed13 Sep 20260–5
LostTrabzonspor23 Aug 20261–2
LostInter TurkuUEFA Europa Conference League30 Jul 20260–2

Başakşehir: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals: 7 scored, 18 conceded in 10
Both teams scored: 5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals: 6 of 10
Clean sheets: 2 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Göztepe

Last match: 7 days before31 Oct 2026 · v Fenerbahçe · Süper Lig
Next match: Not known

Başakşehir

Last match: 6 days before1 Nov 2026 · v Samsunspor · Süper Lig
Next match: Not known

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 10 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Göztepe

Score	Göztepe	League sides
Scored first	23 won, 12 drawn, 4 lost in 39 matches	684 won, 199 drawn, 149 lost in 1032 matches
Conceded first	4 won, 5 drawn, 15 lost in 24 matches	149 won, 199 drawn, 684 lost in 1032 matches
1 goal up at half-time	15 won, 6 drawn, 2 lost in 23 matches	320 won, 110 drawn, 57 lost in 487 matches
Level at half-time	5 won, 16 drawn, 9 lost in 30 matches	275 won, 328 drawn, 275 lost in 878 matches
Level after 60 minutes	6 won, 14 drawn, 6 lost in 26 matches	200 won, 340 drawn, 200 lost in 740 matches
Level after 15 minutes	17 won, 19 drawn, 11 lost in 47 matches	559 won, 464 drawn, 559 lost in 1582 matches
Level after 30 minutes	14 won, 18 drawn, 11 lost in 43 matches	403 won, 358 drawn, 403 lost in 1164 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
Score	Göztepe	League sides
All matches	27 scored, 18 conceded (70)	759 scored, 759 conceded (2236)
When leading after 75 minutes	10 scored, 8 conceded (28)	299 scored, 264 conceded (779)
When level after 75 minutes	7 scored, 2 conceded (20)	196 scored, 196 conceded (678)
When trailing after 75 minutes	10 scored, 8 conceded (22)	264 scored, 299 conceded (779)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 33 times, equalised within 15 minutes 7, by full time 15(league sides: 1,189 times, within 15 minutes 206, by full time 529)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Başakşehir

Score	Başakşehir	League sides
Scored first	30 won, 4 drawn, 4 lost in 38 matches	684 won, 199 drawn, 149 lost in 1032 matches
Conceded first	2 won, 3 drawn, 20 lost in 25 matches	149 won, 199 drawn, 684 lost in 1032 matches
Level at half-time	10 won, 10 drawn, 8 lost in 28 matches	275 won, 328 drawn, 275 lost in 878 matches
Level after 60 minutes	9 won, 11 drawn, 5 lost in 25 matches	200 won, 340 drawn, 200 lost in 740 matches
Level after 70 minutes	6 won, 11 drawn, 6 lost in 23 matches	161 won, 382 drawn, 161 lost in 704 matches
Level after 80 minutes	5 won, 11 drawn, 5 lost in 21 matches	121 won, 418 drawn, 121 lost in 660 matches
Level after 15 minutes	16 won, 14 drawn, 21 lost in 51 matches	559 won, 464 drawn, 559 lost in 1582 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes	17 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost in 22 matches	274 won, 100 drawn, 67 lost in 441 matches
Level after 30 minutes	11 won, 11 drawn, 15 lost in 37 matches	403 won, 358 drawn, 403 lost in 1164 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
Score	Başakşehir	League sides
All matches	29 scored, 25 conceded (70)	759 scored, 759 conceded (2236)
When leading after 75 minutes	17 scored, 10 conceded (30)	299 scored, 264 conceded (779)
When level after 75 minutes	6 scored, 5 conceded (20)	196 scored, 196 conceded (678)
When trailing after 75 minutes	6 scored, 10 conceded (20)	264 scored, 299 conceded (779)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 33 times, equalised within 15 minutes 11, by full time 17(league sides: 1,189 times, within 15 minutes 206, by full time 529)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 10 Nov 2024

Göztepe		Başakşehir
70	Matches with xG	70
115.13	xG for	111.05
105	Goals scored	118
81.16	xG against	96.29
86	Goals conceded	93

Göztepe

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left

Show the numbers

Göztepe: Last matches with xG, newest first
Date	Opponent	xG for	xG against	Goals (tick; no tick = 0)
31 Oct 2026	at Fenerbahçe	1.20	1.66	2–1
25 Oct 2026	v Çorum FK	1.91	0.74	2–0
18 Oct 2026	at Kocaelispor	0.94	1.50	2–1
12 Oct 2026	at Eyüpspor	3.15	1.33	4–0
20 Sep 2026	v Rizespor	2.78	0.78	2–2
12 Sep 2026	at Alanyaspor	1.79	1.72	2–2
7 Sep 2026	v Gaziantep FK	3.26	1.88	2–4
29 Aug 2026	at Galatasaray	0.63	2.87	2–3
23 Aug 2026	v Gençlerbirliği S.K.	1.92	1.56	0–1
17 Aug 2026	at Samsunspor	1.71	2.80	3–3

Başakşehir

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left

Show the numbers

Başakşehir: Last matches with xG, newest first
Date	Opponent	xG for	xG against	Goals (tick; no tick = 0)
1 Nov 2026	v Samsunspor	4.21	1.04	5–2
26 Oct 2026	at Beşiktaş	0.38	1.88	0–2
18 Oct 2026	v Gaziantep FK	2.03	1.13	2–1
11 Oct 2026	at Konyaspor	0.97	0.41	0–0
19 Sep 2026	v Gençlerbirliği S.K.	2.74	0.52	4–0
13 Sep 2026	at Amed	0.39	4.25	0–5
4 Sep 2026	v Galatasaray	1.99	2.12	2–3
30 Aug 2026	v Kasımpaşa	0.76	1.69	1–1
23 Aug 2026	at Trabzonspor	1.95	2.27	1–2
16 Aug 2026	v Kocaelispor	1.96	0.43	2–0

This league season

Süper Lig matches since 14 Aug 2026.

Göztepe		Başakşehir
10 of 10	Matches with xG	10 of 10
15	Points in those matches	14
15.30	xPts	15.28
19.29	xG for	17.38
16.84	xG against	15.74

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Göztepe and Başakşehir

Corners won and concededPRO
Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
First-half goals, scored and concededPRO

PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

Team news not available yet.

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 14:58 GMT

All fixtures