Süper LigSun 1 Nov 2026 · 13:00 GMTMatchday 10 · Papara Park, Trabzon

Trabzonspor v Gaziantep FK match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 1 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 69%Trabzonspor win
  • 19%Draw
  • 12%Gaziantep FK win

PRO analysis

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PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

TrabzonsporTrabzonspor

Last 5: 4 wins, no draws, 1 defeat

  1. won4–3at Rizespor
  2. won2–0v Beşiktaş
  3. won3–0at Samsunspor
  4. won4–0v Galatasaray
  5. lost0–1at Konyaspor
Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK

Last 5: no wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats

  1. lost1–3v Erzurumspor FK
  2. lost1–2at Başakşehir
  3. lost0–3v Çorum FK
  4. lost0–2at Kocaelispor
  5. drew0–0v Fenerbahçe

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Trabzonspor won 31 of 42 matches in which they scored first, since 3 Nov 2024.
  • Gaziantep FK won 15 of 27 matches in which they scored first, since 1 Nov 2024.
  • Trabzonspor won 6 of the last 9 meetings.
  • Trabzonspor unbeaten in their last 5 home games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

9 meetings: Trabzonspor 6, draws 3, Gaziantep FK 0

Goals: Trabzonspor 19, Gaziantep FK 9

DateMatchScore
22 Feb 2026Gaziantep FK v Trabzonspor1–2
20 Sep 2025Trabzonspor v Gaziantep FK1–1
23 Feb 2025Trabzonspor v Gaziantep FK3–2
23 Sep 2024Gaziantep FK v Trabzonspor0–0
28 Apr 2024Trabzonspor v Gaziantep FK4–2
10 Dec 2023Gaziantep FK v Trabzonspor1–3
18 Sep 2022Trabzonspor v Gaziantep FK3–2
9 Apr 2022Gaziantep FK v Trabzonspor0–0
22 Nov 2021Trabzonspor v Gaziantep FK3–0

Home and away

Trabzonspor

Trabzonspor at home

Last 5: 5 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost

  • WonHeart Of MidlothianUEFA Europa Conference League22 Oct 20262–0
  • WonBeşiktaş19 Oct 20262–0
  • WonGalatasaray19 Sep 20264–0
  • WonGençlerbirliği S.K.6 Sep 20265–0
  • WonBaşakşehir23 Aug 20262–1

Trabzonspor: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
21 scored, 8 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
4 of 10
Gaziantep FK

Gaziantep FK away

Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost

  • LostBaşakşehir18 Oct 20261–2
  • LostKocaelispor19 Sep 20260–2
  • WonGöztepe7 Sep 20264–2
  • WonEyüpspor23 Aug 20261–0
  • LostGöztepe9 May 20261–2

Gaziantep FK: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
13 scored, 18 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Trabzonspor
Last match
6 days before26 Oct 2026 · v Rizespor · Süper Lig
Next match
4 days after5 Nov 2026 · v SC Freiburg · UEFA Europa Conference League
Gaziantep FK
Last match
5 days before27 Oct 2026 · v Etimesgut SK · Türkiye Kupası
Next match
5 days after6 Nov 2026 · v Kasımpaşa · Süper Lig

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Trabzonspor

Since 3 Nov 2024

ScoreTrabzonsporLeague sides
Scored first31 won, 5 drawn, 6 lost in 42 matches680 won, 198 drawn, 149 lost in 1027 matches
Conceded first6 won, 9 drawn, 13 lost in 28 matches149 won, 198 drawn, 680 lost in 1027 matches
Level at half-time14 won, 5 drawn, 7 lost in 26 matches275 won, 328 drawn, 275 lost in 878 matches
Level after 60 minutes6 won, 7 drawn, 8 lost in 21 matches200 won, 340 drawn, 200 lost in 740 matches
Level after 15 minutes24 won, 14 drawn, 14 lost in 52 matches558 won, 462 drawn, 558 lost in 1578 matches
Level after 30 minutes17 won, 10 drawn, 8 lost in 35 matches402 won, 358 drawn, 402 lost in 1162 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreTrabzonsporLeague sides
All matches27 scored, 21 conceded (72)754 scored, 754 conceded (2226)
When leading after 75 minutes12 scored, 8 conceded (34)296 scored, 262 conceded (774)
When trailing after 75 minutes11 scored, 9 conceded (21)262 scored, 296 conceded (774)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 38 times, equalised within 15 minutes 7, by full time 23(league sides: 1,183 times, within 15 minutes 205, by full time 527)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Gaziantep FK

Since 1 Nov 2024

ScoreGaziantep FKLeague sides
Scored first15 won, 8 drawn, 4 lost in 27 matches680 won, 198 drawn, 149 lost in 1027 matches
Conceded first6 won, 5 drawn, 27 lost in 38 matches149 won, 198 drawn, 680 lost in 1027 matches
Level at half-time10 won, 10 drawn, 9 lost in 29 matches275 won, 328 drawn, 275 lost in 878 matches
1 goal down at half-time1 won, 5 drawn, 14 lost in 20 matches57 won, 109 drawn, 318 lost in 484 matches
1 goal down after 60 minutes1 won, 6 drawn, 14 lost in 21 matches45 won, 100 drawn, 347 lost in 492 matches
Level after 70 minutes5 won, 13 drawn, 6 lost in 24 matches161 won, 382 drawn, 161 lost in 704 matches
Level after 80 minutes4 won, 14 drawn, 3 lost in 21 matches121 won, 418 drawn, 121 lost in 660 matches
Level after 15 minutes15 won, 14 drawn, 17 lost in 46 matches558 won, 462 drawn, 558 lost in 1578 matches
Level after 30 minutes12 won, 13 drawn, 13 lost in 38 matches402 won, 358 drawn, 402 lost in 1162 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreGaziantep FKLeague sides
All matches16 scored, 33 conceded (70)754 scored, 754 conceded (2226)
When leading after 75 minutes4 scored, 10 conceded (20)296 scored, 262 conceded (774)
When level after 75 minutes5 scored, 8 conceded (24)196 scored, 196 conceded (678)
When trailing after 75 minutes7 scored, 15 conceded (26)262 scored, 296 conceded (774)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 45 times, equalised within 15 minutes 9, by full time 21(league sides: 1,183 times, within 15 minutes 205, by full time 527)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

TrabzonsporGaziantep FK
70Since 3 Nov 2024Matches with xG69Since 1 Nov 2024
108.82xG for87.01
132Goals scored85
96.36xG against107.57
84Goals conceded109

Trabzonspor

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Trabzonspor: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
26 Oct 2026at Rizespor2.631.814–3
19 Oct 2026v Beşiktaş2.351.192–0
10 Oct 2026at Samsunspor2.021.663–0
19 Sep 2026v Galatasaray2.200.964–0
12 Sep 2026at Konyaspor0.831.010–1
6 Sep 2026v Gençlerbirliği S.K.3.210.865–0
31 Aug 2026at Amed0.932.691–2
23 Aug 2026v Başakşehir2.271.952–1
15 Aug 2026at Kasımpaşa0.851.861–1
17 May 2026v Gençlerbirliği S.K.0.571.580–3

Gaziantep FK

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Gaziantep FK: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
24 Oct 2026v Erzurumspor FK1.150.651–3
18 Oct 2026at Başakşehir1.132.031–2
11 Oct 2026v Çorum FK0.992.670–3
19 Sep 2026at Kocaelispor1.031.300–2
14 Sep 2026v Fenerbahçe0.491.340–0
7 Sep 2026at Göztepe1.883.264–2
29 Aug 2026v Rizespor0.791.171–2
23 Aug 2026at Eyüpspor1.160.491–0
15 Aug 2026v Alanyaspor1.281.251–1
16 May 2026v Başakşehir0.632.211–2

Gaziantep FK: 1 without xG left out

This league season

Süper Lig matches since 14 Aug 2026.

TrabzonsporGaziantep FK
9 of 9Matches with xG9 of 9
19Points in those matches8
14.25xPts10.01
17.29xG for9.90
13.99xG against14.16

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Trabzonspor and Gaziantep FK

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • TrabzonsporTrabzonspor
    Ruled out
    A. Batagov (Knee Injury) · O. Cevikkan (Tendon Injury) · R. Malinovskyi (Knee Injury) · O. Yokuslu (Knee Injury)
    Doubtful
    P. Onuachu (Muscle Injury)
  • Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK
    Ruled out
    M. Abena (Yellow Cards) · F. Bavuk (Hamstring Injury) · N. Sangare (Back Injury)
    Doubtful
    U. Meleke (Injury)

Published 1 Nov 2026, 11:58 GMT · not changed since

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