Trabzonspor v Gaziantep FK match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 1 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 69%Trabzonspor win
- 19%Draw
- 12%Gaziantep FK win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
Last 5: 4 wins, no draws, 1 defeat
- won4–3at Rizespor
- won2–0v Beşiktaş
- won3–0at Samsunspor
- won4–0v Galatasaray
- lost0–1at Konyaspor
Last 5: no wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats
- lost1–3v Erzurumspor FK
- lost1–2at Başakşehir
- lost0–3v Çorum FK
- lost0–2at Kocaelispor
- drew0–0v Fenerbahçe
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Trabzonspor won 31 of 42 matches in which they scored first, since 3 Nov 2024.
- Gaziantep FK won 15 of 27 matches in which they scored first, since 1 Nov 2024.
- Trabzonspor won 6 of the last 9 meetings.
- Trabzonspor unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
9 meetings: Trabzonspor 6, draws 3, Gaziantep FK 0
Goals: Trabzonspor 19, Gaziantep FK 9
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb 2026 | Gaziantep FK v Trabzonspor | 1–2 |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Trabzonspor v Gaziantep FK | 1–1 |
| 23 Feb 2025 | Trabzonspor v Gaziantep FK | 3–2 |
| 23 Sep 2024 | Gaziantep FK v Trabzonspor | 0–0 |
| 28 Apr 2024 | Trabzonspor v Gaziantep FK | 4–2 |
| 10 Dec 2023 | Gaziantep FK v Trabzonspor | 1–3 |
| 18 Sep 2022 | Trabzonspor v Gaziantep FK | 3–2 |
| 9 Apr 2022 | Gaziantep FK v Trabzonspor | 0–0 |
| 22 Nov 2021 | Trabzonspor v Gaziantep FK | 3–0 |
Home and away
Trabzonspor at home
Last 5: 5 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost
- WonHeart Of MidlothianUEFA Europa Conference League22 Oct 20262–0
- WonBeşiktaş19 Oct 20262–0
- WonGalatasaray19 Sep 20264–0
- WonGençlerbirliği S.K.6 Sep 20265–0
- WonBaşakşehir23 Aug 20262–1
Trabzonspor: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 21 scored, 8 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
Gaziantep FK away
Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost
- LostBaşakşehir18 Oct 20261–2
- LostKocaelispor19 Sep 20260–2
- WonGöztepe7 Sep 20264–2
- WonEyüpspor23 Aug 20261–0
- LostGöztepe9 May 20261–2
Gaziantep FK: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 13 scored, 18 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 6 days before26 Oct 2026 · v Rizespor · Süper Lig
- Next match
- 4 days after5 Nov 2026 · v SC Freiburg · UEFA Europa Conference League
- Last match
- 5 days before27 Oct 2026 · v Etimesgut SK · Türkiye Kupası
- Next match
- 5 days after6 Nov 2026 · v Kasımpaşa · Süper Lig
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Trabzonspor
Since 3 Nov 2024
| Score | Trabzonspor | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 31 won, 5 drawn, 6 lost in 42 matches | 680 won, 198 drawn, 149 lost in 1027 matches |
| Conceded first | 6 won, 9 drawn, 13 lost in 28 matches | 149 won, 198 drawn, 680 lost in 1027 matches |
| Level at half-time | 14 won, 5 drawn, 7 lost in 26 matches | 275 won, 328 drawn, 275 lost in 878 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 6 won, 7 drawn, 8 lost in 21 matches | 200 won, 340 drawn, 200 lost in 740 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 24 won, 14 drawn, 14 lost in 52 matches | 558 won, 462 drawn, 558 lost in 1578 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 17 won, 10 drawn, 8 lost in 35 matches | 402 won, 358 drawn, 402 lost in 1162 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Trabzonspor | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 27 scored, 21 conceded (72) | 754 scored, 754 conceded (2226) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 12 scored, 8 conceded (34) | 296 scored, 262 conceded (774) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 11 scored, 9 conceded (21) | 262 scored, 296 conceded (774) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 38 times, equalised within 15 minutes 7, by full time 23(league sides: 1,183 times, within 15 minutes 205, by full time 527)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
Gaziantep FK
Since 1 Nov 2024
| Score | Gaziantep FK | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 15 won, 8 drawn, 4 lost in 27 matches | 680 won, 198 drawn, 149 lost in 1027 matches |
| Conceded first | 6 won, 5 drawn, 27 lost in 38 matches | 149 won, 198 drawn, 680 lost in 1027 matches |
| Level at half-time | 10 won, 10 drawn, 9 lost in 29 matches | 275 won, 328 drawn, 275 lost in 878 matches |
| 1 goal down at half-time | 1 won, 5 drawn, 14 lost in 20 matches | 57 won, 109 drawn, 318 lost in 484 matches |
| 1 goal down after 60 minutes | 1 won, 6 drawn, 14 lost in 21 matches | 45 won, 100 drawn, 347 lost in 492 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 5 won, 13 drawn, 6 lost in 24 matches | 161 won, 382 drawn, 161 lost in 704 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 4 won, 14 drawn, 3 lost in 21 matches | 121 won, 418 drawn, 121 lost in 660 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 15 won, 14 drawn, 17 lost in 46 matches | 558 won, 462 drawn, 558 lost in 1578 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 12 won, 13 drawn, 13 lost in 38 matches | 402 won, 358 drawn, 402 lost in 1162 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Gaziantep FK | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 16 scored, 33 conceded (70) | 754 scored, 754 conceded (2226) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 4 scored, 10 conceded (20) | 296 scored, 262 conceded (774) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 5 scored, 8 conceded (24) | 196 scored, 196 conceded (678) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 7 scored, 15 conceded (26) | 262 scored, 296 conceded (774) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 45 times, equalised within 15 minutes 9, by full time 21(league sides: 1,183 times, within 15 minutes 205, by full time 527)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Earlier league matches
| Gaziantep FK | ||
|---|---|---|
| 70Since 3 Nov 2024 | Matches with xG | 69Since 1 Nov 2024 |
| 108.82 | xG for | 87.01 |
| 132 | Goals scored | 85 |
| 96.36 | xG against | 107.57 |
| 84 | Goals conceded | 109 |
Trabzonspor
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2026 | at Rizespor | 2.63 | 1.81 | 4–3 |
| 19 Oct 2026 | v Beşiktaş | 2.35 | 1.19 | 2–0 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | at Samsunspor | 2.02 | 1.66 | 3–0 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | v Galatasaray | 2.20 | 0.96 | 4–0 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | at Konyaspor | 0.83 | 1.01 | 0–1 |
| 6 Sep 2026 | v Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 3.21 | 0.86 | 5–0 |
| 31 Aug 2026 | at Amed | 0.93 | 2.69 | 1–2 |
| 23 Aug 2026 | v Başakşehir | 2.27 | 1.95 | 2–1 |
| 15 Aug 2026 | at Kasımpaşa | 0.85 | 1.86 | 1–1 |
| 17 May 2026 | v Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 0.57 | 1.58 | 0–3 |
Gaziantep FK
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | v Erzurumspor FK | 1.15 | 0.65 | 1–3 |
| 18 Oct 2026 | at Başakşehir | 1.13 | 2.03 | 1–2 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | v Çorum FK | 0.99 | 2.67 | 0–3 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | at Kocaelispor | 1.03 | 1.30 | 0–2 |
| 14 Sep 2026 | v Fenerbahçe | 0.49 | 1.34 | 0–0 |
| 7 Sep 2026 | at Göztepe | 1.88 | 3.26 | 4–2 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | v Rizespor | 0.79 | 1.17 | 1–2 |
| 23 Aug 2026 | at Eyüpspor | 1.16 | 0.49 | 1–0 |
| 15 Aug 2026 | v Alanyaspor | 1.28 | 1.25 | 1–1 |
| 16 May 2026 | v Başakşehir | 0.63 | 2.21 | 1–2 |
Gaziantep FK: 1 without xG left out
This league season
Süper Lig matches since 14 Aug 2026.
| Gaziantep FK | ||
|---|---|---|
| 9 of 9 | Matches with xG | 9 of 9 |
| 19 | Points in those matches | 8 |
| 14.25 | xPts | 10.01 |
| 17.29 | xG for | 9.90 |
| 13.99 | xG against | 14.16 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Trabzonspor and Gaziantep FK
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Trabzonspor
- Ruled out
- A. Batagov (Knee Injury) · O. Cevikkan (Tendon Injury) · R. Malinovskyi (Knee Injury) · O. Yokuslu (Knee Injury)
- Doubtful
- P. Onuachu (Muscle Injury)
Gaziantep FK
- Ruled out
- M. Abena (Yellow Cards) · F. Bavuk (Hamstring Injury) · N. Sangare (Back Injury)
- Doubtful
- U. Meleke (Injury)
Published 1 Nov 2026, 11:58 GMT · not changed since
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