Liga Pro match analysis

The Liga Pro is the top division of Ecuadorian football. The season is played in stages over the calendar year, and the stage winners and the overall table decide the national champion.

Ledger publishes an analysis page for each upcoming Liga Pro match it covers: the model's estimated chances of a home win, a draw and an away win, with a short written summary where one is available. Matches the model flags for a closer look carry a Signal found badge, and the full reasoning behind them is part of PRO. Finished matches stay listed with the final score.

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 19:58 GMT · times in UK time

Upcoming matches

Each percentage is our estimate of how likely that result is.

Sat 7 Nov

2 matches

LibertadEmelec19:00No qualifying signalMost likely: Libertad win52%chance of that result19:00
Leones del NorteGuayaquil City FC21:30No qualifying signalMost likely: Leones del Norte win47%chance of that result21:30

Sun 8 Nov

4 matches

MacaraUniversidad Catolica16:15No qualifying signalMost likely: Macara win44%chance of that result16:15
Deportivo CuencaOrense SC16:30No qualifying signalMost likely: Deportivo Cuenca win43%chance of that result16:30
AucasIndependiente del Valle18:45No qualifying signalMost likely: Independiente del Valle win48%chance of that result18:45
Barcelona SCLDU de Quito21:30No qualifying signalMost likely: Barcelona SC win36%chance of that result21:30

Mon 9 Nov

2 matches

Mushuc Runa SCDelfin SC18:00No qualifying signalMost likely: Mushuc Runa SC win50%chance of that result18:00
Tecnico UniversitarioManta FC20:30No qualifying signalMost likely: Tecnico Universitario win48%chance of that result20:30

Table

Table as of 6 Nov 2026, 05:42 GMT · Source: API-Football

Liga Pro: Regular season

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Independiente del Valle	30	24	2	4	+40	74	WonWonLostDrawnWon
2	Universidad Catolica	30	14	9	7	+24	51	WonWonDrawnDrawnWon
3	Macara	30	15	6	9	+8	51	WonLostWonWonLost
4	Aucas	30	14	8	8	+5	50	DrawnDrawnDrawnWonWon
5	LDU de Quito	30	13	7	10	+7	46	DrawnWonDrawnLostWon
6	Barcelona SC	30	11	11	8	+7	44	DrawnDrawnWonLostWon
7	Libertad	30	11	8	11	-1	41	LostWonDrawnLostWon
8	Leones del Norte	30	10	9	11	-1	39	LostDrawnWonLostLost
9	Guayaquil City FC	30	10	9	11	-3	39	WonLostLostWonWon
10	Emelec	30	10	9	11	-9	39	LostWonDrawnWonLost
11	Mushuc Runa SC	30	9	11	10	-3	38	LostDrawnDrawnWonDrawn
12	Deportivo Cuenca	30	10	6	14	-12	36	DrawnLostWonLostDrawn
13	Orense SC	30	9	6	15	-11	33	LostWonLostLostLost
14	Tecnico Universitario	30	10	2	18	-14	32	WonLostLostWonLost
15	Delfin SC	30	7	7	16	-12	28	DrawnLostWonLostLost
16	Manta FC	30	5	6	19	-25	21	DrawnLostLostWonLost

Liga Pro: Championship Group

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Independiente del Valle	34	26	3	5	+42	81	WonDrawnLostWonWon
2	Macara	35	20	6	9	+15	66	WonWonWonWonWon
3	Aucas	35	15	9	11	0	54	WonLostDrawnLostLost
4	Universidad Catolica	35	14	11	10	+21	53	LostDrawnDrawnLostLost
5	LDU de Quito	35	15	8	12	+6	53	LostLostDrawnWonWon
6	Barcelona SC	34	12	12	10	+7	48	LostWonDrawnLostDrawn

Liga Pro: Placement Group

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
7	Libertad	35	14	9	12	+4	51	DrawnLostWonWonWon
8	Guayaquil City FC	35	12	11	12	-5	47	DrawnWonLostWonDrawn
9	Leones del Norte	35	12	10	13	-1	46	WonWonLostLostDrawn
10	Emelec	35	11	9	15	-12	42	LostLostWonLostLost

Liga Pro: Relegation Group

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
11	Deportivo Cuenca	35	12	8	15	-11	44	LostWonWonDrawnDrawn
12	Mushuc Runa SC	35	9	13	13	-8	40	LostLostDrawnLostDrawn
13	Orense SC	35	10	9	16	-8	39	DrawnWonDrawnDrawnLost
14	Delfin SC	35	10	8	17	-11	38	WonLostWonWonDrawn
15	Tecnico Universitario	35	11	4	20	-13	37	DrawnWonLostLostDrawn
16	Manta FC	35	8	6	21	-26	30	WonLostLostWonWon

This season

Liga Pro games since 21 Feb 2026, 90-minute score. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Home wins: 131 of 279
Draws: 68 of 279
Away wins: 80 of 279
Both teams scored: 133 of 279
Over 2.5 goals: 117 of 279
Goals: 372 by home teams, 277 by away teams in 279

Recently analysed

Each analysis is kept exactly as it was published before kick-off.

Questions

How does the Liga Pro format work?

Clubs play each other in league stages across the year. The results of those stages lead to a final that decides the champion, and the lowest-placed clubs in the overall table are relegated. The league sets the exact stage rules each season.

When is the Liga Pro season played?

The season follows the calendar year, usually from February to December.

How do Ledger's analysis pages for Liga Pro matches work?

Each upcoming Liga Pro match gets its own page with the model's home, draw and away estimates and, where available, a short written summary. A Signal found badge marks matches the model has flagged; the full analysis behind it is available with PRO. Kick-off times are shown in UK time.

Is Ledger's analysis gambling advice?

No. Ledger publishes analysis, not gambling advice. Each page explains how the model reads a match and how confident it is; any decision you make is your own. Football matches can go any way, and no analysis changes that.