Aucas v Independiente del Valle · analysis and preview
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Most likely: Independiente del Valle win
The model gives Independiente del Valle a 48% chance of winning, compared to 25% for Aucas and 27% for a draw. Expected goals are 1.57 for Independiente del Valle and 1.07 for Aucas, a gap of 0.5 in Independiente del Valle's favour. Aucas have won just one of their last five matches, while Independiente del Valle have been more solid with two wins and two draws in that span.
How the match could end · our estimate
- 25%Aucas win
- 27%Draw
- 48%Independiente del Valle win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats
- won2–1at Universidad Catolica
- lost0–4v Barcelona SC
- drew1–1v LDU de Quito
- lost1–2at Independiente del Valle
- lost1–2v Macara
Last 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat
- won2–0v LDU de Quito
- drew0–0v Universidad Catolica
- lost0–1at Macara
- won2–1v Aucas
- drew1–1at Flamengo
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Independiente del Valle won 6 of the last 10 meetings.
- Over 2.5 goals in 8 of Independiente del Valle's last 10 away league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
10 meetings: Aucas 2, draws 2, Independiente del Valle 6
Goals: Aucas 13, Independiente del Valle 16
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2026 | Independiente del Valle v Aucas | 2–1 |
| 16 Jul 2026 | Aucas v Independiente del Valle | 0–3 |
| 14 Mar 2026 | Independiente del Valle v Aucas | 2–2 |
| 19 Jul 2025 | Independiente del Valle v Aucas | 2–1 |
| 28 Mar 2025 | Aucas v Independiente del Valle | 1–2 |
| 1 Sep 2024 | Aucas v Independiente del Valle | 0–2 |
| 24 Mar 2024 | Independiente del Valle v Aucas | 1–1 |
| 11 Nov 2023 | Aucas v Independiente del Valle | 2–0 |
| 2 Jun 2023 | Independiente del Valle v Aucas | 2–0 |
| 23 Jul 2022 | Aucas v Independiente del Valle | 5–0 |
Home and away
Aucas at home
Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost
- LostBarcelona SC25 Oct 20260–4
- DrawnLDU de Quito17 Oct 20261–1
- LostMacara19 Sep 20261–2
- DrawnBarcelona SC7 Sep 20261–1
- WonLibertad30 Aug 20261–0
Aucas: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 9 scored, 16 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 4 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Independiente del Valle away
Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost
- LostMacara17 Oct 20260–1
- DrawnFlamengoCONMEBOL Libertadores18 Sep 20261–1
- WonLibertad14 Sep 20263–2
- LostBarcelona SC3 Sep 20261–2
- WonLeones del Norte22 Aug 20263–2
Independiente del Valle: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 26 scored, 12 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 8 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 7 days before1 Nov 2026 · v Universidad Catolica · Liga Pro
- Next match
- Not known
- Last match
- 2 days before6 Nov 2026 · v Delfin SC · Copa Ecuador
- Next match
- Not known
Injuries and suspensions
Team news not available yet.
Updated 7 Nov 2026, 00:18 GMT
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