Libertad v Emelec · analysis and preview
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Most likely: Libertad win
Libertad host Emelec after winning the first leg 2-1 away. The model gives Libertad a 52% chance of victory, with Emelec at 20% and a draw at 28%. Expected goals stand at 1.5 for Libertad and 0.87 for Emelec, a gap of 0.63 in Libertad's favour. Libertad's recent form (DLWWW) is stronger than Emelec's (LLWLL).
How the match could end · our estimate
- 52%Libertad win
- 28%Draw
- 20%Emelec win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat
- drew0–0at Guayaquil City FC
- lost1–4at Leones del Norte
- won4–0v Guayaquil City FC
- won3–0v Leones del Norte
- won2–1at Emelec
Last 5: 1 win, no draws, 4 defeats
- lost0–2v Leones del Norte
- lost0–1v Guayaquil City FC
- won3–1at Leones del Norte
- lost2–3at Guayaquil City FC
- lost1–2v Libertad
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
9 meetings: Libertad 2, draws 5, Emelec 2
Goals: Libertad 8, Emelec 9
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Emelec v Libertad | 1–2 |
| 4 Sep 2026 | Libertad v Emelec | 1–1 |
| 10 May 2026 | Emelec v Libertad | 1–1 |
| 4 Aug 2025 | Libertad v Emelec | 1–2 |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Emelec v Libertad | 1–1 |
| 30 Nov 2024 | Libertad v Emelec | 2–1 |
| 2 Jun 2024 | Emelec v Libertad | 0–0 |
| 5 Aug 2023 | Libertad v Emelec | 0–0 |
| 27 Feb 2023 | Emelec v Libertad | 2–0 |
Home and away
Libertad at home
Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost
- WonGuayaquil City FC17 Oct 20264–0
- WonLeones del Norte9 Oct 20263–0
- LostIndependiente del Valle14 Sep 20262–3
- DrawnEmelec4 Sep 20261–1
- WonMacara25 Aug 20261–0
Libertad: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 19 scored, 8 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 4 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 10
Emelec away
Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost
- WonLeones del Norte18 Oct 20263–1
- LostGuayaquil City FC10 Oct 20262–3
- LostMacara13 Sep 20260–1
- DrawnLibertad4 Sep 20261–1
- LostLDU de Quito24 Aug 20260–2
Emelec: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 11 scored, 17 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 4 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 6 days before1 Nov 2026 · v Guayaquil City FC · Liga Pro
- Next match
- Not known
- Last match
- 7 days before31 Oct 2026 · v Leones del Norte · Liga Pro
- Next match
- Not known
Injuries and suspensions
Team news not available yet.
Updated 7 Nov 2026, 16:08 GMT
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