Jupiler Pro League match analysis

The Jupiler Pro League is the top division of Belgian football. A regular season, with clubs meeting each other home and away, is followed by play-off groups that decide the title, the European places and relegation.

Ledger publishes an analysis page for each upcoming Jupiler Pro League match it covers: the model's estimated chances of a home win, a draw and an away win, with a short written summary where one is available. Matches the model flags for a closer look carry a Signal found badge, and the full reasoning behind them is part of PRO. Finished matches stay listed with the final score.

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 20:18 GMT · times in UK time

Upcoming matches

Each percentage is our estimate of how likely that result is.

Today · Fri 6 Nov

1 match

Standard LiegeSK Beveren LiveNo qualifying signalMost likely: Standard Liege win51%chance of that result Live

Sat 7 Nov

4 matches

KVC WesterloCharleroi15:00No qualifying signalMost likely: KVC Westerlo win39%chance of that result15:00
OH LeuvenKV Mechelen17:15No qualifying signalMost likely: OH Leuven win40%chance of that result17:15
AntwerpLommel United19:45No qualifying signalMost likely: Lommel United win39%chance of that result19:45
RAAL La LouvièreCercle Brugge19:45No qualifying signalMost likely: RAAL La Louvière win37%chance of that result19:45

Sun 8 Nov

4 matches

Club Brugge KVAnderlecht12:30No qualifying signalMost likely: Club Brugge KV win67%chance of that result12:30
GentKortrijk15:00No qualifying signalMost likely: Gent win71%chance of that result15:00
Union St. GilloiseGenk17:30No qualifying signalMost likely: Union St. Gilloise win63%chance of that result17:30
St. TruidenZulte Waregem18:15No qualifying signalMost likely: St. Truiden win50%chance of that result18:15

Fri 20 Nov

1 match

Cercle BruggeKVC Westerlo19:45No qualifying signalMost likely: Cercle Brugge win42%chance of that result19:45

Table

Table as of 6 Nov 2026, 05:32 GMT · Source: API-Football

Jupiler Pro League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Club Brugge KV	10	9	0	1	+18	27	WonWonWonWonWon
2	Union St. Gilloise	10	8	2	0	+22	26	WonWonDrawnWonWon
3	Gent	10	8	1	1	+13	25	LostWonWonWonDrawn
4	Charleroi	10	8	0	2	+9	24	WonLostWonWonWon
5	Anderlecht	10	6	1	3	+2	19	WonLostWonWonWon
6	Genk	10	4	3	3	+4	15	LostWonWonLostDrawn
7	Lommel United	10	4	3	3	+2	15	WonDrawnWonDrawnLost
8	KVC Westerlo	10	4	2	4	0	14	LostDrawnWonWonWon
9	Standard Liege	10	3	3	4	-1	12	DrawnLostLostLostLost
10	KV Mechelen	10	3	3	4	-5	12	WonWonWonDrawnLost
11	Zulte Waregem	10	3	2	5	-4	11	LostLostLostLostLost
12	Antwerp	10	3	1	6	-6	10	LostWonLostLostLost
13	SK Beveren	10	3	1	6	-7	10	LostDrawnLostLostWon
14	OH Leuven	10	2	3	5	-7	9	WonDrawnDrawnWonDrawn
15	St. Truiden	10	2	2	6	-3	8	LostLostLostLostLost
16	RAAL La Louvière	10	2	1	7	-10	7	LostWonLostLostWon
17	Cercle Brugge	10	1	3	6	-9	6	WonLostLostLostDrawn
18	Kortrijk	10	1	1	8	-18	4	LostDrawnLostWonLost

This season

Jupiler Pro League games since 7 Aug 2026, 90-minute score. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Home wins: 46 of 90
Draws: 16 of 90
Away wins: 28 of 90
Both teams scored: 44 of 90
Over 2.5 goals: 59 of 90
Goals: 169 by home teams, 122 by away teams in 90

xG and expected points

Jupiler Pro League matches since 7 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.

Team	Matches with xG	Points in those matches	xPts	xG for	xG against
Club Brugge KV	10	27	18.62	23.97	13.27
Union St. Gilloise	10	26	18.11	18.47	10.33
Gent	10	25	17.71	13.84	8.16
Charleroi	10	24	18.35	18.54	11.59
Anderlecht	10	19	17.82	16.60	9.74
Genk	10	15	18.30	19.24	10.03
Lommel United	10	15	10.79	10.22	16.01
KVC Westerlo	10	14	13.07	15.57	18.14
Standard Liege	10	12	14.15	17.17	16.61
KV Mechelen	10	12	11.16	10.96	14.55
Zulte Waregem	10	11	12.19	11.90	14.61
Antwerp	10	10	11.25	14.08	21.07
SK Beveren	10	10	10.04	11.06	17.60
OH Leuven	10	9	11.11	13.56	19.08
St. Truiden	10	8	15.49	20.62	17.93
RAAL La Louvière	10	7	10.44	12.58	19.79
Cercle Brugge	10	6	11.82	15.00	17.65
Kortrijk	10	4	9.85	10.40	17.62

MP: Matches with xG · xG+: xG for · xG−: xG against

Points and expected points (xPts) in each team's league matches with xG this season. These are not the league table's points: a match without xG counts in neither column.

Teams are in league table order from stored results (points, goal difference, goals scored).

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

Recently analysed

Each analysis is kept exactly as it was published before kick-off.

Questions

How does the Jupiler Pro League format work?

After the regular season the table splits into play-off groups. The highest-placed clubs play for the title, and the other groups settle the remaining places. The details of the play-offs have changed several times, so the league publishes the rules for each season.

When is the Jupiler Pro League season played?

The season usually starts in late July and ends in May, with a short winter break.

How do Ledger's analysis pages for Jupiler Pro League matches work?

Each upcoming Jupiler Pro League match gets its own page with the model's home, draw and away estimates and, where available, a short written summary. A Signal found badge marks matches the model has flagged; the full analysis behind it is available with PRO. Kick-off times are shown in UK time.

Is Ledger's analysis gambling advice?

No. Ledger publishes analysis, not gambling advice. Each page explains how the model reads a match and how confident it is; any decision you make is your own. Football matches can go any way, and no analysis changes that.