Union St. Gilloise v Genk · analysis and preview
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Most likely: Union St. Gilloise win
Union St. Gilloise host Genk with the model giving the home side a 63% chance of victory. The hosts have won four of their last five matches and are expected to create a clear attacking advantage, with an expected goal gap of 1.1 in Union's favour. Genk's form has been mixed, with two wins and two defeats in their last five outings.
How the match could end · our estimate
- 63%Union St. Gilloise win
- 23%Draw
- 14%Genk win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
Union St. GilloiseLast 5: 4 wins, 1 draw, no defeats
- won2–1at Celta Vigo
- won2–1at SK Beveren
- won5–2v Cercle Brugge
- won4–0v Hapoel Beer Sheva
- drew1–1v Real Sociedad
GenkLast 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats
- lost0–1at KV Mechelen
- won2–1v Standard Liege
- won3–0v Kortrijk
- lost0–3at Club Brugge KV
- drew1–1v Gent
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Union St. Gilloise won 56 of 62 matches in which they scored first, since 10 Nov 2024.
- Genk won 30 of 42 matches in which they scored first, since 10 Nov 2024.
- Union St. Gilloise won 7 of the last 10 meetings.
- Union St. Gilloise unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
10 meetings: Union St. Gilloise 7, draws 0, Genk 3
Goals: Union St. Gilloise 15, Genk 8
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 7 Mar 2026 | Union St. Gilloise v Genk | 2–1 |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Genk v Union St. Gilloise | 1–2 |
| 3 May 2025 | Union St. Gilloise v Genk | 1–0 |
| 20 Apr 2025 | Genk v Union St. Gilloise | 1–2 |
| 15 Mar 2025 | Genk v Union St. Gilloise | 2–1 |
| 10 Nov 2024 | Union St. Gilloise v Genk | 4–0 |
| 26 May 2024 | Union St. Gilloise v Genk | 2–0 |
| 1 Apr 2024 | Genk v Union St. Gilloise | 1–0 |
| 3 Feb 2024 | Genk v Union St. Gilloise | 0–1 |
| 16 Sep 2023 | Union St. Gilloise v Genk | 0–2 |
Home and away
Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise at home
Last 5: 3 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost
- WonCercle Brugge25 Oct 20265–2
- WonHapoel Beer ShevaUEFA Europa League22 Oct 20264–0
- DrawnReal SociedadUEFA Europa League15 Oct 20261–1
- DrawnOH Leuven11 Oct 20261–1
- WonLommel United12 Sep 20265–0
Union St. Gilloise: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 25 scored, 5 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 4 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 10
GenkGenk away
Last 5: 0 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost
- LostKV Mechelen31 Oct 20260–1
- LostClub Brugge KV20 Sep 20260–3
- DrawnAnderlecht6 Sep 20260–0
- DrawnAntwerp22 Aug 20264–4
- LostZulte Waregem9 Aug 20261–2
Genk: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 9 scored, 13 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 3 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 4 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Union St. Gilloise- Last match
- 3 days before5 Nov 2026 · v Celta Vigo · UEFA Europa League
- Next match
- Not known
Genk- Last match
- 8 days before31 Oct 2026 · v KV Mechelen · Jupiler Pro League
- Next match
- 13 days after21 Nov 2026 · v RAAL La Louvière · Jupiler Pro League
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 10 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Union St. Gilloise
| Score | Union St. Gilloise | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 56 won, 5 drawn, 1 lost in 62 matches | 646 won, 196 drawn, 124 lost in 966 matches |
| Conceded first | 8 won, 7 drawn, 12 lost in 27 matches | 124 won, 196 drawn, 646 lost in 966 matches |
| 1 goal up at half-time | 26 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost in 28 matches | 306 won, 100 drawn, 44 lost in 450 matches |
| Level at half-time | 19 won, 14 drawn, 5 lost in 38 matches | 245 won, 328 drawn, 245 lost in 818 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 60 minutes | 23 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost in 24 matches | 234 won, 12 drawn, 4 lost in 250 matches |
| 1 goal up after 60 minutes | 25 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost in 26 matches | 328 won, 106 drawn, 32 lost in 466 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 15 won, 12 drawn, 3 lost in 30 matches | 172 won, 304 drawn, 172 lost in 648 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 70 minutes | 28 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 28 matches | 289 won, 7 drawn, 1 lost in 297 matches |
| 1 goal up after 70 minutes | 28 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost in 30 matches | 338 won, 94 drawn, 21 lost in 453 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 8 won, 15 drawn, 2 lost in 25 matches | 121 won, 338 drawn, 121 lost in 580 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 80 minutes | 36 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 36 matches | 328 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 333 matches |
| 1 goal up after 80 minutes | 21 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost in 22 matches | 326 won, 81 drawn, 9 lost in 416 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 7 won, 17 drawn, 1 lost in 25 matches | 107 won, 368 drawn, 107 lost in 582 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 44 won, 17 drawn, 12 lost in 73 matches | 533 won, 412 drawn, 533 lost in 1478 matches |
| 1 goal up after 30 minutes | 19 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost in 21 matches | 257 won, 90 drawn, 50 lost in 397 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 31 won, 14 drawn, 10 lost in 55 matches | 384 won, 344 drawn, 384 lost in 1112 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Union St. Gilloise | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 41 scored, 21 conceded (97) | 694 scored, 694 conceded (2080) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 25 scored, 9 conceded (60) | 270 scored, 246 conceded (749) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 10 scored, 6 conceded (23) | 178 scored, 178 conceded (582) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 28 times, equalised within 15 minutes 5, by full time 17(league sides: 1,102 times, within 15 minutes 163, by full time 484)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
Genk
| Score | Genk | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 30 won, 8 drawn, 4 lost in 42 matches | 646 won, 196 drawn, 124 lost in 966 matches |
| Conceded first | 12 won, 9 drawn, 22 lost in 43 matches | 124 won, 196 drawn, 646 lost in 966 matches |
| 1 goal up at half-time | 16 won, 4 drawn, 2 lost in 22 matches | 306 won, 100 drawn, 44 lost in 450 matches |
| Level at half-time | 18 won, 16 drawn, 6 lost in 40 matches | 245 won, 328 drawn, 245 lost in 818 matches |
| 1 goal up after 60 minutes | 22 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost in 27 matches | 328 won, 106 drawn, 32 lost in 466 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 10 won, 16 drawn, 5 lost in 31 matches | 172 won, 304 drawn, 172 lost in 648 matches |
| 1 goal up after 70 minutes | 22 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost in 26 matches | 338 won, 94 drawn, 21 lost in 453 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 8 won, 16 drawn, 5 lost in 29 matches | 121 won, 338 drawn, 121 lost in 580 matches |
| 1 goal up after 80 minutes | 22 won, 5 drawn, 1 lost in 28 matches | 326 won, 81 drawn, 9 lost in 416 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 6 won, 15 drawn, 4 lost in 25 matches | 107 won, 368 drawn, 107 lost in 582 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 27 won, 17 drawn, 19 lost in 63 matches | 533 won, 412 drawn, 533 lost in 1478 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 18 won, 13 drawn, 15 lost in 46 matches | 384 won, 344 drawn, 384 lost in 1112 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Genk | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 29 scored, 31 conceded (92) | 694 scored, 694 conceded (2080) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 14 scored, 22 conceded (42) | 270 scored, 246 conceded (749) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 11 scored, 8 conceded (28) | 178 scored, 178 conceded (582) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 4 scored, 1 conceded (22) | 246 scored, 270 conceded (749) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 45 times, equalised within 15 minutes 12, by full time 26(league sides: 1,102 times, within 15 minutes 163, by full time 484)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 28 Jul 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Since 10 Nov 2024
| Union St. Gilloise | Genk | |
|---|---|---|
| 77 | Matches with xG | 77 |
| 136.67 | xG for | 127.13 |
| 153 | Goals scored | 116 |
| 71.31 | xG against | 96.11 |
| 50 | Goals conceded | 96 |
Union St. Gilloise
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2026 | at SK Beveren | 0.69 | 0.47 | 2–1 |
| 25 Oct 2026 | v Cercle Brugge | 2.02 | 1.23 | 5–2 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | v OH Leuven | 1.14 | 1.46 | 1–1 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | at Antwerp | 3.34 | 0.41 | 2–0 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | v Lommel United | 3.27 | 0.65 | 5–0 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | at Charleroi | 1.24 | 2.18 | 3–2 |
| 2 Sep 2026 | at St. Truiden | 2.49 | 0.85 | 3–0 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | v Anderlecht | 1.60 | 1.34 | 3–0 |
| 15 Aug 2026 | v Zulte Waregem | 0.89 | 0.98 | 0–0 |
| 8 Aug 2026 | at KVC Westerlo | 1.79 | 0.76 | 5–1 |
Genk
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2026 | at KV Mechelen | 1.65 | 0.31 | 0–1 |
| 25 Oct 2026 | v Standard Liege | 3.32 | 1.48 | 2–1 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | v Kortrijk | 1.83 | 0.70 | 3–0 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | at Club Brugge KV | 1.96 | 2.12 | 0–3 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | v Gent | 0.94 | 0.89 | 1–1 |
| 6 Sep 2026 | at Anderlecht | 0.40 | 0.70 | 0–0 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | v SK Beveren | 3.06 | 0.61 | 4–0 |
| 22 Aug 2026 | at Antwerp | 1.30 | 1.86 | 4–4 |
| 15 Aug 2026 | v KVC Westerlo | 4.24 | 0.85 | 3–2 |
| 9 Aug 2026 | at Zulte Waregem | 0.54 | 0.51 | 1–2 |
Genk: 1 without xG left out
This league season
Jupiler Pro League matches since 7 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.
| Union St. Gilloise | Genk | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 of 10 | Matches with xG | 10 of 10 |
| 26 | Points in those matches | 15 |
| 18.11 | xPts | 18.30 |
| 18.47 | xG for | 19.24 |
| 10.33 | xG against | 10.03 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Union St. Gilloise and Genk
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news not available yet.
Updated 7 Nov 2026, 15:03 GMT
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