Antwerp v Lommel United match analysis
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This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 7 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Antwerp hosts Lommel United in a competitive Belgian First Division A match. The model gives Antwerp a 34% chance of winning, Lommel 39% and a draw 28%. Expected goals total 2.65, with Lommel edging home by 0.13. Antwerp have won just one of their last five (LWLLL), while Lommel show more balanced form (WDWDL).
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 34%Antwerp win
- 28%Draw
- 38%Lommel United win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
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Form · newest first
AntwerpLast 5: 1 win, no draws, 4 defeats
- lost1–2at Cercle Brugge
- won3–0v Charleroi
- lost1–5at KVC Westerlo
- lost0–2v Union St. Gilloise
- lost1–3at Club Brugge KV
Lommel UnitedLast 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat
- won2–0v Gent
- drew2–2at OH Leuven
- won3–1at SK Beveren
- drew0–0v KV Mechelen
- lost0–5at Union St. Gilloise
Head-to-head
Head-to-head data was not available for this match.
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Antwerp won 19 of 35 matches in which they scored first, since 9 Nov 2024.
- Jupiler Pro League, since 28 Jul 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 190 of 247.
Home and away
AntwerpAntwerp at home
Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost
- WonCharleroi24 Oct 20263–0
- LostUnion St. Gilloise20 Sep 20260–2
- LostSt. Truiden30 Aug 20261–4
- DrawnGenk22 Aug 20264–4
- WonSK Beveren9 Aug 20262–1
Antwerp: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 15 scored, 19 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 4 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Lommel UnitedLommel United away
Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost
- DrawnOH Leuven24 Oct 20262–2
- WonSK Beveren9 Oct 20263–1
- LostUnion St. Gilloise12 Sep 20260–5
- WonCercle Brugge29 Aug 20261–0
- DrawnSt. Truiden8 Aug 20261–1
Lommel United: away league games
Last 9 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 13 scored, 11 conceded in 9
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 9
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 9
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 9
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Antwerp- Last match
- 6 days before1 Nov 2026 · v Cercle Brugge · Jupiler Pro League
- Next match
- 14 days after21 Nov 2026 · v Zulte Waregem · Jupiler Pro League
Lommel United- Last match
- 6 days before1 Nov 2026 · v Gent · Jupiler Pro League
- Next match
- Not known
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 9 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Antwerp
| Score | Antwerp | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 19 won, 13 drawn, 3 lost in 35 matches | 646 won, 196 drawn, 124 lost in 966 matches |
| Conceded first | 4 won, 2 drawn, 31 lost in 37 matches | 124 won, 196 drawn, 646 lost in 966 matches |
| Level at half-time | 7 won, 15 drawn, 14 lost in 36 matches | 245 won, 328 drawn, 245 lost in 818 matches |
| 1 goal down at half-time | 3 won, 2 drawn, 15 lost in 20 matches | 44 won, 100 drawn, 306 lost in 450 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 3 won, 15 drawn, 7 lost in 25 matches | 172 won, 304 drawn, 172 lost in 648 matches |
| 1 goal down after 60 minutes | 2 won, 1 drawn, 19 lost in 22 matches | 32 won, 106 drawn, 328 lost in 466 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 4 won, 15 drawn, 5 lost in 24 matches | 121 won, 338 drawn, 121 lost in 580 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 3 won, 17 drawn, 4 lost in 24 matches | 107 won, 368 drawn, 107 lost in 582 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 17 won, 17 drawn, 23 lost in 57 matches | 533 won, 412 drawn, 533 lost in 1478 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 13 won, 15 drawn, 18 lost in 46 matches | 384 won, 344 drawn, 384 lost in 1112 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Antwerp | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 23 scored, 24 conceded (78) | 694 scored, 694 conceded (2080) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 5 scored, 7 conceded (21) | 270 scored, 246 conceded (749) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 5 scored, 5 conceded (24) | 178 scored, 178 conceded (582) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 13 scored, 12 conceded (33) | 246 scored, 270 conceded (749) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 41 times, equalised within 15 minutes 3, by full time 13(league sides: 1,102 times, within 15 minutes 163, by full time 484)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 28 Jul 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Since 9 Nov 2024
| Antwerp | Lommel United | |
|---|---|---|
| 78 | Matches with xG | — |
| 98.10 | xG for | — |
| 92 | Goals scored | — |
| 126.89 | xG against | — |
| 112 | Goals conceded | — |
Antwerp
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2026 | at Cercle Brugge | 2.36 | 0.71 | 1–2 |
| 24 Oct 2026 | v Charleroi | 1.45 | 1.97 | 3–0 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | at KVC Westerlo | 0.92 | 2.28 | 1–5 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | v Union St. Gilloise | 0.41 | 3.34 | 0–2 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | at Club Brugge KV | 2.09 | 2.94 | 1–3 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | at Standard Liege | 0.83 | 3.42 | 0–1 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | v St. Truiden | 0.77 | 3.38 | 1–4 |
| 22 Aug 2026 | v Genk | 1.86 | 1.30 | 4–4 |
| 15 Aug 2026 | at Kortrijk | 1.19 | 0.77 | 3–0 |
| 9 Aug 2026 | v SK Beveren | 2.20 | 0.96 | 2–1 |
This league season
Jupiler Pro League matches since 7 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.
| Antwerp | Lommel United | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 of 10 | Matches with xG | 10 of 10 |
| 10 | Points in those matches | 15 |
| 11.25 | xPts | 10.79 |
| 14.08 | xG for | 10.22 |
| 21.07 | xG against | 16.01 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Antwerp and Lommel United
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 7 Nov 2026, 18:43 GMT · not changed since
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