St. Truiden v Zulte Waregem · analysis and preview
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Most likely: St. Truiden win
St. Truiden hold a 50% chance of winning according to the model, with draws at 25% and Zulte Waregem at 25%. The hosts' expected goals are 1.76 compared to Zulte Waregem's 1.22, a gap of 0.54. St. Truiden have won their last two matches while Zulte Waregem have lost five consecutive games.
How the match could end · our estimate
- 50%St. Truiden win
- 25%Draw
- 25%Zulte Waregem win
PRO analysis
This analysis is part of PRO
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Form · newest first
St. TruidenLast 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats
- drew1–1v Brann
- lost1–2v OH Leuven
- lost2–3at Club Brugge KV
- won1–0at FC Midtjylland
- won2–0v FC Iberia 1999
Zulte WaregemLast 5: no wins, no draws, 5 defeats
- lost2–4v Club Brugge KV
- lost0–3at RAAL La Louvière
- lost0–2v Gent
- lost0–3at Anderlecht
- lost0–1v Charleroi
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- St. Truiden won 24 of 33 matches in which they scored first, since 8 Nov 2024.
- Zulte Waregem avoided defeat in 11 of 27 matches in which their opponent scored first, since 26 Jul 2025.
- St. Truiden won 5 of the last 6 meetings.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
6 meetings: St. Truiden 5, draws 0, Zulte Waregem 1
Goals: St. Truiden 13, Zulte Waregem 5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2026 | St. Truiden v Zulte Waregem | 3–2 |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Zulte Waregem v St. Truiden | 0–2 |
| 27 Dec 2022 | St. Truiden v Zulte Waregem | 2–0 |
| 17 Sep 2022 | Zulte Waregem v St. Truiden | 0–3 |
| 2 Apr 2022 | Zulte Waregem v St. Truiden | 0–2 |
| 7 Aug 2021 | St. Truiden v Zulte Waregem | 1–3 |
Home and away
St. TruidenSt. Truiden at home
Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost
- DrawnBrannUEFA Europa Conference League5 Nov 20261–1
- LostOH Leuven1 Nov 20261–2
- WonFC Iberia 1999UEFA Europa Conference League15 Oct 20262–0
- LostKVC Westerlo20 Sep 20260–2
- WonRAAL La Louvière5 Sep 20264–0
St. Truiden: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 15 scored, 12 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem away
Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost
- LostRAAL La Louvière24 Oct 20260–3
- LostAnderlecht19 Sep 20260–3
- WonKortrijk6 Sep 20262–0
- DrawnKVC Westerlo30 Aug 20262–2
- DrawnUnion St. Gilloise15 Aug 20260–0
Zulte Waregem: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 12 scored, 15 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 4 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
St. Truiden- Last match
- 3 days before5 Nov 2026 · v Brann · UEFA Europa Conference League
- Next match
- 13 days after21 Nov 2026 · v Charleroi · Jupiler Pro League
Zulte Waregem- Last match
- 9 days before30 Oct 2026 · v Club Brugge KV · Jupiler Pro League
- Next match
- 13 days after21 Nov 2026 · v Antwerp · Jupiler Pro League
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
St. Truiden
Since 8 Nov 2024
| Score | St. Truiden | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 24 won, 4 drawn, 5 lost in 33 matches | 646 won, 196 drawn, 124 lost in 966 matches |
| Conceded first | 8 won, 8 drawn, 25 lost in 41 matches | 124 won, 196 drawn, 646 lost in 966 matches |
| Level at half-time | 12 won, 5 drawn, 10 lost in 27 matches | 245 won, 328 drawn, 245 lost in 818 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 11 won, 5 drawn, 8 lost in 24 matches | 172 won, 304 drawn, 172 lost in 648 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 12 won, 8 drawn, 4 lost in 24 matches | 121 won, 338 drawn, 121 lost in 580 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 8 won, 9 drawn, 4 lost in 21 matches | 107 won, 368 drawn, 107 lost in 582 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 24 won, 9 drawn, 25 lost in 58 matches | 533 won, 412 drawn, 533 lost in 1478 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 13 won, 4 drawn, 14 lost in 31 matches | 384 won, 344 drawn, 384 lost in 1112 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | St. Truiden | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 31 scored, 19 conceded (75) | 694 scored, 694 conceded (2080) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 9 scored, 4 conceded (25) | 270 scored, 246 conceded (749) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 14 scored, 7 conceded (22) | 178 scored, 178 conceded (582) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 8 scored, 8 conceded (28) | 246 scored, 270 conceded (749) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 47 times, equalised within 15 minutes 8, by full time 22(league sides: 1,102 times, within 15 minutes 163, by full time 484)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
Zulte Waregem
Since 26 Jul 2025
| Score | Zulte Waregem | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Conceded first | 6 won, 5 drawn, 16 lost in 27 matches | 124 won, 196 drawn, 646 lost in 966 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 12 won, 8 drawn, 14 lost in 34 matches | 533 won, 412 drawn, 533 lost in 1478 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 7 won, 5 drawn, 9 lost in 21 matches | 384 won, 344 drawn, 384 lost in 1112 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Zulte Waregem | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 18 scored, 14 conceded (46) | 694 scored, 694 conceded (2080) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 33 times, equalised within 15 minutes 6, by full time 18(league sides: 1,102 times, within 15 minutes 163, by full time 484)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 28 Jul 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Earlier league matches
| St. Truiden | Zulte Waregem | |
|---|---|---|
| 73Since 8 Nov 2024 | Matches with xG | 46Since 26 Jul 2025 |
| 122.58 | xG for | 63.50 |
| 111 | Goals scored | 65 |
| 104.93 | xG against | 71.80 |
| 110 | Goals conceded | 69 |
St. Truiden
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2026 | v OH Leuven | 3.81 | 1.58 | 1–2 |
| 25 Oct 2026 | at Club Brugge KV | 1.81 | 2.67 | 2–3 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | at KV Mechelen | 1.63 | 0.78 | 3–4 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | v KVC Westerlo | 2.00 | 1.87 | 0–2 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | at SK Beveren | 0.72 | 1.69 | 0–2 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | v RAAL La Louvière | 2.40 | 0.44 | 4–0 |
| 2 Sep 2026 | v Union St. Gilloise | 0.85 | 2.49 | 0–3 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | at Antwerp | 3.38 | 0.77 | 4–1 |
| 14 Aug 2026 | at Cercle Brugge | 2.04 | 4.15 | 3–3 |
| 8 Aug 2026 | v Lommel United | 1.98 | 1.49 | 1–1 |
Zulte Waregem
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2026 | v Club Brugge KV | 1.60 | 1.40 | 2–4 |
| 24 Oct 2026 | at RAAL La Louvière | 0.82 | 1.56 | 0–3 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | v Gent | 0.68 | 2.50 | 0–2 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | at Anderlecht | 0.99 | 2.59 | 0–3 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | v Charleroi | 1.00 | 1.64 | 0–1 |
| 6 Sep 2026 | at Kortrijk | 1.19 | 0.55 | 2–0 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | at KVC Westerlo | 1.51 | 2.16 | 2–2 |
| 22 Aug 2026 | v SK Beveren | 2.62 | 0.78 | 4–0 |
| 15 Aug 2026 | at Union St. Gilloise | 0.98 | 0.89 | 0–0 |
| 9 Aug 2026 | v Genk | 0.51 | 0.54 | 2–1 |
This league season
Jupiler Pro League matches since 7 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.
| St. Truiden | Zulte Waregem | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 of 10 | Matches with xG | 10 of 10 |
| 8 | Points in those matches | 11 |
| 15.49 | xPts | 12.19 |
| 20.62 | xG for | 11.90 |
| 17.93 | xG against | 14.61 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: St. Truiden and Zulte Waregem
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news not available yet.
Updated 7 Nov 2026, 15:38 GMT
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