Jupiler Pro LeagueSun 8 Nov 2026 · GMTMatchday 11 · Planet Group Arena, Gent

Gent v Kortrijk · analysis and preview

Add to Journal

No signal on this match

Most likely: Gent win

Gent are clear favourites in the model's view, given a 71% chance of victory with 2.22 expected goals to Kortrijk's 0.74. Gent's recent form is stronger, winning two of their last five, while Kortrijk have struggled with just one win in five matches. A gap of 1.48 in Gent's favour in expected goals underlines the model's assessment of their superiority.

How the match could end · our estimate

  • 71%Gent win
  • 19%Draw
  • 10%Kortrijk win

PRO analysis

This analysis is part of PRO

PRO shows the full analysis of every match: our estimate next to the bookmaker’s price for each market, the written preview and the risks, and a signal whenever a match qualifies.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

GentGent

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

  1. drew0–0at KuPS
  2. lost0–2at Lommel United
  3. won4–0v Anderlecht
  4. lost0–2at SC Braga
  5. won1–0v Aarhus
KortrijkKortrijk

Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats

  1. lost1–3v KV Mechelen
  2. drew1–1at Standard Liege
  3. lost0–3at Genk
  4. won1–0v SK Beveren
  5. lost0–3at RAAL La Louvière

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Gent won 24 of 34 matches in which they scored first, since 10 Nov 2024.
  • Jupiler Pro League, since 28 Jul 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 190 of 247.
  • Gent won 5 of the last 8 meetings.
  • Gent unbeaten in their last 5 home games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

8 meetings: Gent 5, draws 1, Kortrijk 2

Goals: Gent 15, Kortrijk 8

DateMatchScore
16 Mar 2025Gent v Kortrijk1–2
28 Jul 2024Kortrijk v Gent0–1
26 Dec 2023Kortrijk v Gent0–2
30 Jul 2023Gent v Kortrijk3–2
15 Jan 2023Gent v Kortrijk2–1
13 Nov 2022Kortrijk v Gent0–4
14 Jan 2022Gent v Kortrijk2–2
19 Sep 2021Kortrijk v Gent1–0

Home and away

Gent

Gent at home

Last 5: 5 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost

  • WonAnderlecht25 Oct 20264–0
  • WonAarhusUEFA Europa Conference League15 Oct 20261–0
  • WonStandard Liege18 Sep 20262–1
  • WonOH Leuven3 Sep 20261–0
  • WonClub Brugge KV30 Aug 20262–1

Gent: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
12 scored, 5 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
3 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
3 of 10
Clean sheets
6 of 10
Kortrijk

Kortrijk away

Last 5: 0 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost

  • DrawnStandard Liege31 Oct 20261–1
  • LostGenk10 Oct 20260–3
  • LostRAAL La Louvière13 Sep 20260–3
  • LostAnderlecht3 Sep 20260–1
  • LostClub Brugge KV7 Aug 20260–3

Kortrijk: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
10 scored, 18 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
3 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Gent
Last match
3 days before5 Nov 2026 · v KuPS · UEFA Europa Conference League
Next match
Not known
Kortrijk
Last match
4 days before4 Nov 2026 · v KV Mechelen · Jupiler Pro League
Next match
Not known

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Gent

Since 10 Nov 2024

ScoreGentLeague sides
Scored first24 won, 6 drawn, 4 lost in 34 matches646 won, 196 drawn, 124 lost in 966 matches
Conceded first4 won, 8 drawn, 24 lost in 36 matches124 won, 196 drawn, 646 lost in 966 matches
Level at half-time12 won, 13 drawn, 6 lost in 31 matches245 won, 328 drawn, 245 lost in 818 matches
Level after 60 minutes8 won, 11 drawn, 7 lost in 26 matches172 won, 304 drawn, 172 lost in 648 matches
Level after 70 minutes7 won, 13 drawn, 4 lost in 24 matches121 won, 338 drawn, 121 lost in 580 matches
Level after 80 minutes6 won, 16 drawn, 3 lost in 25 matches107 won, 368 drawn, 107 lost in 582 matches
Level after 15 minutes17 won, 15 drawn, 22 lost in 54 matches533 won, 412 drawn, 533 lost in 1478 matches
Level after 30 minutes15 won, 12 drawn, 11 lost in 38 matches384 won, 344 drawn, 384 lost in 1112 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreGentLeague sides
All matches32 scored, 27 conceded (78)694 scored, 694 conceded (2080)
When leading after 75 minutes14 scored, 8 conceded (26)270 scored, 246 conceded (749)
When level after 75 minutes7 scored, 7 conceded (25)178 scored, 178 conceded (582)
When trailing after 75 minutes11 scored, 12 conceded (27)246 scored, 270 conceded (749)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 41 times, equalised within 15 minutes 6, by full time 18(league sides: 1,102 times, within 15 minutes 163, by full time 484)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Kortrijk

Since 9 Nov 2024

ScoreKortrijkLeague sides
Level after 15 minutes6 won, 4 drawn, 12 lost in 22 matches533 won, 412 drawn, 533 lost in 1478 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreKortrijkLeague sides
All matches6 scored, 14 conceded (33)694 scored, 694 conceded (2080)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 23 times, equalised within 15 minutes 2, by full time 5(league sides: 1,102 times, within 15 minutes 163, by full time 484)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 28 Jul 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

GentKortrijk
77Since 10 Nov 2024Matches with xG33Since 9 Nov 2024
107.13xG for38.44
99Goals scored35
118.59xG against52.83
116Goals conceded62

Gent

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Gent: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
1 Nov 2026at Lommel United1.341.340–2
25 Oct 2026v Anderlecht1.891.554–0
10 Oct 2026at Zulte Waregem2.500.682–0
18 Sep 2026v Standard Liege1.301.112–1
13 Sep 2026at Genk0.890.941–1
6 Sep 2026at Cercle Brugge1.220.493–0
3 Sep 2026v OH Leuven0.980.521–0
30 Aug 2026v Club Brugge KV1.380.652–1
16 Aug 2026at RAAL La Louvière1.180.542–1
9 Aug 2026v KV Mechelen1.160.342–0

Kortrijk

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Kortrijk: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
4 Nov 2026v KV Mechelen1.061.321–3
31 Oct 2026at Standard Liege1.581.411–1
10 Oct 2026at Genk0.701.830–3
20 Sep 2026v SK Beveren2.250.421–0
13 Sep 2026at RAAL La Louvière0.813.580–3
6 Sep 2026v Zulte Waregem0.551.190–2
3 Sep 2026at Anderlecht0.461.500–1
29 Aug 2026v Charleroi1.201.691–3
15 Aug 2026v Antwerp0.771.190–3
7 Aug 2026at Club Brugge KV1.023.490–3

Gent: 1 without xG left out

This league season

Jupiler Pro League matches since 7 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.

GentKortrijk
10 of 10Matches with xG10 of 10
25Points in those matches4
17.71xPts9.85
13.84xG for10.40
8.16xG against17.62

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Gent and Kortrijk

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

Team news not available yet.

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 18:43 GMT

All fixtures