Cercle Brugge v Antwerp match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 1 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
The model gives Cercle Brugge a 41% chance of victory over Antwerp, with the away side at 33% and a draw at 26%. Expected goals stand at 2.88 total, with Cercle favoured by 0.16. Cercle's recent form reads LLLDL, whilst Antwerp have won just once in five recent matches; their recent head-to-head includes a 4–0 Antwerp win and two draws.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 41%Cercle Brugge win
- 26%Draw
- 33%Antwerp win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
Cercle BruggeLast 5: no wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats
- lost2–5at Union St. Gilloise
- lost1–2v Anderlecht
- lost2–3at Charleroi
- drew1–1at OH Leuven
- lost0–3v Gent
AntwerpLast 5: 1 win, no draws, 4 defeats
- won3–0v Charleroi
- lost1–5at KVC Westerlo
- lost0–2v Union St. Gilloise
- lost1–3at Club Brugge KV
- lost0–1at Standard Liege
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Cercle Brugge won 18 of 31 matches in which they scored first, since 3 Nov 2024.
- Antwerp won 19 of 35 matches in which they scored first, since 3 Nov 2024.
- Antwerp won 7 of the last 10 meetings.
- Cercle Brugge without a win in their last 5 home games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
10 meetings: Cercle Brugge 1, draws 2, Antwerp 7
Goals: Cercle Brugge 5, Antwerp 18
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Cercle Brugge v Antwerp | 0–4 |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Antwerp v Cercle Brugge | 1–1 |
| 1 Mar 2025 | Cercle Brugge v Antwerp | 0–0 |
| 6 Oct 2024 | Antwerp v Cercle Brugge | 3–0 |
| 12 May 2024 | Antwerp v Cercle Brugge | 1–2 |
| 21 Apr 2024 | Cercle Brugge v Antwerp | 0–1 |
| 9 Dec 2023 | Cercle Brugge v Antwerp | 1–3 |
| 30 Jul 2023 | Antwerp v Cercle Brugge | 1–0 |
| 9 Apr 2023 | Antwerp v Cercle Brugge | 2–1 |
| 11 Sep 2022 | Cercle Brugge v Antwerp | 0–2 |
Home and away
Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge at home
Last 5: 0 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost
- LostAnderlecht10 Oct 20261–2
- LostGent6 Sep 20260–3
- LostLommel United29 Aug 20260–1
- DrawnSt. Truiden14 Aug 20263–3
- LostZulte Waregem1 May 20262–3
Cercle Brugge: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 13 scored, 18 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 8 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
AntwerpAntwerp away
Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost
- LostKVC Westerlo11 Oct 20261–5
- LostClub Brugge KV13 Sep 20261–3
- LostStandard Liege5 Sep 20260–1
- WonKortrijk15 Aug 20263–0
- DrawnGenk19 May 20260–0
Antwerp: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 12 scored, 18 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Cercle Brugge- Last match
- 7 days before25 Oct 2026 · v Union St. Gilloise · Jupiler Pro League
- Next match
- 6 days after7 Nov 2026 · v RAAL La Louvière · Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp- Last match
- 8 days before24 Oct 2026 · v Charleroi · Jupiler Pro League
- Next match
- 6 days after7 Nov 2026 · v Lommel United · Jupiler Pro League
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 3 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Cercle Brugge
| Score | Cercle Brugge | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 18 won, 5 drawn, 8 lost in 31 matches | 643 won, 196 drawn, 122 lost in 961 matches |
| Conceded first | 0 won, 13 drawn, 22 lost in 35 matches | 122 won, 196 drawn, 643 lost in 961 matches |
| Level at half-time | 3 won, 12 drawn, 5 lost in 20 matches | 241 won, 328 drawn, 241 lost in 810 matches |
| 1 goal down at half-time | 0 won, 9 drawn, 12 lost in 21 matches | 44 won, 100 drawn, 306 lost in 450 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 2 won, 13 drawn, 5 lost in 20 matches | 170 won, 304 drawn, 170 lost in 644 matches |
| 1 goal down after 60 minutes | 0 won, 8 drawn, 12 lost in 20 matches | 31 won, 106 drawn, 327 lost in 464 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 8 won, 18 drawn, 21 lost in 47 matches | 529 won, 412 drawn, 529 lost in 1470 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 5 won, 8 drawn, 14 lost in 27 matches | 380 won, 344 drawn, 380 lost in 1104 matches |
| 1 goal down after 30 minutes | 0 won, 12 drawn, 12 lost in 24 matches | 50 won, 90 drawn, 256 lost in 396 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Cercle Brugge | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 20 scored, 27 conceded (71) | 687 scored, 687 conceded (2070) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 6 scored, 11 conceded (21) | 268 scored, 244 conceded (746) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 12 scored, 13 conceded (31) | 244 scored, 268 conceded (746) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 44 times, equalised within 15 minutes 3, by full time 19(league sides: 1,097 times, within 15 minutes 162, by full time 482)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
Antwerp
| Score | Antwerp | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 19 won, 13 drawn, 3 lost in 35 matches | 643 won, 196 drawn, 122 lost in 961 matches |
| Conceded first | 4 won, 2 drawn, 31 lost in 37 matches | 122 won, 196 drawn, 643 lost in 961 matches |
| Level at half-time | 7 won, 15 drawn, 13 lost in 35 matches | 241 won, 328 drawn, 241 lost in 810 matches |
| 1 goal down at half-time | 3 won, 2 drawn, 16 lost in 21 matches | 44 won, 100 drawn, 306 lost in 450 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 3 won, 15 drawn, 7 lost in 25 matches | 170 won, 304 drawn, 170 lost in 644 matches |
| 1 goal down after 60 minutes | 2 won, 1 drawn, 18 lost in 21 matches | 31 won, 106 drawn, 327 lost in 464 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 4 won, 15 drawn, 5 lost in 24 matches | 118 won, 338 drawn, 118 lost in 574 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 3 won, 17 drawn, 4 lost in 24 matches | 105 won, 368 drawn, 105 lost in 578 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 17 won, 17 drawn, 23 lost in 57 matches | 529 won, 412 drawn, 529 lost in 1470 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 13 won, 15 drawn, 18 lost in 46 matches | 380 won, 344 drawn, 380 lost in 1104 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Antwerp | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 22 scored, 24 conceded (78) | 687 scored, 687 conceded (2070) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 5 scored, 7 conceded (21) | 268 scored, 244 conceded (746) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 5 scored, 5 conceded (24) | 175 scored, 175 conceded (578) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 12 scored, 12 conceded (33) | 244 scored, 268 conceded (746) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 41 times, equalised within 15 minutes 3, by full time 13(league sides: 1,097 times, within 15 minutes 162, by full time 482)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 28 Jul 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Since 3 Nov 2024
| Cercle Brugge | Antwerp | |
|---|---|---|
| 69 | Matches with xG | 78 |
| 109.93 | xG for | 96.78 |
| 89 | Goals scored | 91 |
| 103.17 | xG against | 127.81 |
| 115 | Goals conceded | 112 |
Cercle Brugge
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2026 | at Union St. Gilloise | 1.23 | 2.02 | 2–5 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | v Anderlecht | 1.02 | 1.06 | 1–2 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | at Charleroi | 2.08 | 2.04 | 2–3 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | at OH Leuven | 1.60 | 0.92 | 1–1 |
| 6 Sep 2026 | v Gent | 0.49 | 1.22 | 0–3 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | v Lommel United | 1.25 | 1.63 | 0–1 |
| 23 Aug 2026 | at Club Brugge KV | 1.00 | 1.76 | 0–1 |
| 14 Aug 2026 | v St. Truiden | 4.15 | 2.04 | 3–3 |
| 8 Aug 2026 | at Standard Liege | 1.47 | 2.60 | 2–2 |
| 9 May 2026 | at RAAL La Louvière | 1.52 | 1.55 | 1–4 |
Antwerp
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | v Charleroi | 1.45 | 1.97 | 3–0 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | at KVC Westerlo | 0.92 | 2.28 | 1–5 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | v Union St. Gilloise | 0.41 | 3.34 | 0–2 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | at Club Brugge KV | 2.09 | 2.94 | 1–3 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | at Standard Liege | 0.83 | 3.42 | 0–1 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | v St. Truiden | 0.77 | 3.38 | 1–4 |
| 22 Aug 2026 | v Genk | 1.86 | 1.30 | 4–4 |
| 15 Aug 2026 | at Kortrijk | 1.19 | 0.77 | 3–0 |
| 9 Aug 2026 | v SK Beveren | 2.20 | 0.96 | 2–1 |
| 23 May 2026 | v KVC Westerlo | 1.55 | 0.44 | 2–0 |
Cercle Brugge: 2 without xG left out
This league season
Jupiler Pro League matches since 7 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.
| Cercle Brugge | Antwerp | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 of 9 | Matches with xG | 9 of 9 |
| 3 | Points in those matches | 10 |
| 11.37 | xPts | 8.86 |
| 14.29 | xG for | 11.72 |
| 15.29 | xG against | 20.36 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Cercle Brugge and Antwerp
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 1 Nov 2026, 11:27 GMT · not changed since
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